(NOTE: POST BY MANDOS)
So. Trump has just announced his pullout from the Paris accords.
It doesn’t really matter whether the Paris accords actually did anything material or did anything material that was significant against climate change. What matters is that the Paris accords were the unifying symbol of public agreement that climate change was a thing. Trump’s move defaces that symbol. What he said does something. Insofar as that symbol is defaced, the probability of doing material things that might have an effect on the physical world is reduced, including saving whatever of human civilization can be saved, in extremis. If not reduced, then optimistically, changed — if it actually creates a galvanizing moment. Which it probably won’t, but we’ll see.
Saying is doing, symbols are at least as important as what is material, politics has limits as constricting as those of “nature,” assuming you believe in a false dualism and hierarchy between politics and the “natural” world.
MojaveWolf
No. Just no. As much “no” as there is “no”-ness.
“Saying is doing” –well, speaking IS doing something, so in that sense, you are correct, but saying something is not the same or even remotely the same as doing what you are talking about. If it was all the people who stand around chanting for healing the bay or world peace would have achieved those things, and all the people who say things like “I’m going to kill you” would accomplish their aims. Yet, people say many things which do not conform to reality, and many of the things they say have no affect on reality whatsoever. Some people say things like “I’m going to do X” then do things like “Y” directly in opposition to X and make sure X never comes about.
“symbols are at least as important as what is material”–okay, for starters you’ve either never been poor or haven’t been poor for so long you’ve forgotten a few things. When you come up with a way to give people symbolic food, shelter and medical care that works as well as the real thing, let me know. I wanna see that. And if you think I’m being too literal minded, which you probably do, let me suggest that it materially matters to most living things whether they survive or not. On the more metaphorical scale, I think you might want to reread Ozymandias, or go back and read some of what the Bush administration types were saying about recreating reality according to their stated whims. Doesn’t seem to have worked out so well.
The Paris accords arguably were worse than nothing– they slowed down real action by making people think their goals were sufficient, and maybe it would be okay to fall a little short of those goals, when actually they were woefully insufficient and achieving them would have done naught to stop mass destruction.
Trump’s scrapping them might inadvertantly be a good thing, in the long run, as a catalyst inspiring people to action. Suddenly all the complete and utter fools who were praising and defending Obama and HIllary for doing something that would kill us all, are attacking Trump for doing something that will also kill us all but a bit faster and now are insisting on more and better action to prevent this. This could save us all, and since the whole fucking world was likely to die if we just kept drifting, kind of hard to say how it could make it much worse.
(Most) Liberals knee-jerk defended Obama’s (and Hillary’s) pathetic and flat out evil failure to act on climate change (they actually worked to water down the accords, iirc) and to push for pointless half-measures instead of trying to do something that might save most of the species now living in the biosphere.
The same liberals now knee-jerk attack Trump’s pathetically stupid (I dunno if it’s evil because I don’t how stupid he is; I will grant you I grotesquely overestimated him in the past) effort to pretend climate change simply isn’t real. (or maybe he’s doing that whole 11 dimensional chess thing to cause exactly what I’m hoping for ! I mean, not likely, but maybe he’s fooled us all!)
NOW, we have people actually wanting to DO something. Trump opposes the whole idea of climate change, so suddenly people take it seriously. More seriously than ever before!
Hell, I’m not sure even the symbolism doesn’t work out for the better here. (and I’m not saying symbols are meaningless, just that you are giving them way too much meaning, and it’s not the first time you’ve said something like this, I still remember you saying a few months ago something like”what people believe is more important than what really is” which, just, no. Unless you have magical world altering belief powers, then believing does not always make it so.)
If words and symbols mattered as much as material things, all Obama’s pretty words would have fixed the world and we’d be living in joyous times full of prosperity, and reality itself would alter to make the Paris Accord goals work, and all the idiots who ran out to buy “The Secret” would be happy (and mostly very rich). None of this works.
Last but not least, outside the US, pretty much everyone already believes in climate change, as far as I can tell, and in the US, the Paris accords didn’t alter public perception even a little tiny bit.
But I’m happy people are outraged and insisting on meaningful action now. That is long, long overdue dating back to way before Trump or even Obama.
Hugh
Trump is a 70 year old bully, an egomaniac, and an intensely ignorant and intellectually lazy man. Anything that doesn’t have his name or picture on it, he is going to piss on. Reality be damned. His usefulness, and this is marginal at best, lies in his tearing back the curtain on the kleptocracy which rules this country and sharpening the contradictions which underlie it. The country will survive Trump, but I do not think it will recover from him. Blind malevolent stupidity has its costs.
MojaveWolf
Put another way: You want to burn me in effigy? Fine, I don’t care. You want to actually set me on fire? We are going to have a problem and if the resulting conflict goes poorly for you I will set you on fire instead, and possibly lecture you on symbolism while you burn.
The Paris accords were the equivalent of saying you were going to put out a house fire and telling the people inside to remain calm while you tossed a dixie cup half full of water at the flames while idiots far and wide praised you for actually doing something.
Trump pulling out of the Paris accords has people freaking out about the deaths that are about to occur from the house fire. This may or may not do some good, depending on what MATERIAL actions people take to douse the flames. If people instead symbolically pour water on a nearby dollhouse and wait for the real house to quit burning, everyone inside will die just as sure as if Trump had stood outside insisting there was no fire whilst tossing gasoline cans.
Sometimes, yeah, words matter and you can talk your way out of bad spots. Climate change needs more than talk; words and symbols without corresponding action do exactly zero good.
jonst
saying is most certainly “not doing”. Symbolism, while not unimportant, is not material progress…and in this day and age symbolism is often an excuse for doing nothing. Think the Clintons.
None of this has anything to do with the obvious fact that Trump is a dangerous and incompentent fool.
V. Arnold
MojaveWolf
June 2, 2017
Wow; thanks a bunch; you’ve covered all the bases and saved me a long rant.
Saying is by no means doing, period!
Ten Bears
Marie Antoinette had no idea what was coming.
Stirling Newberry
She also said “brioche”
Stirling Newberry
To translate this for dummies:
“We need more time to get out of oil.”
The Stephen Miller Band
The Establishment’s feigned apoplexy over Trump’s latest trolling is just another example of their Hyper-Hypocrisy. They don’t give a shit about Climate Change. When the Talking Heads have to mention the effects of it, the first thing they offer up as an implication is rising sea levels & flooding. Because of their Beach Houses, I presume, and the initial impression Al Gore left them with when he was the first Mainstream Politician to latch on to Global Warming/Climate Change. Growth & Prosperity As We’ve Known It cannot and will not extricate Humanity from this impending & imminent calamity to come. In that sense and vain, I give you this. A Tesla In Every Pot isn’t going to get it done.
Trump’s Great On Climate Change
The Stephen Miller Band
Sorry, that should be vein and not vain.
Mandos
Lovely. An Obama-as-savage-with-club cartoon. I stand by my previous post’s every word and see how it connects with this one: saying is doing.
Mandos
Marie Antoinette probably didn’t even say “brioche”. Her problem was a very typically European and now American one: striving to block change until the cavalry came over the hill, and it never did.
Mandos
MojaveWolf:
A category error. We are talking about things that require collective/group action, ie, things that have politics on their “critical path”. Symbols are how those things are organized, how “material” action can be potentiated.
The true believers, who thought that knocking over Iraq would lead to a domino effect that turns the Middle East into Aynrandistan? Sure, that was stupid. The cynics in the Bush administration? We’re living the world they spoke. Waves: commanded.
This is based in an, I’m sorry, ludicrous model of how humans work. The kinds of substantive measures that you think that the Paris accord is blocking are the kinds of measures that cause people to blank off into even firmer denial — or worse, the belief that the future is going to be miserable anyway, so why not enjoy the party now?
It’s like Obamacare. Obamacare, for all its flaws, makes single payer thinkable, whereas previously it was really not. Sorry, that goes against everything people around here tend to believe, and I’ve argued the case here for years and years, but the road to US health care reform went unavoidably through breaking the psychological barrier that the uninsurable should nevertheless be insured — which was even farther from being a consensus back then than it is now.
Climate agreements with inadequate measures like Paris make more adequate measures more possible in the future, because they get over the psychological hump that any measures are costly or futile. Withdrawing from Paris potentially damages that symbol, unless the energy from the outrage can be harnessed. In a sense, the best part of the Paris accord was the signing — so that the withdrawal can perhaps create that energy.
Saying is doing.
I very much hope that you’re right, but note that if this is even a small catalyst, it was only a catalyst because Obama signed the accords in the first place. Again, again, saying is doing — for anything in which politics has any influence, which is on any problem of collective action, to be sure.
The Stephen Miller Band
I have a better saying.
You obviously didn’t get the point of the blog post. Both the so-called “Left” & “Right” are wrong on this issue. They’ll always be wrong on this issue. This issue transcends politicization. It’s existential. If you want to address it properly, remove the Politics As Usual. That includes your politically-visceral reaction to Obama portrayed as a savage with a club in a cartoon. What would Samuel L. Jackson say about your umbrage with that cartoon? He would respond to you the same way he did with this reporter per the following video clip. You have no right to be offended for others who are not what you believe them to be or what you want them to be, and there is no possible way you could be offended for yourself, so why are you always so offended and looking for offense under every rock and behind every tree and if none can be found, you make it up?
Django Unchained Star Samuel L Jackson Challenges TV Reporter To Say N-Word
Ché Pasa
I’ve said all along that Trump could do the right thing and have a major positive impact on the present and the future, but he doesn’t do it. Over and over again, he doesn’t do it, and the pathetic attempts to defend his wrongness are exercises in futility.
It’s little different from — in some ways it’s identical to — the efforts to defend Obama’s wrongness when he was wrong. It’s politics, yes, but it doesn’t move the needle toward anything positive.
The Paris Accords are not the answer to climate change, nor are they meant to be. They are a step toward an answer if there is one. Withdrawal of the United States will have certain marginal and some profound effects short and long term, but withdrawal is not going to produce a positive outcome either for the United States or for the globe. That seems to be the intent in any case. No good is meant to come from this, just as so many of the actions of the regime aren’t intended for a positive outcome, at least not for the masses and rabble.
The point of symbolism in this instance is well taken, however. This was an accord negotiated to include nearly every country on earth in a common cause that is affecting and will affect nearly everyone on the globe sooner or later. The point of it is the establishment of common cause, and just doing that is an accomplishment.
Trump in his error-prone bumbling way declares, “No. There is no common cause.” Just as Baroness Thatcher declared “there is no such thing as society.” As long as anyone dissents, there can be no unity, right?
The fact that Trump and his cohorts are the major dissenters puts them in a box. The symbolism of their withdrawal is that they are the outliers with no interest in a better future, only selfish gain for themselves.
As a rule, it doesn’t end well.
That seems to be just what Trump and his confederates and defenders want.
The Stephen Miller Band
And, you know, because The Truth matters. Obama is not portrayed as a savage in that cartoon. He’s portrayed as a Corporatist Troll & Ogre, which he was and is. He is a Corporatist Philistine and the Constitution is meant to be David to his Corporatist Goliath.
Leave it to Lame Liberals to turn that into racism. It’s one of the many reasons we have Trump — because Obama simply couldn’t be criticized within the confines of The Democrat Party without the critic being labeled a racist. That’s real constructive. So constructive, we now have Trump.
I agree with Hugh and Ian, Trump is good in the sense that he is unwittingly disrobing the Emperor once and for all. America is now a full-fledged nudist and what a grotesque sight it is. I’m not a fan of plastic-covered furniture, but I’ll lower my standards, considering. I don’t want that nasty, nude buttocks mingling with the fibers in the fabric in my furniture. That shit will never wash out. Yuck. Gross.
The Stephen Miller Band
I won’t disagree with you, but it’s a box within a box within a box and so on and so on.
Humanity has put itself in a box. It has erected a System called Civilization that is predicated upon Growth referred to as Prosperity. This System of Civilization requires that any solution to all the problems it creates must necessarily be addressed via Growth/Prosperity which leads to countless other problems in need of solutions to the point we have an astronomical heap of problems seeking solutions. Humanity can’t keep on top of it and out in front. The problems without solutions are far outpacing Humanity’s ability to solve all the problems. It’s a Runaway Train at this point.
The Paris Climate Agreement is about growing our way out of Climate Change — exactly the wrong approach. The maxim is, Prosperity Must Never Be Compromised. “We will not apologize for our way of life.” Who said that? Obama, that’s who, or something to that effect we he first took office. The Paris Climate Agreement may have bought us a little time if everyone followed through as promised, but it also would have put off what needs to be done now if anything can be salvaged at all from the impending Bottleneck.
If it’s as important as all the VIPs say it is, there is only one thing left to do. Trump has to be physically removed from office. Otherwise, how can anyone take you seriously?
John
I noticed somewhere that the predictions for the Atlantic hurricane season are calling for an active one this summer. Were I a weather Deity and ruler of hurricanes, I would spare Miami, but I would for sure scour Palm Beach and Mar-a-Lago off the map and return it to the sand bar it once was. And maybe for good measure scour the Carolina coasts and the Norfolk military installations. That might get some attention.
Mother Nature, who is whispering so far, needs to speak up. And while you are at it, Tornado Alley needs some attention.
Cheers, John
The Stephen Miller Band
The choice now is, unequivocally, the continued feigning of Democracy and waiting eight more years to remove this Rogue from office, or saving the Planet and most if not all life on it and physically removing him now before it’s too late.
If that’s not the choice, then it’s really not as serious as all the Apoplectics claim it is, otherwise, how could you sit by and let this Rogue Troll rape the planet before your very eyes without doing anything about it?
It’s time to GET REAL. NOW. OR NEVER.
Obama doesn’t seem too concerned. He just purchased an 8 million dollar mansion in D.C. and he’s Globe Trotting with all his wealthy friends in early retirement.
SHOW ME you’re serious, or else, SHUT THE F*CK UP!!!
Mandos
The cartoon used obvious racist symbology and it is completely dishonest to say that he was just being portrayed as an “ogre”. I mean, the cartoonist didn’t put a horned helmet on him or something, he chose a particular visual language that means something in this culture, in a context in which Obama was regularly being attacked by similar, even more explicit racist symbology.
Totally, totally disingenuous. Talk about denial.
No, you can criticize him — while simultaneously respecting how hurtful it is to many people in the US black community that a conventionally successful member of that community cannot achieve conventional success without alleged allies deploying symbols of discrimination.
Saying is doing, and the cartoonist did something by drawing Obama that way.
V. Arnold
The Stephen Miller Band
Kindly go fuck yourself!!!
You clog this blog with your off topic bile, and flood it with far too many posts per offered thread.
You’re an inconsiderate, selfish, strutting egoist, full of yourself; and an insufferable boor…
Mandos
“Existential” questions are the object of politics. The only way to a politics beyond usual are “politics as usual” — which includes the “normal politics” of, for instance, radicalizing the masses, the thing that radicals in the West have in recent times been less than successful at doing, for reasons I’ve tried to explain one way or another repeatedly for years and years here.
realitychecker
@ Mandos
If I symbolically cut your head off, will your actual head bounce when it hits the ground?
Your problem is that you think mindfuckery is a good thing.
It isn’t.
Will
My great-uncle Marvin was a big jokester and quite a character.
He loved to instigate trouble and delighted getting one over on those around him. I remember one time back in my youth when Marvin was egging on this other fellow about “planting by the signs” which he considered a practice rooted in complete superstition. The other fellow, George, was getting quite upset when Marvin told him to just point out the worst possible time to plant his potatoes that spring. George consulted his almanacs and his lunar charts (and whatever the hell else you need for that stuff) and chose his time.
Marvin planted on that date with a smile on his face. I can still remember later on that summer when he unveiled his harvest to George and the rest of us down at the local loafers roost in town. The man pulled some of the most gargantuan potatoes I’ve ever seen from the ground and laughed about it until he left this earth years later.
Two points:
1) All the internet arguments and pearl clutching in the world won’t change the size of the potatoes you grow… or how much CO2 is in the atmosphere. This climate agreement was of no more consequence to nature than George’s lunar charts and almanacs.
2) Mandos if you are going to instigate those around you it might be best if you took a page from Uncle Marvin and got a sense of humor about it. He won arguments in which the losers still had to smile at his impishness.
Will
Mandos
Yes, exactly. We have a global coordination problem and one of the biggest obstacles to climate action is global coordination on climate action. Anything that reinforces in the minds of the global public that global coordination is a thing to be desired is in turn a form of climate action. Saying is doing.
Bingo. Not only Thatcher’s policies but her cultural legacy has brought us to this point, what many people associate with Thatcher when they see her. For example, take Theresa May — her execrable figure started her Prime Ministerial journey by evoking Thatcherite imagery. She looks/looked like government. Part of the recent narrowing of her lead seems very much to be not only policy, but that she comes off like a “paper Thatcher”. In all cases, it is the ghost of Thatcher that sets the agenda.
Mandos
It depends on who you did it in front of. In front of the right kind of mob and it is entirely possible!
Whatever you call it, it’s not whether it’s a good thing or a bad thing. It just is, just like the climate. Perhaps it is a flaw in a species that does not possess a hive mind that by evolution simply has a single coordinated purpose. Then if a coordinated purpose is needed, it must be arranged for. That is why saying is doing.
Ssk
I am old enough to remember Kyoto–a similar agreement, only, unlike Paris, it was actually (supposedly) binding. I remember when Bush backed out. And I remember when Stephen Harper announced he was pulling Canada out. And here we are with a funhouse mashup of Bush and Harper (the former’s idiocy, the latter’s mendacity) in the White House repeating history as farce.
The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result.
When it comes to an issue as politically fraught as limiting carbon emissions, with front-loaded costs and intangible, perhaps imaginary, long-term benefits, there will always be some country that throws a monkeywrench into things. There are far too many people in this world, including both powerful and the powerless, who either don’t give a shit about climate change or don’t believe in it, or don’t believe it will affect them. Seeing the elites lining up to bash Trump on this issue, I have to wonder how it’s playing in Ohio. I imagine they are hoping their pollution-externalizing jobs will come back, if they even care at all.
Anyway, you don’t need US involvement for an effective treaty. Kyoto actually did help reduce emissions even though the worst offenders didn’t participate. And times have changed: the world’s carbon giant today is China, not the US, which has a diminishing share of global emissions. Let the other countries of the world show the twisted Americans a better way.
davidly
No they weren’t and still aren’t. What they are a symbol for is not doing anything material or significant against climate change — that thing you say doesn’t matter. So if, as you say, “symbols are at least as important as what is material”, then their being a symbol for not doing anything material against climate change would make the Paris accords much worse. But since you didn’t even get that part right (it is not true that symbols are a least as important as what is material) then the Paris accords aren’t quite as damaging as your dictum would dictate.
This post falls into the category of the second kind of climate change denial. We know the first kind, which is reported on and mocked regularly, and the US President is signatory. The second kind is in denial that we’re not doing anything about it.
BlizzardOfOz
“Saying is doing” – Mandos confirmed for the Platonic form of the Jewed Indian. This is pure Qabbalistic magical thinking of the same kind that underlies political correctness: if we just don’t call retarded people retarded, then they won’t be retarded anymore!
The Paris Accords’ main effect was the transfer of wealth from the West to the global elite and their clients. A more cynical man than I might suspect that was their entire purpose.
Stirling Newberry
>striving to block change until the cavalry came over the hill, and it never did.
Sure it did – after Waterloo. But that was way too late for her. As for brioche – probably a myth, but the reality is stranger – Rousseau put the story into print, before it was said – life imitating art.
realitychecker
@ BOO
“if we just don’t call retarded people retarded, then they won’t be retarded anymore!”
Can we just apply that principle to Mandos? I can’t imagine he would have any principled objection lol.
Mandos
See that’s why I enjoy your contributions even though I want all your works to perish from this earth: the imagery!
Pfff far more traditions and mythologies than qabbala have this concept.
V. Arnold
davidly
June 2, 2017
Well done you. I cannot agree more…
Ten Bears
That’s right, the cavalry never showed up. And she lost her head. Without ever knowing why. Yes, she probably never said brioche just as she probably never said “let hem eat cake”, and though ever The Lady she probably never apologized to the gaol for stumbling at the step. History is rewritten by those in a position to get away with it. That’s not the point. The point is she died without knowing why.
As Ian has pointed out, the future is not going to be pleasant. At some point the masses will mob up and those of the gated communities will discover those gates work both ways.
V. Arnold
Ten Bears
June 2, 2017
I particularly enjoyed your comment;
“At some point the masses will mob up and those of the gated communities will discover those gates work both ways.”
True; how true is yet to be played; but coming soon I think…
zotter
The speed bump in history is Trump, not working with other nations to deal with climate change. Is it bad news to take the next four years off from handling CO2 emissions and having a directed and unified front on CC? Sure, but we didn’t have that before and, unfortunately, we were already headed for disaster with or without the Paris Accords.
I do hope this unifies the climate supporters though and they put these morons in the back of the bus where they belong for the rest of the trip.
Willy
His usefulness, and this is marginal at best, lies in his tearing back the curtain on the kleptocracy which rules this country and sharpening the contradictions which underlie it. The country will survive Trump, but I do not think it will recover from him. Blind malevolent stupidity has its costs.
Sociopathy is as sociopathy does, and their words can have two meanings. I was hopeful at the beginning, but Trump is increasingly becoming (as some predicted, not really rocket science) a good opportunity to present kleptocracy as it is to the common voter.
But lets see what renegotiating “on terms that are fair to the United States” really means. Likely just another Trumpcare dupe deception (as some predicted, not really rocket science) but yet again, I guess we’ll be finding out what that really means.
The Stephen Miller Band
Mandos, are you German by any chance? If not, you’re hereby an honorary one. What you characterize them as, you are. You claim the Germans think they know everything and know what’s best for everyone and so too do you, therefore, you must be German.
The “Savage” you refer to has strapped sandals on — strapped all the way to its knees. Last time I checked, African Tribes weren’t wearing strapped sandals with the sandals strapped all the way to the knee. You assert the cartoonist meant to characterize Obama as an African Savage. If so, why the sandals? Why not a bone through the nose? Why a club versus a spear? I think the cartoonist went out of his/her way to avoid being racist and yet still paint Obama as the Ogre Enforcer for the Corporate Behemoths.
Hey, What Do You Know, Goliath Forgot His Helmet
The Stephen Miller Band
Mandos, you seem to imply, or you outright assert, that the Cartoonist in question has crossed a line. Cartoonists, to me at least, are a lot like Comedians. Comedians like Jim Carrey.
Jim Carrey, who I like by the way, said the following about Kathy Griffin’s Severed Head Stunt. I agree with Carrey, but the principle he espouses applies equally & judiciously.
As well, I will say it’s a Sad Statement that we have to rely on Comedians as the Last Line of Defense. It means all else has failed and the Comedians may be able to offer a bit of levity to vent some of the rage, but saying is not doing, therefore all this Comedy is getting nothing done. Quite the opposite.
This ubiquity of Politicized Comedy — SNL & The Daily Show & All The Late Night Offerings & Colbert & On & On — have had a neutralizing, paralyzing effect on people. They can laugh it off and go back to serving Moloch the next day, day in and day out until The World is no more — laughing all the way.
Jim Carrey On Kathy Griffin Controversy: Comedians Are ‘Last Line of Defense’ Against Trump
realitychecker
@ Mandos
“Do as I say, not as I do.”
“Do as I do, not as I say.”
Does that jog anything inside your skull, Mandos?
GH
“the unifying symbol of public agreement that climate change was a thing”
If all thats required is time and will power then I think we will be able to make another symbol.
different clue
@Will,
This is a side-point and a tangent I know, but . . . do you know what your great uncle Marvin did to grow those big potatoes? How he managed his soil, what he added to it, what he planted in the potato space the year before the potatoes went in there, etc.?
MojaveWolf
@Stirling — Even though you were (I think) disagreeing w/me, I agree w/you–we need more time that we don’t have, and Trump is going to (and already is) making the situation worse both by failing to take (and deliberately impeding, to some degree) measures to mitigate the short term damage and prevent the long term damage to reaching “inevitable death of biosphere” proportions.
And despite what I said above, I wish Trump had proven to be, well, sane, or not a complete fool, and used his position to convince his devoted loyalists that denial of reality would not warp the laws of the space-time continuum in accordance with their wishes and helped make the US the leader in preventing climate change that we should and that Obama easily could have made us had he chosen to do so (again, why I think Obama is flat out evil–unlike with Trump, I’m sure he DOES know better; I’m sure he’s smart and sane and aware of the facts; and yet he chose to kick the can down the road for someone else to have to deal with whenever “saving the world” came up against “costing big donors” money; Trump might be too utterly stupid or uncaring or to have any idea whether climate change is real or what the range of possible/probable outcomes might be, in which case he’s–well, his personal behavior still makes him an awful human being, but in this particular instance he might just be an idiot, not a monster; for anything other than judging his soul the end result is the same)
Hugh
Various thoughts:
The Paris Accords are a sham. Obamacare was/is a sham. As has been pointed out repeatedly above, these are steps away from, not steps toward addressing global climate change and healthcare in America, respectively. Mandos needs to go back and read what the Paris Accords actually say just as he needs to revisit the history of the healthcare debate of 2009-2010. Some of us here were heavily involved in that debate. The short form of it is that most progressives were played, bought off, not by Obamacare, but by a purposely vague, constantly shrinking, and finally eliminated public option which was supposed to be attached to it. In return, any mention, beyond an occasional derisive dismissal, of universal single payer/Medicare for All was suppressed. Obamacare was sold as healthcare for the people, but it was really welfare for the insurance industry. Rather than being a step toward a functioning universal system of healthcare such as most of the rest of the industrial world enjoys, Obamacare was instituted to keep such a system from ever happening in the US.
As for the Paris Accords, this is a comment I wrote back in November 2016 on them and the international process behind them:
Will
Different Clue: TBH I’m not sure of all the ins and outs but I do know that Marvin used a 3 year rotation on his garden. And I remember that the year of the disagreement with George the potatoes were on the section closest to the road so that we could all see how they were getting along all summer. And I know Marvin always ran a compost pile and used bag fertilizer sparingly.
Marvin was a pretty good gardener and I don’t know if he did anything different that year or not. I know he claimed that he didn’t. And just to dig the spur a little deeper he asked George for the worst day to plant every year after that, lol. That’s been 20 years ago and to this day you can still get a grin out of folks back home by bringing up that old bet.
Small town America…
MojaveWolf
@Mandos — Of course rhetoric matters (sometimes). Of course propaganda works (sometimes). That’s why people use rhetoric and governments and corporations use propaganda.
If you are trying to say any of us are disputing this, you are arguing w/imaginary foes. No one is saying rhetoric never influences events and no one is saying propaganda never works.
But “saying is doing”– Okay, Trump keeps talking about MAGA. He and his supporters could hardly say this more. Are their words making America great again? NO. (we can agree on this, right?)
Trump kept talking about improving the lives of Americans. Do you think he’s taking steps that will accomplish this? If he doesn’t, do you think it matters that he keeps talking about it?
If not, why are Trump’s symbols unimportant, but Obama’s are mighty?
Obama was a MUCH better speaker than Trump (to be fair, Obama is probably the best public speaker and the best at using speeeches to persuade of anyone I have ever seen), and frequently, his speeches about the need to fight global warming were quite good, but the actions were sadly lacking. One could argue (I would argue) that he did the absolute bare minimum to keep significant chunks of base from rebelling, when it was obligatory upon him to do much more if he actually believed what he was saying. The hypocrisy was noted and helped provide fodder for opponents and helped convince people who were otherwise unsure that the whole issue wasn’t really a big deal, because if it was, why the fuck weren’t our fearless leaders trying to DO anything? Why did they keep babbling about “the great threat” whilst promoting fracking? The only answers are they didn’t really believe what they said (the right wing position) or they were evil sociopathic scum who figured every living thing dying in the fairly near future didn’t matter as long as it all happened after they were dead, and the worst would probably happen after they were dead, and probably someone else could fix it for them so they could have their cake and eat it too (my position).
The best rhetoric in the world means nothing if you don’t follow through on it. Obama pushed for transparency in government yet was the toughest administration ever on whistle blowers; spoke about bringing justice to the people who destroyed the economy yet actively made sure nothing like that ever got close to happening, and argued for one thing then did another more than any other public figure I can ever remember (Trump has probably already surpassed this, in his own unique way; given that he has taken two contradictory sides on practically every issue at one point or another, everything he does is going to be against something he has said) .
It’s sad–Obama had the rhetorical and political skills you so admire, and he had the moment. The entire country was as desperate then as in 2016, but unlike Trump and Bernie the desperate voters weren’t split and were all with him. He could have done anything he wanted. He … was a more competent version of Bush, with better rhetoric.
You say you don’t live in the US anymore, so maybe you just have a wrong impression (hint: Breitbart and Red State do not represent the majority of American voters) and aren’t a knowing propagandist of lies, but he could have pushed single payer through just as easily as the garbage he did push through. The public will was there, the public was happily malleable on top of that and desperate for someone to do practically ANYTHING, we had dem majorities everywhere. He could’ve pushed through an adequate economic stimulus instead of a band-aid guaranteed to fail, long term; he could’ve pushed through a massive infrastructure rebuild and a massive green energy program. He didn’t even try to do any of these things, and actively subverted any effort to do so. His good rhetoric and wonderful symbolism instead went to prop up the kleptocracy as best he could.
You can babble about category errors all you want, but that is all true. The Paris accords were not a symbol that motivated people to do anything. Their destruction might be, but I don’t think you can honestly say that was a goal when they were signed (or even that all the signatories had the same goal, or viewed it as the same sort of symbol). You can try to make excuses for the people who keep killing the world, but it’s becoming ever more obvious that they ARE killing the world, and pretending that tossing a dixie cup on a fire is meaningful is truly just as despicable as tossing a gasoline can on it.
MojaveWolf
+1 to everything Davidly said. And a few others.
MojaveWolf
Also +1 to everything Hugh said. And I’ll quit w/the plus 1’s for now. Gotta go anyway.
Will
Different Clue: Oops, almost forgot, Marvin planted clover on his garden after harvest and tilled it under before planting. Every year. That is one habit that seems to have been passed down thru the family.
I also inherited the impish personality. :p
Will
Hugh
Various thoughts (cont.)
Trump is not a populist, although he plays one on TV. He is an American kleptocrat. He is also a liar, but then so are the likes of Merkel, Macron, and May. What’s up with the letter M and European leaders, anyway? What has the panties of our ruling classes both here and abroad in such a twist is that Trump’s lies are so out of whack that they destabilize, undercut, and show up their carefully crafted, and completely mendacious and self-serving, narratives.
Let us all reverentially salute the Paris Accords, not that they solve climate change or keep it to acceptable levels, but because they address the issue and show how very serious and responsible our rulers are. All hail the Accords! It is like calling the captain and crew of the Titanic heroes. They saw the iceberg well in advance, and maybe even decided to slow the ship a little. Of course, the ship will still hit the iceberg and sink, but hey, what great guys!
What I can’t help finding funny is that now that the US is out, or sort of out, or possibly was never actually in, China, one of the world’s great polluters and contributors to greenhouse gas emissions is now being touted as the new savior to global climate change. And elite consensus did this mental gymnastic without missing a beat, or tripping over its incongruity.
But returning to Trump, as I said, once you cut through the populist crap, he is a kleptocrat through and through. He will say it is all about helping the American people, but follow the money. Helping the American people always seems to come down to sending more wealth to rich people, like him, and the corporations they own.
NR
@MojaveWolf
“Why did they keep babbling about “the great threat” whilst promoting fracking?”
Obama didn’t promote fracking, he tried to regulate it and it was struck down by the courts.
bruce wilder
Naked Capitalism pointed me to an article appearing in my local paper, the L.A. Times, occasioned by Elon Musk and Disney’s Robert Iger resigning from some sort of Trump advisory boards in protest. The article ends with this revelation: “And Lloyd Blankfein, the CEO of Goldman Sachs, condemned Trump’s move — doing so in his first-ever tweet.”
As liberalism has become nothing more that a suit of rhetorical clothes for plutocratic power, so “symbolism” has become its stock-in-trade.
The symbolism of the Paris Climate Accords was a blockade on effective action, at least on effective action that doesn’t slide all the costs onto the poor and merely middle class.
Alan Smithee
“Saying is doing.”
Saying is Doing???
And people wonder why our climates is so screwed up.
Ché Pasa
Note to those of you arguing against the Paris Accords and in favor of Trump’s withdrawal:
Your arguments are not the ones being made by Trump.
The sham nature of the Accords do not enter into his argument against them. The ineffectivenesss of the Accords is hypothetical. It’s simply false to continue to claim that “nothing has been done” about climate change since Kyoto.
What enters into his arguments are sovereignty, jobs lost, nationalism, America First, and refusal to transfer money from the rich to the not in order to enable greater compliance by those with fewer resources.
When you start dealing with these things on his plane, the absurdity of what Trump has done becomes clear.
DMC
What’s that stuff they use to pave the road to Hell with? Oh yeah, “Good Intentions”.
Peter
@MohaveWolf
If you are going to remain a true believer in the Technocrat solutions to GW then you’ll need to begin loving fracked gas. The CPP depended on fracked gas to replace coal and meet its CO2 reduction goals, it’s the only viable, abundant and relatively cheap replacement fuel.
These growing moments of crisis for the powerless Warmers seem to bring out some of the extreme thoughts of certain believers. They’re the ones who describe the international mandates already agreed to as ineffective, too weak and not enough. They don’t offer what would be enough because it would probably be an authoritarian world government structure that could force compliance and maybe even torch some non-believing heretics in the fires of inquisition.
There is a quiet celebration happening in many places because we how have Trump who will confront these fanatics and their agenda. He and Tillerman won’t blink when dealing with this type of power seeking globalist they have faced before.
Ivory Bill Woodpecker
–Square Root of 100 Ursine Mammals
–Source uncertain, but often attributed to classic “Robber Baron” tycoon Jay Gould
different clue
@Will,
I am a hobby gardener. My survival does not depend on it. Maybe I can learn enough to do it effectively for real when my survival does depend on it.
Planting by the signs is one of those things I want to believe in. But I haven’t seen or even heard of the kind of double-blinded ( or even triple-blinded for something this controversial) research which could answer that question. Perhaps the “worst days” to plant potatoes really were bad, but your great uncle was good enough a gardener so as to be able to overpower the “bad days” effect. How would one construct an experiment to figure that out? Till someone does, all we have are anecdata.
Meanwhile, the truth is out there. I want to believe.
peonista
“saying is doing” No!
If you act like a jerk in a relationship but say you are sorry you are not doing anything meaningful to improve the relationship. Even if you are genuinely sorry as long as you continue to act like a jerk I am foolish to stay in a relationship with you. Being “sorry” is the symbolism, stopping acting like a jerk is the action. One is easy and one is hard. One is manipulative bullshit, the other is meaningful change.
You are arguing that being a jerk and promising to change is better than being a jerk and not promising to change. You are still a jerk; and I am still in a terrible destructive relationship. You being sorry about it only makes it more confusing and difficult for me to make meaningful change and leave your sorry ass.
Hard to believe you do not see the difference Mandos.
Webstir
Pretty much every move Donald has made has been straight out of the “inverse” identity politics playbook. I’ve maintained for some time that there really is no difference between Hillary and Donald. Or, their supporters for that matter. They are both Ivy League educated neoliberal kleptocrats that simply reward different constituencies their bezzle. Their supporters are of a kind too. Both just self-absorbed enough to be transfixed by the shiny identity (or inverse identity) politics course du jour.
That all it was Mandos. Just one more serving of right wing identity politics grist to keep the base distracted from the bezzle. Same as it ever was.
Tom W Harris
Dunno, blizzy baby. If we don’t call a Jew-hating sonofabitch a Jew-hating sonofabitch, does that mean he won’t be a Jew-hating sonofabitch anymore?
costrike
Agreed that the agreement is symbolic in nature. I’m not sure about the damage. Everyone knows the emperor wears no clothes. Some will still use this as cover for their ills, but I think many more will increase their commitments because now there is a common enemy. Donald Trump has made himself the ugly face of climate change.
Tally ho!
Some Guy
Bruce Wilder: “As liberalism has become nothing more that a suit of rhetorical clothes for plutocratic power, so “symbolism” has become its stock-in-trade.”
Yes, that is 100% spot on, and we are seeing that distilled into its purest essence here in Canada, with Trudeau in charge.
Still, I think there is more to it than just liberalism and its discontents, it seems to me that across the entire spectrum of political beliefs there has been a general retreat from reality and from action into symbolism and abstraction.
To me, this finds its clearest expression in the changing language. Where once we had hospitals, we now have medical centres, where once there was a gym, now a health club, where once a bank, now a financial institution, etc. Once your brain starts noticing this pattern, you will see it everywhere – it may even start to affect your ‘wellness’.
Trump is a throwback in his lack of abstraction – in the crudeness of his corruption, in the baring of his prejudices, in the transparency and the pettiness of his schemes. I guess that is where we are at now, the ‘leader of the free world’ was chosen because the inept nature of his corruption and awfulness was interpreted by the voting public (not entirely incorrectly) as ‘authenticity’ in comparison to the much slicker bs artists he was competing against.
Sure, the Paris Accord is/was a joke, and maybe Trump’s symbolic gesture will help or maybe it will hurt, but even if we magically solve climate change there are any number of other problems coming for us. Fundamentally, the problem is us. I suppose technology might give us the chance to change what ‘us’ is and how ‘us’ works before ‘us’ does us all in, but any changes implemented via technology will still be done by ‘us’ so don’t get your hopes up.
As time goes by, more and more I realize the genius of Margaret Atwood’s ‘Oryx and Crake’ and how she surely meant it as a utopian rather than a dystopian or apocalyptic vision of the future.
Peter
I can’t help but smiling watching the snowflake warmers remain stuck in the first stage of grief, denial, due to their massive and continuing loses. This stagnation guarantees they will remain disconnected from voter’s needs and will continue to slide into a permanent loser status.
While the snowflake pearl-clutching continues many working people can reflect on the destruction of a number of real threats to their well being. The Red Queen was stopped dead in her slouching towards DC, broken on the election wheel and left on display and I think deep down even some of the snowflakes know that was a good thing. Next Trump smashed the TPP another globalist threat to working people but that was just the beginning of the unwinding of real threats not the over-imagined and agenda fed warmer catastrophe fantasies.
The next bold move was to directly attack and lance the political climate change cist growing to control the EPA. This was reason for much garment rending and wailing from the CC scientist class who thought they had international political protection. Trump has permanently destroyed that illusion and the so called symbolic Paris Accord can no longer produce real disruption, displacement and job loss, through the CPP, in the US without a vote of any kind for or against its imposition.
peonista
By the way, thank you Ian for continuing to let Mandos put his thoughts here. Mandos is a great standard bearer for liberalism. The comments to his positions always help me debate with my faux left liberal friends.
Stirling Newberry
The ultra-neoliberalism is folding. What is the difference? A neoliberal wants the correct level of foreign trade – which is often much more than what union people want – the ultras want more trade regardless of whether it is in anyone’s best interest. That’s why FDR and WSC were neoliberals, but not ultras. The problem is that ultras run out of things to profitably the liberalise, and then the pyramid scheme takes over.
The problem in the US, is that NAFTA was good, in general, for the US economy – which unions did not like, and the conservative Democrats didn’t have a good idea for what to shove them into. Instead, they talked about “training”, but did not have any ideas as to what to train them in – though there were a few businesses, but they were reserved for profit laundering companies. So they wanted to profit from it rather than grow employment.
But everything after NAFTA was at best a wash, and more likely the deficit to the economy – except for oil and coal ( with natural gas providing “competition”), which is never a good thing for the US economy. The problem with the left is very simple: they must replace oil with other things because fossil fuels will bankrupt the American economy even as it, itself, can make money – not counting the damage it does. When the damage it does is counted, one can see that it doesn’t actually make money, it transfers it – but renewables make more money, though they don’t have as large a business block. This will change.
The end sign will be a Paris Accord II with real teeth.
Willy
Why would the CEOs of Exxon, GE, Chevron and SpaceX all be against Trump on this?
DrFrank
Seriously, Trump understands that all that matters is to grow your pile as big as possible. That way, you and your family or your heirs will survive while the poor and the middle class will be devastated by climate change or by nuclear war, whichever. Cover it with whatever symbolism, rhetoric or ideology you like.
If climate change were really a threat to the global 1%, it would have been addressed long ago.
For quite a while now, it has been too late to prevent significant harm to many, many people.
Lowered emissions and economically viable renewables are at best going to slow but not prevent widespread damage. What the world needs is fewer people. Technology will make peasants and manual labor obsolete.
Say whatever, mix it up good. Prepare for war and civil conflict. Cut the funding for social safety nets and increase the allocation to the police and the military. What don’t you get about Trump?
The Stephen Miller Band
Exactly, DrFrank. People need to read The Writing On The Subway Walls, because, afterall, it’s The Words of the Prophets — The True Prophets — that you’ll find written there.
Here’s some of that writing on The Subway Wall. I consider it deliberate poisoning and a sign of things to come. In 40 years, there will be hardly any fresh, untainted water. In 40 years, across most of the planet, life expectancy will drop precipitously not only in developing nations but especially in developed nations and The Masses will be dying of all manner of diseases from lack of access to fresh, clean, life-sustaining water and no access to effective, affordable healthcare.
In my opinion, POTABLE WATER, relatively clean of contaminants, is the most dire Habitat Destruction issue when speaking to, and about, environmental damage. It is the means by which The Herd will be Culled rather quickly and horribly. And Flint is Ground Zero for America and from there it will spread like GORT.
The following is a great documentary. It underscores what DrFrank has mentioned. Your Death Warrant, my Death Warrant, unless you’re Filthy Rich, has been signed, sealed & delivered already. We are quite literally Dead Men Walking.
Poisoned Water
Merasmus
@bruce wilder
“As liberalism has become nothing more that a suit of rhetorical clothes for plutocratic power, so “symbolism” has become its stock-in-trade.”
That’s all liberalism ever was. Marx was making this very point 150+ years ago. And Mandos demonstrates it with every inane comment and post he makes. I can only assume that Welsh is using Mandos to illustrate the navel-gazing, meaningless absurdity of neoliberalism. In fact, how do we know Mandos isn’t actually just a sockpuppet of Welsh?
Trump has been wonderful for getting people to finally start getting outraged about all the things that were already happening. Withdrawing from the Paris Agreement is meaningless because the Paris Agreement was itself always toothless and meaningless. But it may ultimately lead to some other agreement that actually does something.
To point to the same thing happening with another issue, we absolutely, positively, would not be seriously talking about Single-payer Healthcare had Hillary Clinton won. But with Trump having won, people are now actually talking about how crap Obamacare really is, how it’s imploding, and how we need to just bypass private health insurance companies altogether.
Of course, the biggest danger is all the genuine outrage and new activism being co-opted by establishment Democrats to get people to vote for more of the same old, failed liberalism. You know, the crowd Mandos exactly represents. Liberals, as ever, remain the most dangerous enemy of progressivism.
different clue
@Peter,
Have you bought land in coastal South Florida yet? Or maybe in coastal Louisiana?
different clue
Here is an interesting take on the Paris Accords itself from a commenter at Naked Capitalism. It also includes a linkable site-source. I will cut-paste it here.
dontknowitall
June 3, 2017 at 8:49 am
Re All the crying about Trump pulling out of the Paris agreement, here’s a quote from the world socialist website:
“At the time of its adoption in 2015, leading climate scientist James Hansen aptly characterized it as a “fraud” and a “fake.” That the Paris agreement has the support of major corporate giants, including energy companies like ExxonMobil, says everything about its true character.”
http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2017/06/03/pers-j03.html#pk_campaign=sidebar&pk_kwd=perspectives
I remember how shabbily Obama treated James Hansen so it grates to hear him bleating about Trump.
The Paris agreement is first and foremost a grifting mechanism to pass on moneys, 100 billion in the case of the US, to less developed nations whose people will never see a single cent as it gets bleed to intermediaries, banksters, NGOs and ‘foundations’. This is Clinton’s Haiti writ large. Its sole purpose is to make it look like something is being done while nothing actually changes, meanwhile after signing the agreement the EU proceeded to increase its CO2 emissions since 2014.
https://euobserver.com/environment/137777
Most progress to date has been due to technical innovations generating efficiencies in solar and wind, to the point that coal and oil are in trouble, and not due to political theater.
Reply ↓
MoiAussie
June 3, 2017 at 9:37 am
You get it. I would have linked this, on Paris and Australia’s dirty plans, here if I’d seen this first.
Governments with dirty carbon resources are doing their utmost to extract economic value from them as fast as possible to prop up their financialised economies, aided and abetted by energy multinationals, before these “assets” are stranded. Paris was nothing more than a PR exercise to provide cover for crimes against the planet and create some iron ricebowls.
Reply ↓
metamars
Trump made a key point about cost/benefit ratio of CO2 mitigation, ala Paris:
“Even if the Paris Agreement were implemented in full, with total compliance from all nations it is estimated it would only produce a two tenths of one degree – think of that, this much – Celsius reduction in global temperature by the year 2100.”
Unfortunately, both Candidate Trump and President Trump are doing a lousy job presenting the scientific case against CO2 catastrophism. Trump has mostly justified withdrawing from the Paris agreement on economic grounds; secondarily on national sovereignty grounds.
There IS a middle road, but neither the Trump Administration nor the Democratic true believers in CO2 catastrophism are talking about it. The middle road doesn’t need either side to concede that they were wrong about the science.
The middle road is investment in new and improved green technology. See Lomborg: http://reason.com/blog/2017/06/02/bjorn-lomborg-paris-climate-accord
There are ethical and practical reasons to “drain the (scientific) swamp”, so Trump should go after climate fraudsters, in any event. However, he could do that, educate the public on the true state of climate science, and still go with Lomborg’s plan, magnanimously declaring that the precautionary principle practically demands doing so. That would benefit him, politically.
Well, neither he nor his staff is that bright, are they? Similarly, I don’t know of any prominent Democrats calling for the middle road, either. They’re either ignorant, or not really believing of their own climate talking points.
Additionally, Trump could also have done a much better job educating the American public about financial beneficiaries of CO2 catastrophist inspired mitigation schemes. See, e.g., http://motls.blogspot.com/2011/12/carbon-allowances-jump-32-percent-after.html
(N.B.: Dan Rather has claimed that Trump’s decision was based on neither reason nor science. The first is obviously a lie, and the second is almost certainly a lie, as Trump has taken the counsel of both Dr Happer, as well as Christopher Monckton. Monckton has been busy, these last few years, destroying the flimsy theoretical methods used by climate modelers, in particular their misuse of engineering feedback mathematics. See https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-OtUcV8vS2k )
Mandos
I do not need to revisit that history — I was right here, arguing with y’all about it, as well as, for a brief time, at Corrente, and lurking at FDL. And the same arguments were made about the politics of Obamacare, and I fundamentally disagreed with them, and the same insults/accusations were levelled, etc, etc. The fundamental problem is that y’all are trapped in a rather optimistic framework that there is actually an underlying public demand for the policies you like, and that the establishment is actually trying to pretend to deliver those policies via cheap and/or deliberately counterproductive substitutes.
Back then (I haven’t heard people talk about this much), this very wrong belief was justified by survey and opinion-assessment techniques that ripped the policy question out of its social/political/cultural context.
Again, it assumes that universal health care is a policy that would have somehow gone forward without the passing of Obamacare. The underlying problem always was and is cultural and notional, and that is the same with climate change. What needs to be addressed is how people feel, in sum — only then can one potentiate “real” action.
Mandos
I see I have once again gotten a citation at NC, except that once again, it is attributed to Ian, because I guess no one ever reads the bylines or the bold, allcaps disclaimer I put in because no one ever reads the bylines… Then confusion ensues in the comments as to why Ian is not giving them the “good stuff” they consume like addicts as they go after oversensitive identity-politics lefties for being so politically intolerant, etc etc.
Have a dose of reality: saying is doing.
Mandos
That is because you are using the wrong metaphor. The sort of metaphor that would fit would be ones where you attempt to get a large group of people with disparate interests and sentiments to do something urgent that not all of them even believe in, but requires all of them to act. And you have no weapon to force them all to do it. An abusive relationship is the wrong metaphor, because it removes the crucial element here that makes politics political.
Ché Pasa
What they want is a caudillo or God-Emperor who will tell everyone to be/do what he wants, who will brook no opposition, who will enforce his (always a he) will with as much violence as the situation requires, and who will be loved and praised for it.
Politics disturbs them.
Rule thrills them.
Obama might have been The One, but he refused to Rule. Instead, he engaged in (ick) Politics. Sanders sold out. Clinton was impossible for reasons both known and unknown. Trump became The One, the Ultra Alpha, but he is not being allowed to Rule by the snowflakes and Clintonites whose power must be smashed and whose existence must be… terminated.
And so it goes.
Merasmus
“The fundamental problem is that y’all are trapped in a rather optimistic framework that there is actually an underlying public demand for the policies you like”
Gee, it’s not like these ideas having majority support in polling or anything. Oh…wait…
“and that the establishment is actually trying to pretend to deliver those policies via cheap and/or deliberately counterproductive substitutes.”
That’s literally exactly what is happening. Because real change would be too disruptive to the various rice bowls the establishment, liberals included, depends on for their status and income.
“Again, it assumes that universal health care is a policy that would have somehow gone forward without the passing of Obamacare.”
I distinctly remember the campaign for the ACA involving the deliberate deception and then betrayal of public option supporters, to say nothing of the “the little single-payer advocates”, in Obama’s own words. As for right now, I see an increasing number of Republicans taking the idea seriously, while establishment Dems refuse to endorse it, instead deploying long debunked conservative talking points as their excuse. I’ll say it again, if Cliinton had one we wouldn’t be having this conversation. Liberals would mostly be ignoring the disintegration of Obamacare because the person in charge has a (D) in front of their name (we’ve danced this dance many times before). But since the guy in charge has a (R), and is Trump at that, suddenly there’s unleashed momentum to actually make a revolutionary change. Again, no thanks to the Dems. The Democratic Party stifles progressive change, it doesn’t facilitate it.
“I see I have once again gotten a citation at NC, except that once again, it is attributed to Ian, because I guess no one ever reads the bylines or the bold, allcaps disclaimer I put in because no one ever reads the bylines…”
To be honest, one doesn’t even need to read the byline. The difference between Mandos and Ian Welsh is that Mandos is an idiot, while Welsh isn’t. So if the post is moronic, by definition it almost certainly wasn’t written by Welsh.
Ten Bears
Square root of a hundred ursine mammals? Pig shit? I thought better of you, Bill. In the end the population couldn’t tell the difference twix the pigs, and the humans.
Every now and then even a blind squirrel hits one out of the park: by the end of the twenty-first century (pig era) potable water may well be the single most valuable commodity on the planet.
Ranks right up there with a breathable atmosphere.
Mandos
You missed the part where I said: “this very wrong belief was justified by survey and opinion-assessment techniques that ripped the policy question out of its social/political/cultural context.”
You can get people to agree to all kinds of things in a survey that takes the question outside of its social context. My opponents, including yourself, stop exactly at the point of the survey without giving the slightest thought to how it connects to the crucial issue of who gets to sit where in Washington DC, in state legislatures, etc, etc. The characteristics of representative democracy is what is missing from the argument. In a representative system.
The most hilarious example of this was when some pro-single payer group attempted to “improve” opinion research by having a kind of citizens jury kind of thing where people deliberate rationally about policy — and naturally came up with single payer as the best solution, which of course it is! But what election that supports political careers operates like a calm citizens jury where people are led to particular conclusions by factual discussion?
I remember lots of people like you repeatedly using the Lucy/football Charlie Brown metaphor. The lack of self-consciousness is amazing. What do you think that “increasing number of Republicans taking the idea seriously” (LOL) going to actually do? How do you think its going to play in their primaries if they actually tried to do anything about it?
Again, we’re relitigating an old debate, but this Paris/Trump business has raised all those issues again. The first and foremost need is to have the symbolic agreement that there is a problem to be solved, that developed countries have different obligations from developing countries, that it is a problem that requires international coordination, etc, etc. Until you take that seriously, forget it.
Mandos
Yeah, basically. It’s the logical conclusion of the “show me the money” attitude to politics. The logical result of contempt for the role of political feeling and sentiment, even among those who have the best policy hopes, is support for authoritarian rule.
Again, agreed. And the idea that the Cossacks work for the Czar, trotted out when Obama was in power, is suddenly submerged. After all, even Republicans are now musing seriously about single payer, right right?
Mandos
Haha. The NC people think I was a mainstay at DailyKos. I had a diary there for a few months as I recall and occasionally got upvoted but that was in political internet pre-history, practically — I haven’t written there in well over a decade. But I used to get around quite a bit on the internet, and I think when people see a name they vaguely recognize, they ascribe it to DailyKos as the most likely place.
Ivory Bill Woodpecker
Very well, why can’t the (mis)ruling class simply hire the half of the working class who are so well-trained to docility that they will never get uppity to kill the other half who will at least consider getting uppity?
Ivory Bill Woodpecker
Or more to the point in the USA, why can’t the misruling class fall back on its ancient strategy of hiring goons from the ranks of the Stupid White Folks to kill anyone, of any skin tone, who gets uppity?
Peter
@Metamars
Don’t surrender to the political consensus builders such as Lomborg, they are just as dangerous as the green agenda technocrats. Trump has broken the momentum the Warmers had gained using altered data and propaganda that led people to believe they had answers. The Warmers will continue to seek the power of a world government type structure to build a green industrial revolution that is not that green but is certainly industrial.
None of the huge amounts of additional CO2 or other GHG’s produced by this revolution will disappear when the clean power starts flowing, it will be in the atmosphere for a long time. If you are a believer in the Warmer CO2 catastrophe story adding a new huge source of GHG’s to already high levels seems insane, unless this is more about profits than climate.
This may be why it is difficult to find much research on the actual environmental costs of building this green industry. It seems that most Warmers and the pop-science rags that report on this want the rubes to continue to believe that solar panels are grown like cabbages by those clever Chinese.
A hidden cost of the rapidly growing EV/solar battery industry is that much more mining is needed to meet even todays production shortfall of cobalt that is slowing this industries expansion. Half of existing production of cobalt comes from the CAR so those nice clean EV’s are dependent on Blood Cobalt.
DMC
They can and have. People haven’t gotten very uppity of late. As the wheels come off the wagon of state, that’s apt to change. As our recent military escapades demonstrate, the US military is GREAT at mass devastation. Actually defeating a popular insurgency, not so much. There are number of ways a potential revolution could occur and not all of them require armed mobs or easily detainable individuals. Check out William S. Burroughs’ essays on revolutionary theory and practice some time. There’s more than one way to bring down a state and the attack most likely to succeed is the one concealed until the last moment.
Hugh
I second Merasmus. Mandos is the liberal counterpart of the right wing nutter. If the liberal Establishment doesn’t validate something, then it doesn’t exist and no one wants it. So if the liberal Establishment only wanted to talk about and support the corporate welfare of Obamacare, then obviously no one wanted universal single payer, and any evidence to the contrary is made up and completely untrustworthy. How do they know this? Because if anyone wanted Medicare for All, it would have been because they the liberals would have been talking about it. Since they weren’t, nobody wanted it. QED.
Elitism, paternalism, and virulent anti-populism are three cardinal characteristics of liberalism. Basically, the liberal position is that they know more and better than the rest of us. So if we know what’s good for us, we will shut up and do what they say. Liberalism, like conservatism, can never fail. They can only be failed because the rest of us were insufficiently obedient and we did not do enough.
Mandos
No, that is not at all what I said, and it is a disingenuous reinterpretation of it at best. It is or not primarily with the what the “liberal establishment” “wants” or doesn’t “want”, it is what will get career politicians elected or not elected, given the political system that exists. And if you think a major reorganization of the political system that involves the abolition of the private insurance sector is something that would have let marginal politicians who have effective veto power survive the next elections, you simply know nothing about the country in which you (and I at the time, but not now) live.
No, lots of people wanted Medicare For All, but not enough to support political careers. Instead, the most politically ineffective and electorally fickle segment of the American political spectrum wanted it. That’s enough alone to ruin it, but there was a bigger problem along the critical path: American culture, American beliefs about taxes and social insurance, and yes, American racial (and other cultural) politics.
Mandos
I mean, it’s a cliché these days, but the Manichaean thinking that goes on around this sort of subject is weird and astounding. If you think that the political approach of single-payer supporters has been the wrong one, it must be that you are in thrall to the thinking of the “Liberal establishment” who doesn’t want single payer. The idea that there could be other reasons why single payer was out of reach back then is simply not on order, there is just a good guy and a bad guy, and the bad guy is taking away opportunities that really did exist, etc, etc.
Medicare for All’s principal obstacle was an is a cultural mental block in the minds of the American public that resolves itself as a widespread lack of acceptance, even outright rejection, that modern health care should be accessible to those who can’t pay for it, that the uninsurable should nevertheless be insured. Obamacare (or really, any plan) was a step in the direction of overcoming that mental block — whatever else it did or didn’t do, however terrible it was, it had that crucial characteristic. The evidence for this is the on-going difficulty of a Republican-dominated Congress in getting rid of it on the schedule they had envisioned.
It’s the same for climate and the same for the Paris agreement. There is a mental block in the minds of the world, but particularly the American public. The key to collective action is to get over the mental blocks. Saying is doing.
Hugh
So Democrats keep running to the right to get the most conservative Democrat possible elected, usually helping authentic Republicans elected instead, and then moan about not being able to get a more progressive agenda passed because they have a lot of conservatives in their ranks. Except of course that they don’t try, let alone fight for, anything progressive. What conclusion does Mandos draw from all this? It’s the progressives’ fault and then he doubles down on his saying is doing BS.
The simple question is this: What reason do progressives, or really anyone else, have to vote for Democrats/liberals? Answer: None.
Peter
@Mandos
You seem more confused than usual claiming that single-payer doesn’t have widespread public support in the US at least for the superficial description of that complex agenda offered by its promoters. Some wise people besides the insurance industry in California have started investigating the effects of this proposal and made a conservative estimate of 13,000 jobs lost immediately upon the switch with many more lost as the shock moves through the economy. These displaced insurance workers and the businesses they worked for will not be paying as much of the local and federal taxes they do now and this revenue loss could be huge.
This and other disruption caused by the switch to SP may not overwhelm the benefits of the switch but people should make an informed decision and be offered honest information about who benefits, who will be harmed and who will pay.
I’m not certain but it seems that the Warmer fear and panic juggernaut is sinking especially now that the Hegemon has cut them adrift. Decades of conditioning will not easily be put aside while new more rational and accurate predictions about the future are produced. For those who remain panicked with fear looking at the Netherlands might help. They have been fighting and winning the battle against the rising sea for a thousand years and they now build their structures to withstand the ten thousand year storm.
Mandos
Now we’re getting somewhere. The fundamental problem of sustainable coalition-building in representative democracy — where there are, in addition to overlapping interests, inevitably contradictory interests, moral world views, etc.
Let me put it like this: say in some hypothetical alternate universe, you got yourself elected back then to Congress in the leftiest district in the USA and had managed to get majority support from the Democrats on single payer. Presumably, some Democrats would have had to fall on their swords for it, but OK, they did it — in that alternate timeline. Would you be satisfied then?
What can your negotiating partners expect from you, when they have to defend some other interest you abhor in order to maintain themselves in office? At what point will they be able to predict that you’d vote for something you despise, in order to help them remain in power? Now that you got your single payer. Will you vote to help protect the credit card industry in some fellow congressman’s district? What?
Until you can answer that, why should anyone deal with you? For anyone attempting to run a political career, they are going to be very afraid of relying on a political constituency who is, as I said, electorally fickle — no predictable point at which they will give something to interests they hate. Now, there is an alternative way of thinking about this…
…which is not to play the game at all, and instead attempt either to supplant the Democratic party or supplant the system as a whole. I suggest the former is easier than the latter. So yes, you can conclude that you have no reason to vote for Democrats or any incumbent player in US representative democracy (which is in many ways an oxymoron, but whatever). You can conclude that, because you have decided that there is no point at which your negotiating partners should rely on you give them something they need to further their political careers, when it compromises your political principles.
So, OK, you have a policy message that you think has broad support. Since this support is as broad and deep as you seem to think, why not supplant the Democratic party by running candidates of your own? It should be easy to attract votes — after all, we know that the American public claims, in polls, to want a lot of things that the “guns-and-butter” left want. It seems like it should have happened already…
Hugh
So Democrats are just career politicians who don’t believe in anything, or stand for anything, or fight for anything other than their own personal interest. For Mandos, the pragmatic thing is to sell out to them for pennies on the dollar and even though they have long histories of screwing us out of even the pennies. Mandos just keeps digging his hole deeper and deeper.
Thank goodness the two parties haven’t erected institutional obstacles to the creation of third parties and other challenges to their power, even mild ones like the Sanders’ campaign. Thank goodness the media treats such efforts seriously and covers them fairly. Oh wait …
realitychecker
Give me a thousand Mandos’ and I can rule the asylum!!!!
realitychecker
(Or is it “Mandii”???) 🙂
Mandos
There’s no hole to dig — I’ve argued for years and years that the political career is the central feature of a hierarchical, representative political system. Even if you enter the system with the best of intentions, the primary goal of any political representative in the US system designed the way it is is to advance a political career. Why? It’s because the amount of influence one has within the system in accomplishing the secondary goal of the political system — producing policy — is related to whether one’s career is rising or falling.
That is more or less the explicit intent of the political system in most large representative democracies — to reorient policy-making around the personal interactions of a small group of people, rather than mass movements and political convictions.
Insofar as those have had an influence, it has been under exceptional conditions where the system itself has broken apart (say, the US Civil War and the period surrounding it), or when the leaders of those mass movements have been willing/able to operate within the system knowing the above, while holding together a mass movement. Walking and chewing gum.
But we have, peculiarly, a large section of the US left unwilling to concede the primacy of the political career, yet unable to construct or even clearly envision the means to proceed without them.
There will always be barriers. These are your options:
1. Operate within existing political parties, but then you need to offer a compromise to existing incumbents that they can accept as well as demonstrate that you really can bring enough votes for your own policy.
2. Start a new party — but you say that there are institutional obstacles to this.
3. Supplant the system entirely — the system has an army.
4. Ignore the system and attempt to persuade the public to your viewpoint without attempting to participate in the legislative process, in the hope that down the road they’ll vote for someone who will implement your preferences — but you say that you can’t get a fair hearing from the media.
5. Abstain completely from any kind of political engagement.
nihil obstet
@Mandos
electorally fickle = defines voters who elect representatives to make their lives better and, when the elected representatives make their lives worse, doesn’t vote for them again.
I’m definitely electorally fickle.
nihil obstet
Despite my electoral fickleness, the congressional reelection rate is 96%. I guess fickleness just doesn’t pay off.
metamars
@Peter I don’t know enough about “blood cobalt” to reply intelligently to that specific.
Speaking more generally, to me “green energy” could mean anything that makes environmental sense, and is cheaper than fossil fuels. Most definitely, that would include fusion, including something like Eric Lerner’s Focus Fusion. I spoke to a friend of Lerner’s some years ago, and he told me Lerner has had to waste time raising money, instead of doing research. Given his accomplishments, that’s sort of insane.
Also speaking generally,Robert David Steele has been arguing for widespread application of “true cost economics”. I’m hardly knowledgeable about that, also, but creating misery for mining populations has to be figured in to any honest “true cost”.
I’m all for Trump going full tilt against ideologically inspired green faux “knowledge”. In fact, I was upset with candidate Trump for not doing so, even back then. However, in order to be effective, Trump needs to expand his base and build coalitions. That probably should include people who will not be persuaded that CO2 is not the lethal “pollutant” that the climate Cassandras are claiming. It’s therefore to his advantage to address their desires. If he can do so for pennies on the dollar, and with better outcomes, why not?
You are apparently greatly concerned about even partial victories by the greenies, but I am not. I suppose they might gain some moral authority via a Lomborg plan, but as long as they don’t get to exert rent-seeker type of power, via carbon credits and/or carbon taxation, I personally won’t be concerned.
That will be a blow to Goldman Sachs (http://crooksandliars.com/susie-madrak/taibbi-guess-whos-getting-rich-cap-an), but they can go cry in their Dom Perignon champagne.
Mandos
nihil obstet: and most challengers, in primaries for example, are only going to rely on voters like you for support until they get into office (if that), because they can’t rely on you after that. Their first priority, once they’ve figured out the system, is usually to be part of the 96% re-elected.
Mandos
Oh dear, fusion crackpottery.
nihil obstet
@Mandos
I think there are some people in Congress who want to make our society better, but you give a good unvarnished statement of Democratic Party leadership thinking over the past generation — make false or misleading statements about what you will do during the election, don’t worry about making their lives better or worse once in office, and blame voters for insufficient loyalty if they hold you accountable. And justify it all with claims of pragmatism — we have to make your lives worse to keep them from being even more worse.
There is one president who clearly and obviously helped the people and the society by making their lives better. He was elected 4 times, took his party from the minority prior to his first election to the majority, and that majority continued for a generation after his death. The “electorally fickle” voted consistently for the party who made their lives better. They quit voting for the party when it started collaborating in making their lives worse.
Mandos
nihil obstet: Hagiography of particular figures (say, FDR) overlooks the particulars of the situation at the time. I never argued that you couldn’t havegood government — far from it — merely that this generation of American “guns-and-butter” leftists suffer from a kind of…”procedural narcissism”, for lack of a better term, that has rendered them politically irrelevant in ways that even the backfooted soft liberals they despise are not. And for this reason, we don’t have good government.
I have listed ways you can work within the system or outside the system. No one has so far told me, given the sheer inability to get your preferred policies enacted (most of which I agree with, in case anyone forgets), how exactly you expect to obtain and exert power.
realitychecker
It seems like Mandos is forcing the rational left to support term limits?
Mandos
Serious term limits applied across the board would probably require first reducing the number of levels in the American political hierarchy, among other things. And then you have the problem of, you know, getting politicians to vote for that…
nihil obstet
Mandos,
Actually, many of us are “way-fewer-guns-but-lots-more-butter” leftists.
We’re not looking for an activities director, but for good government. Just being active is not really a goal. Voting for people who sell you out is active, but I have not seen it lead to good government. The people in charge are in charge because they use power to make real opposition virtually impossible. If there were an easy way to effect the change we want, they would see it and close it down. Meanwhile, their courtiers preach precepts of loyalty to representatives who lie to and betray us and advise pragmatism as a mask for submission.
Mandos
All included. By “guns-and-butter”, I mean it as shorthand for an overriding concern with measurable and observable aspects of foreign/military policy and physical violence and economic well-being, often to the near-exclusion of crucial intangibles, social processes, emotion, and yes, identity. And while many of you think that the latter has harmed and obstructed the former, I don’t believe the former can be done effectively without the latter.
But I haven’t even seen a non-easy way proposed or attempted to effect those changes. A movement that purports to be about the masses finds it very difficult to articulate how it would snatch the masses from the clutches of the mass media. Now, Bernie Sanders did some of this work this time, but even he is considered too compromised — because he uses instruments available to him inside the system as well as out — by many of the people here.
And what I have seen is huge areas of the obstacle, ones that seem very obvious to me, ignored or misdiagnosed, repeatedly. Like on Obamacare or on climate change. The intangible aspects of how people see themselves in relation to these policy choices are ignored, any discussion of them associated with “betrayal”. But those are the common denominators for success in getting policies enacted, either within the system or through movement politics outside the political system.
*shakes head* You are trapped in a binary thought process that rejects the possibility of opportunity or leverage within the system. Fine, even though I don’t really agree, I understand what led to that, I watched it. Of course, there are very powerful interests within the system acting against you. But FDR worked within the system (he was president!), and other successful mass movements had a kind of pincer-like operation, working the system from within and organizing mass movement politics from without. The guns-and-butter left represented here and at NC and so on are the only significant left-wing constituency that rejects both within-system activity and has no “pull” from outside the system.
Hugh
As Mandos goes along, his “saying is doing” takes on a more Orwellian “war is peace” “freedom is slavery” “ignorance is strength” tone. And we are to accept all this because as the Borg say, “Resistance is futile.”
I can’t help thinking of the Emperor’s New Clothes. In the Mandosian version of this story, if the emperor says he is clothed, even when he is stark naked, then he is clothed because the emperor is the emperor, and he has courts and an army. The kid who states the obvious gets vilified for his lack of realism by a crowd of Mandos lookalikes.
different clue
@Willy,
Why would the CEOs of Exxon, GE, Chevron and SpaceX all be against Trump on this?
Because they fear that Trump will kick off the kind of Blue Rebel Bluelash that will lead to a much faster and deeper decarbonization than what the CEOs of Exxon, GE, Chevron and SpaceX all want to see.
metamars
Re ‘fusion crackpottery’:
From “In the race for fusion, a dark horse takes the lead” , dailykos article @ http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/3/8/1071933/-In-the-race-for-fusion-a-dark-horse-takes-the-lead
“illions have been spent, with more budgeted. Currently a number of large governmental programs are working on the problem. Among these are the Z-pinch machine at Sandia Labs (as big as a large house; final cost more than $1 billion); the National Ignition Facility, or NIF (as big as a football stadium, cost around $4 billion); and ITER, the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (housed in dozens of buildings on a 100-acre campus and projected to cost $20 billion).
And then there’s Lawrenceville Plasma Physics (LPP), a startup company working out of a small lab in New Jersey. With a budget of about $0.001 billion, they have built an experimental fusion device that could fit inside your spare bedroom.
Care to guess which of these has achieved the hottest temperatures so far?”
I spoke to Lerner when he came to Newark, NJ to participate in a demonstration. He described what seemed to me to be an engineering problem as the holdup, which (I assumed) material scientists could fix for him.
Pretentious people, who know next to nothing about what pass judgement on, don’t impress me. Creative problem solvers like Lerner do impress me.
It really is a collective insanity not to support efforts like his.
nihil obstet
Mandos,
We do not seem to be understanding each other. Your post was that “Saying is doing”, but you seem to be following up with the argument that every saying that is not DNC-approved is wrong because it doesn’t do anything. Saying single-payer in 2008 wasn’t movement towards single-payer; the saying would have doomed the legislators to doing nothing. Evoking history with FDR is hagiography, which doesn’t usually carry positive connotations. Well, we had a great Democratic Party convention in which the president most invoked was Reagan! If saying is doing, that’s some bad action there. To me, that’s incoherent. Every situation calls for judgment as to what is possible, what can advance our goals, and what is counterproductive. All I’m seeing in your judgment is what does the Democratic Party leadership want?
Do I need to explain why I don’t understand labeling voters as “electorally fickle” when there’s a 96% reelection rate? Nor the argument that legislators face a terrible risk if they serve voters? Nor do I quite understand the position that if we all keep voting for people who support bad policy, we’ll be working in the system and this will lead to good policy. I don’t really understand the two points of your binary hypothesis — either vote for someone you don’t want or reject the possibility of working within the system. I bet if you think really hard, you could come up with some other possibilities. I admit that actively demonstrating, writing letters, signing petitions, tabling at events, visiting legislators’ offices, supporting groups for good policy, and the like don’t make much headway or headlines, but at least we can work for what we want rather than encouraging what we don’t want. It is counterproductive to think of most people as either totally fickle and/or simpleminded Manicheans.
Peter
@Metamars
I toured the z-machine while I was studying pulse power at Sandia Labs and they have made many advances since then. I don’t know much about Lerner’s big science in a small box concept but if it could be made to function as an electric power source it would probably destroy the world economy.
MojaveWolf
Before I read anything new since last I was in this thread (i.e. anything that can tick me off and change my mind about posting this), I want to give (sincere, non-joking, non-sarcastic) props of a sort to Mandos. So if this comment seems completely disjointed from anything around it, I apologize to all, and if it is followed up immediately by another post that reads more like “die, lying scum” do not be surprised (I don’t actually expect to say that latter, mind you, just giving a heads up for the possibility).
A conversation w/a friend this weekend brought to mind another conversation about a year ago, wherein she said she caught Ann Coulter defending her newest book on a live talk show on one of the primarily Spanish Language channels (Univision? Long time ago, can’t recall, doesn’t really matter right now) and while she disagreed with nearly everything Coulter had to say, she had to give her credit for guts. And I recall Bill Maher saying a similar thing about Coulter’s repeated visits to his show.
In both cases, I agree absolutely. Whatever else you want to say about Coulter, she has guts.
Likewise, while some of Mandos’ posts are more likely to get a mixed response, this one and some of the other posts which amount to “love our status quo leaders because they are doing the best you can hope for and the alternative is worse” are pretty much guaranteed to get a negative response. He’s not stupid and presumably realizes this. Posting something on a blog for people you’ve never seen and probably never will see to take issue with is not quite the same as going on live TV with a whole bunch of people who for good reason feel you just insulted them and are inclined to hate you and boo everything you say only a few feet away, but it still takes a certain willingness to step into the line of fire.
And also, if one can keep one’s temper, the arguments are good sparring practice. =)
(yes, it’s different from actual sparring, in that these are for public consumption and if people bought them hook line and sinker some of us–like me!–might believe they could help shape the world in horrible ways, but again, it’s not like this sort of thing isn’t being said by others to more receptive audiences, so might as well know what’s out there and what you’re up against)
So, however wrongheaded I may think he and his comments are, however much I wonder whether he can possibly believe some of his assertions, however much I am uncertain about his good intentions, I will give him props for being willing to stick his neck out in front of a guaranteed-to-be-hostile audience. Having done this a few times myself in the past, I can assure you, it’s not usually fun to be the person everyone is glaring at and calling names (or insinuating bad things about, which is more or less the same thing)(unless you just enjoy trolling, and I don’t *think* that is what he’s doing).
Do not expect to see me post anything like this again. That is all.
Mandos
Walk and chew gum.
I take it from these invidious comparisons that you don’t actually have anything. The little boy in the Emperor’s New Clothes story had something: the story ends with the emperor being ridiculed. Here you are, having called the emperor naked at the top of your voice for years and years. You don’t have to convince the “crowd of Mandos lookalikes”, you have to convince the rest of the crowd.
But the rest of the crowd is already perfectly aware that the emperor is naked and has already been saying so. The problem is, they’re not convinced you’re not any less naked, or that you in your clad state are not merely dressed like clowns — and how you’re going to do that is what I’ve been asking for literally years.
metamars
I don’t have much of a head for economics, so can’t begin to comprehend why the world economy would take a hit. As for a recent comparison of fusion technologies, both neutronic and aneutronic, see ‘The New Fusion Race’ series on the youtube channel ‘LPP Fusion’ @ https://www.youtube.com/user/LPPfusion.
Mandos
MojaveWolf: Thanks for the note of appreciation 🙂 This is all actually quite mild and polite. I have been through much worse bloggy meat-grinders, to say the least.
Mandos
I don’t know where the DNC came into this. I don’t care what the DNC says. It’s a crappy organization. I have no demand that you seek approval from the DNC.
No: I am telling you, re-assess why it is that single-payer did not have traction among the legislative class. The reasons why are manifold and some of it has to do with rank corruption…but some of it has to do with the fact that many of them did not think that they could be re-elected on it. I am suggesting that you consider why they might think that.
They might think that because, even though polling shows that a lot of Americans support the idea that they personally could get government care when the question is taken out of context, there are a lot of social conflicts and beliefs about the world that would back then have stopped from voting for someone who tore up the existing structure of private insurance in one fell swoop. And that something needed to be passed in the interim that had the spirit of admitting that expanded access and insurance for the uninsurable was a desirable goal, to get over the mental “hump”.
And that is what Obamacare has done, and why it is so hard for the Republicans to come up with a coherent replacement. For all its many faults. I say this without any attention or reference to “what the DNC wants” — or whatever boogeyman you’ve constructed.
It is not voters as such. Voters are not at all fickle. It is voters of your ilk, but more importantly, a social movement that cannot be counted upon to support a political career when the politician in question must do politics. No one wants, if they can help it, to rise on a shaky scaffold. And this entire line of argument is mere demonstration of how shaky that scaffold is!
I think these are all great ideas, but they will only have an effect if they can either steer the behaviour of elected politicians or supplant them. And the problem is, in all the years since Obama was first elected, I see a subset of online progressives, represented here, who have had an impact far smaller than their passion would indicate.
Mandos
I think this is fervently to be hoped, but if it is true, it crucially depends on the psychological expectation created by the signing of the Paris accords. If it is true, it depends on something like the Paris accords, as cosmetic as it may be in truth, to have existed. I’ll say it yet again: saying is doing.
MojaveWolf
Speaking of what I just said about our guest poster can actually believe some of what he says, The fundamental problem is that y’all are trapped in a rather optimistic framework that there is actually an underlying public demand for the policies you like, and that the establishment is actually trying to pretend to deliver those policies via cheap and/or deliberately counterproductive substitutes.
The underlying demand is there. And you say we rely too much on polls and surveys, well, some of us actually live here, and know what even our Republican-voting neighbors say about some of this stuff, and it backs up our beliefs. You have nothing but assertions that things are really different on the ground from the surveys (that we are on the ground and you are not seeming to somehow be irrelevant from your point of view) and other assertions which amount to saying “because X is all that has been done, we must assume X is all that can be done and all attempts to do not-X will fail” which just . . . again, I question your sincerity. You are not stupid. I’ve seen corporate defense litigators who get paid 6-7 figures a year do this sort of thing less well than you, so there’s no way you don’t see the inherent flaws in your premise. Trump (and before him, Reagan) are great at pushing policies that radically change the existing orders, yet, for democrats, this is fundamentally impossible? Even if the polls backed you up instead of us, what do you think the point of leadership IS? Part of it is, when you think something is important, going to bat for it and persuading others. You cannot possibly believe that all good leaders are supposed to persuade their constituents to repeatedly accept the least-good variant in all given situations, because to strive for more might mean failure? By that logic toddlers would never learn to walk, and it really is EXACTLY what it repeatedly sounds like you are saying people on the left/liberal/democratic side of the spectrum should not only accept, but support. This is guaranteed built-in failurism.
What needs to be addressed is how people feel, in sum — only then can one potentiate “real” action.
Okay, here we agree. So why are you defending people who seem to address how people feel only to go out of their way to AVOID “real” action? That doesn’t potentiate anything; it more has the effective of strangling potential in the crib. And then insulting those who push for real action as being unrealistic? (I’m not just talking about you, but also Obama, Hillary and most of the DNC types) This is not trying to shape opinion to get things done, it’s trying to shape opinions to make sure nothing gets done.
(and I realize I’m way behind on the comments but gotta go y’all have fun!)
Tom W Harris
There’s a category error goin’ on here. Y’all are expecting truth from a poster who is speaking power to truth. Stripped of its fake profundity, his message is basically “Shuddup, siddown, and eat yer shit. And if yer reeeeeeaally nice, we’ll let you suck us off for dessert.”
metamars
@Mandos “Their first priority, once they’ve figured out the system, is usually to be part of the 96% re-elected.”
Yes, but that’s not an iron rule of Nature. Benjamin Yee has revealed relative effectiveness of different means of affecting Congress critters. You probably need to take one of his courses to get a crystal clear exposition, but in the meantime, one can make do with a video he posted on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/BenYeeNY/videos/1866044397048574/ .
Yee has created a systematic,crowd-funded way to address one of the strategies he recommends via the benefit corporation that offers shiftspark.com, but it’s clearly not being widely utilized. I saw only groups organized around a whopping 2 issues.
One of the few highly effective methods that Yee recommends (and that he praised the Tea Party for utilizing, even though he’s a Democrat) is primary challengers. My own baby, votersrevenge.org, was created with this strategy primarily in mind (though I wasn’t aware of Yee at the time). Like shiftspark, there was little support (almost none, actually). I put that project on the shelf last summer, only recently adding code to trick it into believing it’s in the past, when its electoral data was current. It’s still not ready for prime time (unlike shiftspark), so is basically a proof of concept.
Not supporting (and/or creating similar) projects such as shiftspark.com and votersrevenge.org make about as much sense to me as not supporting Eric Lerner’s Focus Fusion, who has gotten the most fusion bang for the research buck of anybody.
Effectiveness?? Research productivity?? Who needs these, when we can have endless debates on the internet, instead…..
Hugh
Mandos comes up with an idiotic premise that “saying is doing” to defend a totally corrupt and unresponsive system. There is no logic in anything he says, no evidence, just loads and loads of bad faith and intellectual dishonesty. And no, believing in shit that any ordinary person can see through does not equate to good faith or honesty. We like to accord the presumption that even if somebody is mistaken, they are at least striving after some truth, but I do not think this is the case with Mandos. He is basically propping up a rotten system and criticizing the rest of us for not giving it our support, and at the same time, sneering at our impotence because we haven’t overthrown it. What this illustrates for me is the divide between reformers and revolutionaries. You can not reform a thoroughly corrupt system, and Mandos’ Orwellian riffs show just how far he has to go, and is willing to go, to justify the current system. But no matter how much he buffs the turd, it’s still shit. And as history as shown, revolutions are always impossible until they happen. Among the first who are swept away by them are the hapless, useless reformers who should have known better, but who lacked the courage to, and refused to when it mattered.
realitychecker
@ Hugh
Word.
@ MojaveWolf
Props to you for sincerely defending the marketplace of ideas concept. Mandos presents the extreme test of the concept, IMO. The danger is that some will be tempted to swallow his most ridiculous reasoning, just because he uses a lot of big words and convoluted sentence structure to make himself look smart (and, of course, he is a certain kind of smart to be such a good spinner).
I am reminded of the old legal maxim that hard cases make bad law lol.
Mandos
MojaveWolf:
I was living in the USA at the time of the Obamacare debate and had intimate exposure (as a patient) to some of the problems with the US health insurance system. I also had numerous conversations with my USian neighbours, colleagues, friends. I’m pretty sure I know something of what I speak.
I did not make this argument. I have argued, from the beginning, and for years, in essence that the “political radar” of US guns-and-butter leftists for what opportunities there are and what there aren’t is somehow oddly broken.
Yes: the American right runs circles around the left in terms of taking advantage of political opportunities presented by cultural, social, and emotional conflicts. That is in part because it does not scruple to destroy — you have much greater freedom if your goal is to destroy, to break, to take apart. Which is why the slowness at which they have approached their plan to take away what small material good (but incalculable for those it affected) was done by Obamacare is so remarkable. But the American left is not only hobbled by the limits posed by a constructive ethic — something it cannot avoid considering its goals — but apparently also by the “procedural narcissism” I mentioned above.
No, at least part of the point the point of leadership is to see opportunities or to create them when you can. This whole discussion essentially started from a disagreement on what the opportunity presented by things like the Paris agreement, by Obamacare, etc, really is. I certainly don’t see recognition of those opportunities as failure. The opportunity being: overcoming a psychological speedbump, so to speak. I know that some of you instead view it as blocking an opportunity that already existed. I don’t agree that that opportunity already existed, I think, whatever the intentions of its creators, that Obamacare etc made opportunities.
You want leaders who take a certain kind of political risk in a system that is designed specifically not to encourage the development of that kind of leader. Because that exceptional leader has not appeared, you therefore want to, to use the cliché, take your marbles and go home. That’s what I see this whole line of discussion as being.
I don’t subscribe to Great Man theories of history and do not want to wait for the right kind of Maximum Leader who will sweep away the vested interests, etc, to persuade people to want better things. But judging by the ritual references to FDR and the New Deal, I have gotten the strong impression that that’s exactly what people are holding out for: the Great Man who will change history. My theory of history is more old-school leftist, depending on social conditions and systems and institutions, but I add a touch of culture.
Mandos
If I had a magic wand that could delete one item from the vocabulary of expressions from the economic-populist left, it would be “speaking truth to power.” Newsflash: power doesn’t care. That’s why it’s power…
Mandos
To…what? I keep asking this and getting no answer. I list the possibilities, and no one has any idea, except to kvetch that single payer wuz robbed by Obamacare. OK, you won’t vote for Democrats. Fine. I respect, by the way, a principled stand against voting as such, because representative democracy, in case you hadn’t noticed, is an oxymoron. But is that what it is? Checking out? Or is the plan something more up close and personal, like just convincing your friends. OK, I respect that too, but it is kind of like showing up, as Sean Connery put it in a film IIRC, like showing up with a knife to a gunfight. But then, why all this gnashing of teeth?
realitychecker
@ Mandos
Your critics here just don’t think that the antidote to a system created by relentless disingenuous bullshit spinning is best replaced by additional relentless disingenuous bullshit spinning.
Even if you think you are so cute when you are doing it.
Ché Pasa
This is the problem. RC et al have no replacement for the bullshit — except more bullshit and projection.
They’re desperately waiting/hoping for someone else to come up with a solution to their anxieties — so they can sit online and criticize it, call names, and obsess on what other people do or don’t do.
This is one reason why the intertubes are such valuable tools to the Overclass. Nothing much can happen to change things for the better so long as enough people can be kept arguing and insulting one another in cyberspace — and out of mischief in meatspace.
Genius.
Mandos
Well, you know, I’d just settle for
not shooting the messengernot ascribing bad faith because someone disagrees with you.Tom W Harris
As you skillfully demonstrate with every post or comment you write.
Mandos
Suuuure fiiiine. I mean, do you want change? It requires getting power…
Mandos
I mean all this for a disagreement on the order in which particular change is supposed to arrive, not even on the desired change itself.
nihil obstet
We’re so far from being able even minimally to understand each other’s written English that I decided that further discussion was simply wasting our time, pending some way of understanding how we’re getting from one sentence to the next. However, I want to stand up for heroes.
There’s a reason why the Republican Party launched a project to rename federal buildings, highways, airports, and infrastructure after a third-rate senile old man who presided over a criminal arms-drugs enterprise: one way you persuade people of your viewpoint and inspire them to support your goals is by holding up models for emulation. At a bad disadvantage with the party of Roosevelt, Kennedy, and Johnson, the Republicans rewrote history and popularity to turn a corporate salesman with a genial air into a symbol of individual wealth and freedom. Who else did they have? Hoover? Nixon? Eisenhower, who ordered troops into Little Rock to enforce the Supreme Court’s ruling on integration?
And there are reasons why we argue over the place of the founding fathers and why there are currently efforts to remove statues of Confederate leaders from public spaces and objections to doing so.
And it’s the reason that we should invoke FDR, and the reason that Democratic Party leaders should not sign on to goo-gooing over Ronald Reagan as they did at last year’s national convention. I also invoke Frederick Douglas, Susan B. Anthony, Eugene Debs, Michael Harrington, and many others. It is an example of our inability to understand each other’s viewpoint that you see this as waiting for the second coming of some great man to solve all problems. I’m trying to say that these are models that we and our elected officials should aspire to, and that promoting the models is far more effective in motivating our fellow citizens than asking them to support cautious politicians whose currency is back-room deals.
Mandos
My criticism was not about heroes to inspire the masses — it was about using FDR as a model of how to get things done, without taking into account the conditions under which he did it. I think you overstate the extent to which we are failing to communicate, however.