The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

Month: August 2018 Page 1 of 2

When Will the US Lose Control of the World Payments System?

One of the greatest powers of the United States, one which was hardly used before Clinton, is the ability to freeze people out of the payments system. When Argentina had its previous debt crisis, it cut a deal with investors: They took a haircut, and the government agreed to pay them the haircut. Some investors refused.

Later, that deal was effectively destroyed, because Argentina lost in a US court. As a result, they could not pay the investors who had taken the haircut–a US judge was able to cut a sovereign state off from paying its debtors. Argentina could only have access if it paid both those who took the haircut and those who didn’t.

Over the last 20 years, in particular, the US has enforced financial sanctions against a bewildering number of people and states. Right now, it is disallowing Venezuela from buying many foreign goods. (When “socialism” doesn’t collapse fast enough, the US is always on hand to give it a shove.)

During the Iran sanctions period, before the Iran nuclear deal, the US and the EU cut Iran off from the payments system, virtually wholesale. SWIFT, the electronic payments system headquartered in Brussels refused to cooperate, saying that it should not be used as a tool of politics.

But the EU threatened the board and senior SWIFT executives with criminal charges, and SWIFT folded.

Lots of Iranians died and suffered under those sanctions, just like Iraqis did under the sanctions in the 90s.

When the Iran deal was cut, the sanctions were eased.

But Trump, when he tore up the Iran deal, re-imposed sanctions. The EU disagreed, but many EU companies are obeying the American order because America has said that it will sanction both companies and individuals who disobey.

And even if SWIFT doesn’t cooperate as a body, the problem is that most payments at some point touch American banks. The moment they do, America jurisdiction cuts in. (This is how FIFA got hit for corruption by US law enforcement. None of the bribes had anything to do with the US, but payments went thru US banks.)

So Europe is considering creating a payments system which does not ever touch US jurisdiction:

Germany’s foreign minister has called for the creation of a new payments system independent of the US as a means of rescuing the nuclear deal between Iran and the west that Donald Trump withdrew from in May…

…“For that reason it’s essential that we strengthen European autonomy by establishing payment channels that are independent of the US, creating a European Monetary Fund and building up an independent Swift system,” he wrote.

This adds Europe to a group which includes Russia and China, along with virtually every nation who has been subject to US sanctions.

The thing is that such sanctions used to be fairly rare. But Clinton weaponized them against Iraq and every President since them has used them as a bludgeon. They are a way, like drones to punish countries and individuals and to ignore sovereign rights.

The MMT types go on and on about being sovereign in one’s currency, but the fact is that you aren’t sovereign if another country can cut you out of the payments system. And right now the only countries in the world that are sovereign in that sense are America, the EU and China. And the EU and China are only somewhat sovereign.

These punishments are extra-territorial, they are an imposition of US law on non US countries and citizens. They are possible only because the US is the world hegemonic power, and sits at the center of the world payments system. Venezuela can sanction, but no one cares unless they have assets actually in Venezuela.

This power has been abused, repeatedly, to interfere in business that is none of America’s business. One can say that it might have been used acceptably when the entire UN security council agreed (I disagree), but when it doesn’t, the US has acted anyway.

And so, now, every great power in the world, with the possible exception of Japan, wants to take that power away from the US.

About time, but it will take time. It isn’t just about virtual links, it is about physical links: it must be done over continental cables and thru satellites which are not American. The way current software acts doesn’t take that in account, and physical infrastructure as well as software needs to be built.

But I hope that Europe is serious, because combined with China and Russia this is something which can be done, and done fairly fast (within a decade, I’d guess.) The only problem is that the EU, too, likes having this power. Are they really willing to give it up? Because the best way to do this would be to create a system which cannot be sanctioned without the agreement of all the powers who create: a system which cannot be sanctioned unilaterally. Everyone involved should have a veto.

Time will tell if Europe and, indeed, other nations, truly want a system that none of them can use to punish others.


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Should Canada Concede to Trump in NAFTA Renegotiations?

So, Trump has been renegotiating NAFTA. Not necessarily a bad thing. He’s cut a deal with Mexico, says he’ll sign it without Canada.

Canada has three main sticking points.

It wants to keep the Chapter 19 dispute resolution system so that the US can’t unilaterally impose dumping and anti-subsidy penalties. This is a big deal, because the US is prone to do this stuff due to domestic pressure from industries, and with no check, it will do them more often. Not that Chapter 19 is that great; when the US loses Chapter 19 rulings it tends to just ignore them and impose duties anyway, as it did in the 2000s on lumber. Still, even a delay is good, and that delay has likely stopped a lot of tariffs over the years.

The second issue is IP.

Other hurdles include intellectual property rights, such as the U.S.-Mexico ten-year data exclusivity for biologic drug makers and extensions of copyright protections to 75 years from 50, all higher thresholds than Canada has previously supported.

Yeah, that’s just fucking awful. No thank you. 50 years is already way too much and who wants even higher drug prices in Canada. (US pharma, yeah.)

Finally there is the Canadian milk production system, which is horribly protective and freezes American milk out of Canada. But, well, our standards are higher for milk production, and as such, no, I don’t want change.

If Trump doesn’t get this, he promised auto tariffs, which will hit Southern Ontario hard.

I’m going to say that Canada shouldn’t give in on these issues. It’s not clear that Trump has the votes in the Senate to pass his bilateral Mexico-US deal, and even if NAFTA is lost, well, whatever. Being subject to American tariffs at the whim of any sitting President is not acceptable, nor are higher drug prices and shitty milk.

Canada gave up our world-leading aviation industry in the 50s, in essence, for the right to be part of the US automobile industry. It was a shitty deal then, because it made us dependent, and we are seeing that dependency now.

We’ll see how this plays out. I don’t know if Freeland and Trudeau have the guts to walk away and there certainly would be a cost. But Trump is not certain to be forever, and anything we give up now we are unlikely to get back in the near future.

There was a possible NAFTA renegotiation which would have been a win for all three countries, dealing with issues such as the right of private investors to sue governments for doing perfectly reasonable things like banning anti-cancer additives in oil, but that’s not the renegotiation Trump has chosen to do.

As such, I hope Trudeau holds the line.

Also, there are ways for Canada to retaliate. They are counter-intuitive, but real. I would start by slapping a huge export-tax on all wood products, and watch the US housing industry fall to its knees and the US economy tremble. That would involve some pain at home, but frankly, we can tax a little higher and subsidize those who lose, it’s not a big deal.

Trump’s the sort of person who only respects hardball. Play it, or crawl on your belly.


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The Fundamental Unit of Representative Democracy

THIS POST IS BY MANDOS, NOT IAN

The fundamental unit of representative democracy in the vertically-stacked, hierarchical systems of governance of most modern states that claim to be democratic is the political career of the individual representative, not, as it might seem on the surface to some, the vote. This is necessarily the case, because during the term of representation, the representative is only bound at best indirectly to the will of the voters, and in formal terms, principally through the risk of being rewarded or punished at the next election through the ballot box. The reward of cushy post-office positions and honours, effectively post hoc bribery, is not “formally” a part of the system in the way that losing office definitely is.

The representative is therefore an independent agent, subject to incentives and disincentives, even under the condition of the best intentions and personal incorruptibility. The purest-intentioned elected representative must thus weigh the good that can be done now in terms of their official powers against the risk of losing office — thereby losing the ability to do future good at a critical juncture, and worse, potentially losing the position to someone who will use the power to actively do evil/harm, from the perspective of the current representative or candidate. This means that this hypothetical “best-intentioned representative” is constantly faced with the possibility that foregoing good or accepting an evil may extend their term of office to do greater good and that doing good or rejecting evil may end their term of office and usher in a greater evil.

In our large-population, modern states with elaborate political hierarchies (municipal, county, state/provincial, national/federal, with multiple branches, etc.), it takes considerable resources to operate a candidacy, because one is usually competing against other candidates for the attention of a large number of voters. Such systems vary across countries, but this fact is the same in all cases under conditions of formal electoral freedom. Even under ideal conditions of equitable campaign financing and media access, election campaigns will still differ in resources relative to the effectiveness of their message and numerous, difficult-to-control conditions relating to the number of activists and volunteers that can be mustered to raise awareness, bring voters to the polls, and so on. Furthermore, because the system is hierarchical, again, with other conditions being hypothetically equal, very few (personally ideal) candidates can be successful trying to start at the “top” of the system (e.g., president, prime minister), but instead must fight the electoral battle upstream, if they have the ambition of doing good at a larger scale.

All of this necessarily becomes part of the incentive calculation for our hypothetically best-intentioned candidate.  Simply put, such a candidate must factor in the ability to maintain a stable support base to pursue a political career not only to implement one good policy or piece of legislation, but over time, and upwards in the hierarchy.  (Indeed, not at least appearing to strive for status-improvement in the hierarchy in the future may weaken a representative’s ability to enact policy in the present, by causing their colleagues to filter out their future influence on said colleagues’ own political careers.)

What does this mean for the role of ideology and material benefit in the political system? Quite simply, both are effectively marginal/tangential to the system as a whole. The main currency of representative democracy is politics itself, whereby good or at least ideologically-consistent policy is a by-product created by interactions among representatives who must necessarily balance all decisions against the benefit of continuing their political careers. This, I must emphasize once again, is under the hypothetical conditions of maximum honesty and good intentions among such representatives, conditions that of course we do not obtain in the real world.

Anyone, inside or outside the formal houses of representative democracy, who is principally interested in an ideological or material aim that they believe must be achieved through legislature or state orders, is therefore also constrained to consider the incentive structure of representative democracy in terms of the political career of the representatives.  This means, even given ideal circumstances of personal probity and ideological alignment which do not hold in the real world, that they must provide a stable basis upon which a significant number of representatives can resolve the choice between doing good now and doing good later at the minimal total “goodness cost” overall. Ideological movements that are not able to supply an close-to-optimal resolution between these choices will, one way or another, not be able to obtain the cooperation of sufficient representatives as to implement policy.

Then, factor in the reality that we do not live in an ideal world of equal financial resources, media time, personal probity, ideological commitment, and so on…

No, the World Isn’t Getting Better for Everyone

We read, often, today, about how wonderful the world is. It’s the best time to be alive, and it’s just getting better!

The usual way this is “proven” is by saying that dire poverty is decreasing in the world. There’s a lot of problems with that, and the biggest one is that the definition of extreme poverty is too low.

According to Peter Edwards of Newcastle University, if people are to achieve normal life expectancy, they need roughly double the current IPL, or a minimum of $2.50 per day. But adopting this higher standard would seriously undermine the poverty reduction narrative. An IPL of $2.50 shows a poverty headcount of around 3.1 billion, almost triple what the World Bank and the Millennium Campaign would have us believe. It also shows that poverty is getting worse, not better, with nearly 353 million more people impoverished today than in 1981. With China taken out of the equation, that number shoots up to 852 million.

I’ve felt for a long time that his narrative was, to put it gently, bullshit. The full article is worth reading, because it goes into the way tiny statistical changes move the number in poverty by hundreds of millions of people. But the bottom line is that earning $1.25 a day isn’t enough, and anyone with common sense knows it isn’t enough.

Meanwhile, in India, we know that over the last 20 years, despite increased is GDP per capita, the average amount of calories being eaten is going down. And it’s not as if Indians, as a group, were overfed 20 years ago.

The truth is that neoliberal policies have been very bad for the developing world. Actual poverty decreased faster from 1945 to the mid 70s than it has since, and, although it’s not as important, GDP rose faster too.

The exception, of course, is China. But China did not implement the policies that the IMF and World Bank force on countries: The “Washington Consensus.” They did not open their markets wide, unpeg their currency, and move to cash crops and commodities. Instead, they, like all but maybe three countries larger than city states who have ever industrialized, pursued mercantile policies, managed trade, and moved steadily up the value chain.

This is the model Britain used. It is the model the US used. It is the model Japan used. It is the model South Korea used. Etc…nations only become free traders when they are mature industrially. And in most cases, when they do so, it is a mistake, though this goes profoundly against the current consensus ideology, which claims that free trade and monetary flows are virtually always a good thing.

Even before climate change, the world was getting worse for a lot of people. Not just for people in the developed world (though there is no question that Millennials in most first world countries are worse off than GenXers, who are worse off than Boomers were), but for people in most of the developed world.

You cannot wash the sins of the neoliberal consensus by adding in China’s numbers, when China didn’t follow it. And statistical games over a few cents are pathetic.

Things are bad now. They are going to get worse for more people than they get better, until we significantly change how we run our economies, and given the realities of climate change, maybe not even then.

Getting punch drunk on oil and coal for two centuries is all very nice. But all parties come to an end, and for a lot of people, this party included getting trashed by what amounted to home invaders.

It’d be nice if we figured this stuff out, and if we stopped lying to ourselves.


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Much of Western America Will Be Uninhabitable in 40 Years

Large parts of the US will be riven by permanent drought in the rather forseeable future. And fracking is making it worse… much worse.

The game-changing study from Duke University found that “from 2011 to 2016, the water use per well increased up to 770 percent.” In addition, the toxic wastewater produced in the first year of production jumped up to 1440 percent…

… first generation wells used three to five millions gallons of water, current third generation wells use ten to 30 million gallons….the federal government “forecasts a million more such wells in the next 20 years.”

Moreover, many of these wells are in western areas of the US, which are already water-stressed.

Plus, fracking tends to poison groundwater and aquifers, making those sources permanently unusable, no matter how much remains.

This is the sort of insanity which is routine today: Burning seed corn to heat the house. We know what we’re doing is insanely short-sighted. We know it will come back to burn us badly later on. We do it anyway because it makes money in the short term.

And, of course, in addition to the hydrocarbons it produces, which will increase global warming, fracking produces methane, an even more potent greenhouse gas than carbon dioxide.

What we should have done, in the 80s, is pushed hard on renewable energy, but we didn’t. What we should be doing now, oh, is the same thing, but we aren’t nearly as hard as we could be.

As an aside, the hidden truth of the solar miracle, is that it happened because of German subsidies. Solar wasn’t feasible, Germany made it feasible.

If the US had done that, it would have been feasible far, far sooner. But Americans wanted Reagan and “Morning in America” and endless suburbs full of SUVs.

And that’s what the US got. And so a large part of the US is going to become uninhabitable within the next two generations.

Meanwhile, hundreds of fires burn on the west coast of the US and Canada. This is climate change changing the ecology of local areas. This change will be permanent. The new ground cover will not be what was there before the fires.

Climate change is here. It is making itself known. It started with the great storms–more frequent and more powerful than in the past. It continues now with record high temperatures, especially in the arctic, and widespread forest fires. The arctic heat puts us in danger of massive methane releases from the permafrost and the ocean floor. If these releases happen, we can bend over and kiss our asses goodbye.

More on that soon.

This isn’t a disaster, it is a slow motion catastrophe. And it is going to become much worse and much faster…


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The Creation of New Worlds Examined Through Myth

Let us speak today of how a new world is created. Let us do so by examining a creation myth: the Norse one.  Here it is, in part.

Odin, Vili, and Vé killed the giant Ymir.

When Ymir fell, there issued from his wounds such a flood of blood, that all the frost ogres were drowned, except for the giant Bergelmir who escaped with his wife by climbing onto a lur [a hollowed-out tree trunk that could serve either as a boat or a coffin]. From them spring the families of frost ogres.

Earth, trees, and mountains

The sons of Bor then carried Ymir to the middle of Ginnungagap and made the world from him. From his blood they made the sea and the lakes; from his flesh the earth; from his hair the trees; and from his bones the mountains. They made rocks and pebbles from his teeth and jaws and those bones that were broken.

Dwarfs

Maggots appeared in Ymir’s flesh and came to life. By the decree of the gods they acquired human understanding and the appearance of men, although they lived in the earth and in rocks.

Sky, clouds, and stars

From Ymir’s skull the sons of Bor made the sky and set it over the earth with its four sides. Under each corner they put a dwarf, whose names are East, West, North, and South.

The sons of Bor flung Ymir’s brains into the air, and they became the clouds.

Then they took the sparks and burning embers that were flying about after they had been blown out of Muspell, and placed them in the midst of Ginnungagap to give light to heaven above and earth beneath. To the stars, they gave appointed places and paths.

The earth was surrounded by a deep sea. The sons of Bor gave lands near the sea to the families of giants for their settlements.

(This continues on, if you wish to read the rest, and what came before, follow the link.)

The important part here is that to create the new world, the sons of Bor destroyed the old one; they destroyed the most important form of life in the old one, their ancestor, the giant Ymir. In destroying it, they committed a genocide against the dominant form of life in the world, the giants.

Not all creation kills so many, but all creation is destructive. For the new to be created, the old must die, and the new is created out of the corpse of the old.

Democracy is born when the nobility lose their power. The industrial world is born when peasants are forced to leave the land (violently, usually) to go to cities to work in factories. This process is always one that makes them unhappy, even when it is mostly voluntary. You can see it in the Chinese happiness statistics: Chinese who left their villages for the cities are less happy than those who stayed in the villages.

And while some villages survive, they are not what they were. Many do not survive, they no longer exist. Often, they are paved over or turned into industrial agricultural land.

The vast sweep of industrialization destroyed many cultures, they were lost. It destroyed many peoples, they died or were so assimilated that they no longer exist. Hundreds of languages were lost, we no longer know how they were spoken. Species went extinct, and that process continues, many more will go extinct.

A new world was created. Many celebrate it. There is an entire genre of writing which says, “This is the best it’s ever been and it’s just getting better” (because idiots think trend lines don’t reverse), but even if you think that’s true (and there’s a lot to it, though less than its exponents think), it was born in blood and the extinction of previous realities.

The New China was created from the Old China, and according to many in China, there is a pervasive sense of loss among the Chinese, a knowledge that most of the old culture was lost, and something important was lost with it. Most indigenous American cultures were wiped out, those that remain were badly injured and much was lost. Even in Europe, vast amounts of culture and language were lost. What we call, say, French, is the old Parisien French dialect, and pretending it is more than a dialect is close to a lie–much of what was spoken elsewhere in France was not understandable to a Parisien. The same is true of every major European language; a particular language, perhaps a dialect, was elevated by government action (forceful, often violent action) to the status of “the language.”

This is true with respect to Mandarin in China, which has wiped out or reduced multiple other languages. There is currently an effort to do this with respect to Hindi in India, and the effort is abetted by government action, often enough violent.

New realities are born not just in blood, but in death.

Consider the myth of Zeus.

The first thing that Zeus does is kill his father. His father had been eating all his children.

This is what hegemonic realities, hegemonic systems, do. They kill other possibilities. Many people have tried to create alternatives to capitalism, they have all failed. They have been eaten. The most recent left-wing large attempt in the Western world was the Hippies. They failed.

Basically, the Hippies either succeeded at capitalism, and by doing so became capitalists, or they refused to play the capitalist game and were forced out. The hippie homeland was California, but they don’t live there any more. The remnants fled to Vermont and Santa Fe and some other cheap areas because they couldn’t afford to live in California any more.

Those who could afford to, who kept up with the Jones’, or who became rich, stopped actually being Hippies. They became Yuppies or multi-millionaires. They became capitalists. The Ur-rule of capitalism is to make money. If you decide what to do based on how much money it makes, you start being a member of the capitalist reality (whether or not you wind up “owning capital”), and you stop being a member of an alternate reality which challenges capitalism.

Capitalism: The father of the Hippies, ate the Hippies. If you become successful using capitalist rules you can’t defeat capitalism, you become part of that system.

So, when you want to create a new reality, a new system, you often have the kill the old one, as in the Zeus myth. It is the old system which gave birth to you, and you kill it. Feudalism was killed by people born of feudalism. Capitalism will be killed by people born of capitalism. The only other way it can work is that outsiders conquer a society, but even that is often deceptive: Rome fell to the barbarians only after Rome had completely rotted from within. Augustus would not have recognized late Romans as much resembling those he ruled.

New worlds, new realities, can only be born in the destruction of the old world.

Because that destruction often entails much suffering and death, we often put off the creation of the new until the old is completely untenable. But by doing so, we usually make the transition much worse than it would have been otherwise.

Capitalism needs to end. It needs to end because it has failed the climate change problem: It didn’t deal with a problem so catastrophic it will forseeably kill a billion or more people and which might end in human extinction. Capitalism knew this was likely to happen, capitalism didn’t just not deal with it, capitalist institutions fought (and are still fighting) to conceal that it will happen and against doing anything about it.

So capitalism needs to die or be heavily modified. It was clear by the 90s that this was so, and we did nothing.

This won’t stop it from dying.

It will, however, make its death throes and what comes immediately afterwards much worse.

As with the giants, when Odin killed the giant Ymir, we will die in a flood of blood when capitalism dies.

But that is a choice we have made.


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Why I’m Not Worked Up About “Fake News” and Why I Am

So, there’s a lot of BS about fake news. Trump claims that most stories about him are lies (most of them aren’t, some of them are), the media claims that Russians are spreading fake news (yes, like everyone else), and so on.

And, I mean, this is bad. But I find it hard to get super-worked up about it.

Why?

Because…


This sort of thing is just routine. The vast majority of news stories about Corbyn either misrepresent or lie.

Meanwhile, the New York Times systematically lied about Iraqi WMD to justify the Iraq war.

In the 2004 election, the New York Times held back a story on mass surveillance because they were concerned it would cost George Bush the election. Given how close that election was, the New York Times probably helped ensure a Bush victory by withholding accurate information from voters.

They lie when it supports right-wingers and they withhold true information to protect right-wingers.

And, mostly, they just don’t cover stories they don’t want people to know about.

The media is owned by very rich people. The journalists who work for the media serve the interests of those very rich people.

It takes a special sort of stupidity to think that the media is immune from the rule that people who hire people expect their employees to serve their interests and make sure that they do.

If you want the media to have at least a chance of telling the truth, you need individual outlets to be small, you need there to be many, many outlets and it needs to be cheap to own and run one. In such circumstances, while it will still run towards serving the rich, it won’t serve the super-rich as much as it does today, when a few conglomerates control almost all the media.

Any sector which is a private sector oligopoly (like the media) will obviously serve the interests of the wealthiest in society.

The current conglomerates, online, include Facebook and Google, both of which need to be broken up, and the search engine industry needs to be rigorously regulated, since it decides who sees what. ISPs, without network neutrality, may also take on this role, and obviously network neutrality needs to be reinstated.

Since ISPs provide no value except as a pipeline, they should be regulated as utilities or simply bought by the government. If regulated, their profit should be fixed at 5%+central bank interest rate, or something similar, no stock options and other such nonsense should be allowed, and any profit over that number should simply be taken away by the government. (This will, indirectly, encourage them to build more infrastructure, but you can also do as was done to utilities in the 50s and 60s and specify how much is to be spent.)

ISPs should never be owned by other companies, if allowed to remain private.

Social media is likewise a commons, and should be regulated as such. The way they are currently engineered, they operate as dopamine depleters, and research shows that happiness decreases in direct proportion with engagement to social media. They will have to be forced to stop playing dopamine games, get rid of most of their algorithims, and give control over timelines explicitly to users.

All of this may seem like a lot of work, or an “intrusion,” but we can either control our own lives as voters and members of the public, through government, or we can allow private interests who care only about the benefit to a few people to do so.

So, while in one sense I’m not upset by “fake news,” on the other hand, I am. I’m upset by the control of a few major companies over who gets to spew what propaganda at the public.

Control the major media (and economic) actors, or they will control us.


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White Helmet

MANDOS Post

The Assad regime in Syria is ghastly, and I have no truck with the sort of leftism or anti-imperialism that lionizes it as some kind of grand resistance against imperialism — it is of the same sort of moral absurdity that attempts to paint Russia as anything other than a weaker rival imperialist competing with the US, as though it were a kind of moral paragon. You can make a case for or against a multipolar world in utilitarian terms (more stable or prosperous in some sense?), you can have ideological content preferences among the different imperialism flavours, but ghastly regimes are still ghastly and military imperialism always involves mass suffering. Whose catspaw the Assad regime is does not make it more or less criminal. Someone who wants its overthrow is not automatically an ideological fellow-traveller of ISIS.

On the other hand, I also have no patience for the neoconservative/liberal hawk tomfoolery that uses the Assad regime’s ghastliness (and the horror show that encompasses its victory for anyone who is seen as an enemy of the regime) as a reason to wash away the utter failure and downright evil of the intervention in Iraq. (Is this “virtue-signalling”? I’m under the impression that in some quarters, if you’re anti-Assad, you must be an interventionist.) I am not a pacifist, so in principle I accept that there is a case to be made, under very abstracted conditions, for a stronger military power to intervene to prevent suffering in another country. In practice, the conditions under which this leads to a better outcome are very rare–if they ever occur at all. The risks of creating a worse situation in Syria, given the experience in Iraq, are extremely high. The vested interests are strong, the risk of making a bad situation worse from a direct overthrow of the Assad government are overwhelming for that and other reasons.

Which leads me to the question of the White Helmets. I gather that a lot of people on the “anti-imperialist” side view them as propaganda catspaws of imperialists. The reason for this seems largely to be that they operate in areas held by forces opposed to the regime (this to me is perfectly legitimate — how could a rebel trust the government to conduct rescues?), organizational and media help is offered by foreign entities with vested interests in the overthrow of the Assad government (again, to me legitimate — I would accept such help if I were opposed to the regime and in dire straits), and they receive foreign funding (ditto). None of these indict the organization to me — victims of Assad’s attempt to retake forces held by opposition groups are going to need rescue from someone and frankly, publicity.

Now it appears that a large number of them have been given asylum by Israel en route to being distributed to other countries, as Assad looks to retake most of all of Syria. If they stayed, surely they would face criminal proceedings (or, probably, much worse) from the Syrian government. But a lot of anti-imperialist (pro-Assad?) commentators, including/especially on the left, seem to view this as a further indictment of the White Helmets. Naturally, there is considerable moral inconsistency in Israel’s action, to say the least, but that is not an ethical quandary for those who are fleeing Assad.

What are they supposed to do? Stay and face Assad’s torturers (which he definitely uses)?

It should generally be possible to accept the legitimacy of opposition to Assad, including (especially!), rescue of his enemies, while criticizing the vested interests that might seek to take advantage of his overthrow.

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