The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

April 14th US Covid Data

A note from our benefactor:

We will probably get to 40,000 deaths by the end of April. We’re still increasing by more than 2,000 deaths per day, and most doctors are seeing a ten to 14 day lag in deaths after new cases. I’ve seen projections of 60,000 deaths by August. If everyone goes back to work in early May, it may be much sooner.

(These are official deaths, of course, the studies done afterwards will show larger numbers.)

 

 


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9 Comments

  1. Zachary Smith

    Headline: Heart risk concerns mount around use of chloroquine and hydroxychloroquine for Covid-19 treatment

    The Obese Orange POTUS asks “What have you got to lose?” Answer – possibly your life from a heart attack. That’s not something somebody already in bad shape from the Virus needs to risk.

    https://www.cnn.com/2020/04/13/health/chloroquine-risks-coronavirus-treatment-trials-study/index.html

    There aren’t any silver bullets yet for the Covid-19 virus. Pretending otherwise is going to kill people.

  2. Aqua Lung

    Either Jeffrey Adam Zucker, who recruited Donald Trump for the reality show The Apprentice and then made him POTUS by giving Trump 24/7 free coverage during his presidential run, is lying or this guy is. I’m going with Zucker lying because CNN, as much as any cable news network or any media venue period, is claiming COVID-19 is what it isn’t and stating those claims as facts without proper investigative reporting to determine the verity of the false claims related to this pandemic and to this virus specifically.

    Something smells to high heaven about all of this. Viruses are smart, but not this smart. Unless. It’s an understatement to call this the “NOVEL” corona virus. Novel means, quite literally, different from anything seen or known before. So different in fact, perhaps it’s not natural.

    Ventilators may in fact be killing people rather than saving them. Perhaps that’s why the Trump admin won’t distribute them. Trump’s handlers know they won’t be of any use. Because they know what COVID-19 really is. I wouldn’t be surprised. When you empower psychopaths for decades upon decades, this is ultimately what you get and then your only choice is to suffer their psychotic abuse or burn the village to save the village.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k9GYTc53r2o&feature=youtu.be

  3. Zachary Smith

    Ventilators may in fact be killing people rather than saving them. Perhaps that’s why the Trump admin won’t distribute them. Trump’s handlers know they won’t be of any use.

    That doctor may be on to something – the ventilator settings are too high and the extra pressure is causing lung damage. Supposing Trump knows or cares would be taking tRump Sniffing to a new level.

    “So now I’m back in the ER where we are setting up slightly different ventilation strategies.”

    In his Wednesday YouTube video, Kyle-Sidell described the situation involving the ventilator settings as “not our fault.”

    “We didn’t know. This is how we treat ARDS [acute respiratory distress syndrome]. This is how we’ve treated it for the last 20 years,” he said in the video.

    But Kyle-Sidell insisted that “we need to change those protocols” and cautioned that “the time for us to change them is rapidly diminishing.”

    “COVID-positive patients need oxygen. They do not need pressure,” he said.

    New disease — new problems with treatment. Hopefully this will quickly be ironed out. I’d say setting the pressure levels slightly low would be a no-brainer.

    https://nypost.com/2020/04/06/nyc-doctor-says-coronavirus-ventilator-settings-are-too-high/

  4. Zachary Smith

    I didn’t see the last debate, so this was new to me. Not that Biden is against Single Payer, but that he used Italy as a whipping boy.

    From – https://www.laprogressive.com/biden-medicare/

    “You have a single-payer system in Italy,” Mr. Biden stated. “It doesn’t work there. It has nothing to do with Medicare for All. That will not solve the problem at all.”

    Now from this link – https://www.thenation.com/article/world/universal-health-care-italy-coronavirus/

    Here’s what Biden’s comments completely elide: When Covid-19 reached Italian shores, it found a country in the midst of a private-sector transformation that has been turning the country’s single-payer health care system into an Italian version of Biden’s beloved “public option”—and putting millions of people at risk in the process.

    The callous slashing of public funding undertaken by all Italian administrations since the 1990s and the parallel proliferation of private clinics have left the country with fewer health care personnel and hospital beds, and longer wait times.

    Italy used to have a fine medical system, but the politicians in that nation have been busily destroying it so as to maximize private profits. You know, like they do here in the US of A.

    Biden has no redeeming virtues I’m aware of – except possibly that of not being named “Trump”. That’s not enough for me. Trading down – or making an even swap of crappy White House Residents is of no interest to me.

  5. Aqua Lung

    Supposing Trump knows or cares would be taking tRump Sniffing to a new level.

    I agree and should have qualified my comment. There’s a cabal that finds him useful as an idiot foil. He provides the distracting spectacle as they do what they do out of sight, so to speak. Pompeo is part of this cabal. That guy is the devil himself.

  6. Eric Anderson

    Reposting due to the chloroquine discussion.

    Title: “Compilation of Evidence on Hydroxychloroquine for COVID-19”

    https://docs.google.com/document/d/1O6Cls-Oz2ZAgJuyDbnICEGjMvQPEyM-aaXARUomR9Ww/edit

  7. “A 165 lb man weighs 75 kg, so may experience toxicity at a dose of 150 mg chloroquine. That is less than the low dose arm of the Brazil ‘study’, which used 450 mg doses.”

    Yikes, major blunder. 20 mg/ kg * 75 kg = 1,500 mg chloroquine, not 150 mg.

    The high dosage ‘arm’ of the study gave 1200 mg chloroquine / day. Answers.com gives the average weight of a 5-8 Brazilian woman as 62.2 – 66.7kgs. Call it 64 kg. The toxic dose for this weight is 12,800 mg. So, the Brazilian researchers were bumping up closely to this value, at least on a daily dosage basis.

  8. Double yikes. Toxic dose of chloroquine for 64 kg person is 1280 mg (not 12,800 mg), which is close to the high dosage arm of 1200 mg/day.

    It’s been suggested that, since some of the funding came from left-wing Brazilian senators, that the ‘study’ was designed to fail for political purposes. See Michael Coudrey’s twitter feed for some detail, though I see no evidence that the Brazilian senator co-funders were, in fact, left-wingers.

  9. Astrid

    Test post…

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