Getting Trump Right and Wrong

Ian you have nothing to apologize for. You’re right more often than wrong, and have good instincts and insights. The people who should be apologizing are the mainstream media stenographers and the look-aid drinking hyper partisans like balloon juice, digby, and Kos.

Keep up the good work.

Huh ..we LGBTI people picked him ages ago …finally reality sets in for all the others…

Same old, same old… I’d say I told you so’ but what is the point.

Never mind we tiny minority will do the good fight…while the rest of you sit on your arses doing nothing at all..well except whining about ‘upty women’ or something.

Pointless to comment here, back to LGBTI activism getting things actually done for us and all the rest that are ignored like POC, women (you do know that women actually exist, you’d never believe it reading this blog.. white conservative males only).

Never mind another day another women, LGBTI hating racist child sex abusing swine that has to fought against.

Bye .. keep on with your uselessness…

But you’re just fine talking purple Penguins… There must be a year’s worth of reminders to get your meds…

In other news… https://www.thenation.com/article/what-will-kill-neoliberalism/

now, I will remind everyone, I am a neoliberal economist. however, there needs to be a difference between being a neoliberal economist, and the school that belongs to what one might call “Ultra-neoliberalism”. One can make an analogy to Winston Churchill … capitalism is not the driver of the car, but the horse that pulls the cart. That is it is an essential part of the economy – but far from the only part. It is almost like arguing with les plus ultra-Darwinist, and having them assume that anything other than them is a creationist. While I am a worshiper of Darwin – and take new truck with anyone inspecting biology with mumbo-jumbo – Darwin is the beginning, not the ending.

This beginning not the end problem crops up in many places, including one might add – economics. Iin economics, having a mix of trade is important, but far from the only thing which matters. And at this point – getting the other things right is far more important than trade.

I saw Trump as a deeply conservative kleptocrat who would loot the country and betray his followers. I knew he was erratic and a narcissist, but I didn’t expect him to go weird and start behaving like one of the loonier First-Century Roman emperors. So many self-inflicted wounds. I don’t mean just the contradictions, but the stating of things that are categorically wrong. I am also a little surprised for his penchant for dictators: the congrats to Erdogan, the invitations to al-Sisi (accepted) and Duterte (deferred), the incongruous sucking up to Kim Jong-un amid the saber-rattling, and his first foreign trip to meet the Saudis who run the most repressive regime in the Middle East.

A lot of the country is already turning on him, but not his core supporters, not yet. But his débâcle on healthcare could well see erosion among this group in the 2018 elections, about a year earlier than I thought it might. Trump’s main hope there being the ghastly nature of the Democrats. This too was a self-inflicted wound. No one forced him to embrace Ryancare, a plan so shitty it made the awful Obamacare look good by comparison, but he did and then tried to bluster his way to passage of a bill affecting a sixth of the US economy in 17 days. It didn’t even come up for a vote, and was done in by the far, far, far right Republicans. If Trump had been smart, he would have quit while he was behind, but he didn’t. He came back with a modified bill with $8 billion for high risk pools over 5 years but $839 billion in cuts in expanded Medicaid, a program that many of Trump’s base depend upon. And he managed to squeak it through the House. But you can’t even call it a Pyrrhic victory because it was dead on arrival in the Senate. Morning Joe is grindingly Establishment but they nailed it on this one, showing pictures of the victory ceremony held at the White House, a crowd, as they called it, of rich fat smirking white men taking a victory lap for a meaningless fiasco. As Scarborough said the political ads pretty much write themselves: We tried to gut what little health coverage you had to fund tax cuts for the 1%. We live in strange, surreal times when a President can’t even tell the difference between a victory and a disaster.

Trump proves, mostly, to be far more weak than I expected.

Yes – of all the things people were predicting, Trump just being weak and ineffectual did not come up. Trump is popular with Republicans, which party controls the entire government – so he should be able to get his agenda through, right? Doesn’t seem to be working out that way.

I’m going to wait-and-see, though. He deserves some slack, since the opposition party has gone scorched-earth, many in his own party secretly oppose him, and most of the permanent government fanatically opposes him too. It doesn’t look like he’s capitulated yet, though. Hopefully he is making incremental progress wrangling the congress and the deep state – time will tell.

Hugh, that was an excellent comment. My sentiments precisely. I couldn’t have worded it better.

For the first time in forever, The Senate, which was designed to act as a Plutocratic Buffer against potential Mob Rule Legislation emanating from The House (the Throw The Masses A Bone half of Congress), will buffer The Little People from enacting Mob Rule Legislation against itself (The Mob) versus The Plutocracy.

Hugh’s right — this is so surreal on so many levels. This is beyond Politics As Usual. This is new, uncharted territory and the mental models of old are unable to assimilate this anarchical new paradigm. It’s beyond the grasp of even the most astute & zealous authoritarians.

We’re in Pure Reactionary Mode. Everyone. Even the Plutocracy.

At this point, quite literally, anything is possible.

Welcome to The Singularity.

And FU Obama for not ever allowing Single Payer a seat at the table when crafting The Affordable Care Act. You and your ilk help set this shit up and your cynical glee at Trump’s Insane Implosion is telling of your sadism. You’re more evil than Trump because you are much more clever and intelligent and Know better and yet you did what you did. That’s as evil as it gets.

What the whole Trump experience has done is confirm what I’ve been saying since forever about the limits of the American social discussion about health care. The alternative to Obamacare was never single-payer, because as long as 30-40% of Americans think that paying for their fellow citizen to not die in agony is an imposition on their liberty, there won’t be single-payer health care.

Obamacare or Ryancare, those are your choices.

I mean, Jesus H. Christ, it doesn’t get any more bizarre and/or surreal than this. If it wasn’t so tragic, it’d be funny, but Hayes & Sanders are laughing anyway which shows their True Character. It’s really not a laughing matter, guys, if you’re serious about your feigned concern for poor people dying.

Trump Agrees — Single Payer Is The Way To Go And Yet We Get The House’s Deathcare Bill. Where The F*ck Are We?

@Mandos

The alternative to Obamacare was never single-payer, because as long as 30-40% of Americans think that paying for their fellow citizen to not die in agony is an imposition on their liberty, there won’t be single-payer health care.

Actually some on the *right* are beginning to say that single-payer is now inevitable and will happen within the next decade.

http://theweek.com/speedreads/696859/fox-news-charles-krauthammer-predicts-america-have-singlepayer-health-care-within-7-years

Or at least real universal coverage.

http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/368772/conservative-case-universal-coverage-avik-roy

From Trump’s selfish electoral perspective, that’s why endorsing and *pushing Ryancare hard* was such a disaster. He missed a chance to drag the Republican Party and American conservativism, kicking and screaming, to a place that it wouldn’t have chosen on its own but that would have actually strengthened its position, and like Obama and the 2008 financial crises, he blew it.

Mallam proves why America is well down the path to Autocracy because Autocracy will be the only way to get anything done quickly, right or wrong, in a World that increasingly requires efficiency if you want to adapt & stay afloat.

We are increasingly living in desperate times, and the Juggernaut that is Congress cannot keep up with the change & adaptation that is necessary for surviving in The Singularity.

Policy Wonks are now dinosaurs, they just don’t know it yet. It’s no longer Business As Usual.

So, it’s a race to see who’s Collective Will predominates the about to be birthed American Autocracy. The Collective Will of those with their heads in the sand will not be the Will of the expectant Autocracy, I can promise you that.

But hey, go ahead and feel smug in the meantime. Enjoy the arrogance while it lasts because it’s not going to last long.

If we’re to competently address many of the concerns discussed here, Autocracy is inevitable. In fact, Autocracy would address them more effectively & efficiently than Democracy for the very reason Mallam flaunts.

For example, historically speaking, did Land Redistribution occur more readily under Autocratic Governments or Democratic Governments? If you answered the latter, you are wrong.

Replace Land Redistribution with some of the most important issues facing us and the planet. Democracy is not up to the task. You can argue it and deny it all you want, but Autocracy is coming one way or another. Either you own it and grab the reigns or you get run over by it. Resisting the inevitability of it will ensure malevolent factions grab the reigns. Beating those malevolent factions to the reigns will ensure a benevolent Autocracy versus a malevolent one.

Autocracy and Redistribution: The Politics of Land Reform

This book is an exceptional achievement. It combines theoretical and methodological sophistication with empirical richness. Albertus demonstrates that land redistribution is more likely under dictatorship than democracy and builds a persuasive argument about why that is the case. The book is an outstanding contribution to the literatures on land redistribution, democracies and dictatorships, political economy, and Latin American politics. ~ Scott Mainwaring, Eugene and Helen Conley Professor of Political Science, University of Notre Dame

Albertus’ book is a must-read for understanding distributive politics in Latin America and beyond. Albertus provides a crucial contribution to the discipline by focusing on the political incentives leading to redistribution under different types of political regime. Based on an impressive study of land reforms, he provides a novel theory for understanding land redistribution and the different conditions that led to land renegotiation and colonization. This shift to the incentives of elites and their institutional possibilities provides a crucial contribution to the literature on democracy and redistribution. He finds support for his theory using an impressive dataset of cross-national evidence combined with in-depth longitudinal analyses of Peru and Venezuela. Without doubt, this book will become a reference in comparative studies of development and distributive politics more generally. ~ M. Victoria Murillo, Columbia University

In this important book Albertus provides new answers to a range of questions about land reform. When does meaningful land reform take place? Why are some reform programs more efficient than others? Albertus’ answers – for example, that land reform is more likely under authoritarian regimes than under democratic ones – challenge the conventional wisdom. This book will be of interest to comparative scholars as well students of economic development. ~ Barry R. Weingast, Ward C. Krebs Family Professor, Stanford University

A great paradox of modern political life is that concentrated landed wealth is a great frozen ice cap blocking the emergence of modern democracy and development. Yet, democracies themselves seem less capable of implementing land reform than autocracies. To date we have only the barest understanding of the complex politics of land reform. In this careful and ambitious study, Michael Albertus untangles these puzzles, constructing the most comprehensive cross-national and historical dataset on land reform alongside carefully crafted case studies of Peru and Venezuela. The result is an argument that provides the most compelling political theory of land reform to date that has broad implications for the study of democracy, redistribution and autocracy. ~ Daniel Ziblatt, Harvard University, Massachusetts

The progressive response (at least what I have heard) to the GOP ‘health care’ bill is interesting. It is clear that should this nonsense survive in the senate people will die. That seems to be what the republicans want. Get rid of the useless eaters, and raiding the village or firing up the gas chambers is so 19th and 20th century. This will be much cleaner. . .we won’t have to see the dead. But all the progressive wing can offer in response is more marches, call your congressman, and vote in 2018. Seems a rather tepid response to the possible death of maybe millions.

Quite right, GH.

TSMB, in the old days you would have been horsewhipped for that.

What you’ve got is an empty-suit emperor. He’s been referred to as God-Emperor by some of his white rightist fan boys, but even they know there’s essentially no there there, and they see him as neutered and tamed by all those Dark Forces that permeate the permanent government.

He’s been turned into a “Clintonite”.

Gee. Who’d a thunk?

He certainly likes all the trappings of Divinty-Imperial Rule, showing off with his new-found chums in the fanciest rooms of his various private palaces, saving the dingy, drab and dusty White House for (ew) work.

He’s loud and boorish and lazy, but all that was known, hardly a secret. He’s been in the public eye for decades, both in business and as a teevee personality.

He’s old. Not as old as Bernie, but old nonetheless, and he carries with him all the baggage of a long and varied career, a lifetime spent screwing the little people on behalf of himself, his family and a cadre of striving but marginalized nouveaus who never quite made it — and can’t make it — into the select and secretive world of the highest of the mighty.

He never made it into that world, either, but he’s long rubbed elbows with them. I’m sure he’s been taken advantage of by them, too.

Part of his baggage is his upbringing in a privileged but marginalized context of wealth, lording it over the weak. He was said to be kind of a wild child and that’s why he was sent to New York Military Academy — to straighten him out. Yes, well.

He was there during the Cuban Missile Crisis (1962) and he graduated in 1964, the year “Dr. Strangelove” was released. “Fail Safe” was also released in 1964. These movies influenced a generation to loathe the very idea of brinkmanship and the “survivability” of nuclear war, but some people saw them quite a bit differently; not so much as cautionaries as instruction manuals.

From his behavior both in office and in the private sector, I think think Trump probably falls on that side of the equation.

The fear of Mrs. Clinton without recognizing the inherent danger of someone as clearly unstable and as divorced from reality as Trump is borders on the pathological. Simply saying they’re both scum but she’s worse makes no sense. They’re both worse. She in some ways, he in others. And neither could or will trigger WWIII on their own. They can’t.

Either could do it, though, with the connivance and “advice” of the powers behind the throne.

For all intents and purposes, the same powers are behind both of them.

Yet more evidence that elections in America do not produce the results expected by and promised to the voters, of either duopoly party.

This was the worst case scenario I envisioned when I voted for Trump, as I laid out here more than once, i.e., that he would betray and disappoint his supporters just like Obama did to his supporters, and that it would then be revealed even more clearly than before that betrayal is the only result that will ever come out of this too-corrupted-to-be-fixed electoral system.

My thinking was that some good would come from that revelation, one I have been pushing for ten years now, namely that people would be pushed that much closer to realizing that voting won’t get them the future they deserve, but only anger and angry action might do the trick.

This result was likely enough to me that I have been pushing for a rational discussion of what should we do once that reality is accepted. A discussion none have seriously embraced so far, I would note.

So, are we there yet? Do we have that serious discussion now, or just more of the same impotent venting and hyper-outrage, that does nothing but amuse our Masters?

It’s clear to me now that a True Democracy is impossible (see Ian’s next blog posts for one example of why) and Pseudo Democracies, the feigning of Democracy, is preferred by the Global Elite. They hide behind it and use it as a carrot in pacifying populations.

The only chance The Little People have of garnering any representation whatsoever is to have a benevolent Autocracy by & for The Little People. A Man, or a Woman, of their own to put The Rich in their place and who can expedite the response to some of the most pressing issues of our day.

Someone like me.

If I was heading this benevolent Autocracy, we would be getting things done and The Little People would be back in the saddle again even though you were never in it heretofore. We’d have Single Payer by now and we would be loving it. The Health Insurance companies would be reduced to AFLAC for the wealthy to supplement their Single Payer for Elective Surgery purposes.

I would reverse the Citizens United Supreme Court decision. Our Justice System would be overhauled from top to bottom and those bequeathed with the Public Trust would be held to a much higher standard than they are now. The penalty for Abusing Authority and the Public Trust would be substantial up to & including life in prison depending on the circumstances.

True Progressive Taxation would make a comeback to the days of FDR. Too Big To Fail companies would be eviscerated. Laws would be enacted that engendered employee-owned and managed organizations that are prohibited from growing beyond a certain level because beyond that level is a hinderance to free enterprise & competition.

Instead of Credit Expansion, laws enacted would greatly reduce the reliance on debt and would incentivize saving and personal loaning between friends and family members and various informal networks in order to reestablish community. People will be encouraged to invest directly, without the Wall Street Middle Man, in people rather than investing in and with Wall Street which is investing against people.

Destruction of the habitat would be seriously addressed. A nation wide planning board comprised of a diversity of rotating members would be created to create and implement a national plan with regional and local sub plans on how best to physically and logistically address our way of life and how it is affecting our environment. No future building & expansion can take place outside of the purview of this planning board that takes all impacts into account and determines if proposals are aligned with national, regional and local plans to mitigate & minimize destruction of our habitat.

These are just a few of the things that can & will be done by a benevolent Autocracy. If you don’t get out in front of this now and grab the reigns, the malevolent factions are going to swoop in and grab them instead. Trump’s presidency is setting the stage. Think of him as a John The Baptist for a malevolent Autocracy. The real Malevolent One is coming, Trump is serendipitously & unconsciously announcing it with his presidency, if we don’t grab this bull by the horns and make it our Autocracy, not their’s.

Morongobill, the horsewhip has been replaced with the hack. My wife & I decided to watch Sex And The City last night and what do you know, the screen to choose the episode is screwed up. More than half the choices are missing and there is no logic to what is available to watch. This comes on the heels of mentioning it at this blog the other day and someone viewing the following blog post extensively.

As well, my wife, on her way home from work yesterday, passed by a transformer that blew up just as she was passing it. It shook her car and it shook her as though it was an IED. She was still rattled when she got home. What are the odds? Leviathan knows. Challenge this Predominant Paradigm with passionate & intense conviction and remedies that will work in deposing it and IT will reveal its awesome power to you in a myriad of ways.

New World Hackers

@ Che Pasa

I am unable to comprehend stuff that nobody shows me any real evidence for.

You are especially gifted at conflating what you wish for with what is.

I am concerned about what happens where the actual levers of power are operating.

I don’t really care to know that you are bartering tomatoes from your garden for plumbing services from your neighbor down the block. That’s not really where the action is, and you are delusional if you think it is.

As for SMB’s “benign autocracy”–IIRC, cadres of “successful” rebels in many countries already attempted that.

The attempts, collectively, were called “Communism”.

How well did those work out?

Hints: gulags, killing fields, old-fashioned surveillance states (based on squealers rather than electronics), poor quality and quantity of the necessities of life, compulsory atheism, dishwater-gray aesthetics of everyday life–oh, Areinnye, just read 1984 for details.

Nah, I think I’ll just stick with the devils I know–although I understand that the consensus here is that can’t happen. According to the consensus here, the rule of the devils we know is doomed, doomed I tellz ya, doomed in ten kajillion ways by umpty-umpteen kajillion Doomy Dooms of Doom!!!!1!

Ladies and germs, I complete my 54th solar orbit soon, and I’ve been hearing confident predictions of Doomsday my entire adolescent and adult life.

I hope y’all will forgive me if I’ve developed apocalyptic-fear fatigue, and respond to your “The End Is Near” pronouncements with “meh”.

Concentrations of power suck because of who it is that usually wins those power games, at the end of the day. Limiting those who are incapable of values outside of the acquisition of power is harder then it looks.

Limiting those who are incapable of values outside of the acquisition of power is harder then it looks.

One of the biggest problems, maybe the biggest, is that in this life and this world, evil often works–it gets the perpetrator what s/he wants, and s/he is either not punished promptly and obviously enough to deter others from trying the same thing, or even is not punished at all–at least in this life.

Plus, if an afterlife, whose Proprietor sets criteria for success which are different–or even diametrically opposed–to the criteria for success in this life does exist, the existences of that afterlife and its Proprietor are not obvious and irrefutable, which dampens the deterrent effect of the possibility that evil behavior which is successful in this life will lead to a reduced quality of accomodations in the next life.

What are you apologizing for?
For not being psychic? Or for not being telepathic?