Robert Reich seems to think left wing activists can’t organize, as evidenced by them not doing really coming out for Obama’s health care “plan” (whatever that is). Since left wing activists put together massive marches against the Iraq war, for example, it’s nonsense that they can’t do it. So why haven’t they?
Our real activists, as a group, believe in single payer. They are not going to march, or even show up at Townhalls in large numbers in order to push some wishy -washy bill that has a public option which sucks wind (and none of the bills have a good public option.)
Obama and Democrats deliberately demotivated the base by telling them that single payer was off the table, arrested them when they dared insist on talking about it, and disrespected them in every way possible.
Of course the activists aren’t showing up. Who the hell would expect them to? If Obama or Democrats in general want activists, who by definition are hardcore people who actually believe in liberalism to show up and fight for them, they need to offer liberalism, not warmed over centrist pap.
Republican activists are worked up, and liberal activists are demotivated, and that’s a direct result of Democratic decisions. I’m tired as hell of hearing activists being blamed for decisions made by craven, triangulating politicians.
Message to Obama and other Democratic leadership: Stand for actual liberalism; for actual workable policy; and activists will stand with you. Liberals and progressives stand with liberals and progressives.
That isn’t you.
So quiver alone, until you find the courage to have some convictions.
Update: a friend tried to tell me otherwise, pointing to rallies of 1,000 to 2,000 over the last weekend. My answer:
Ah, then the majority of people at town halls are and have been supporters of the public option, yes? You’re out-numbering and out-organizing the right wing, yes? You don’t need liberal activists who favor single payer. That’s /so/ good to know.
So very glad to hear it. Not what I heard from Eric Massa, for one, at NN09 “90% of people at my town halls are against heatlh care reform”, but perhaps since then you’ve turned things around.
And of course, you are having huge rallies, right?
You will excuse me, however, if rallies of 1,000 or 2,000 people don’t impress me. How many people came out to protest the Iraq war, for example? (Answer, even in the US, rallies of 100,000 to 200,000. Even in later years 10 to 20K was not uncommon).
Where are the activists? Why are the unions having to carry this? Why are your rallies an order of magnitude or two lower than rallies for another big cause that occurred recently?
So yes, I think I’ll say that the activists are not showing up.
CoyoteCreek
“Of course the activists aren’t showing up. Who the hell would expect them to? If Obama or Democrats in general want activists, who by definition are hardcore people who actually believe in liberalism to show up and fight for them, they need to offer liberalism, not warmed over centrist pap.”
Yup. I’m sitting on my duff these days with nothing to do and no one to spend my money on.
As my husband often reminds me, “F*#k ’em if they can’t take a joke.”
John B.
excellent point. Give us something to rally around and cheer about. I haven’t seen anything and as long as Rahm is calling the shots I don’t expect I will.
Do you remember the bumper sticker that was going around during the campaign; It went something like this:
Obama ’08
Get disappointed by someone new
That pretty much sums it up for me.
lambert strether
I don’t know if it’s fair to call all of us demotivated.
I, for one, am highly motivated: When the Dems don’t deliver on Medicare For All — and do declare victory in time for the midterms by passing a pissant public option that bails out the insurance companies by forcing us to buy junk insurance with the IRS acting as the collection agent — I want to see the Dems go the way of the Whigs.
And yes, making health care a right and delivering on it is a moral imperative, just as abolition was.
Ian Welsh
You’re demotivated to come out and demonstrate for a public option.
Polyblog
Yup; I’ll catch their backs when they catch mine.
riverdaughter
You know, I met Eric Massa at the first YearlyKos in LV. Eric Massa is a gifted speaker with an excess of charisma. He can charm the pants off of any audience and made me cough up $20 I didn’t have. If Massa can’t reach his audience, it must be bad.
(Truly a good guy. One of the best. You get a sense from him that there is a true leader in there.)
ally's gift
Count me not motivated. My S.O. and I were just talking about this–trying to convince me that getting any of the bills passed is worth something, even if only for the political victory. I explained how it’s worse than nothing if the so called public option is too small to reduce costs and feeds the nosurance beast such that costs rise and folks still are uninsured and there’s a backlash against the subsidies to buy insurance, etc. I think the S.O. might be starting to get it.
Medicare for All. Everybody in, nobody out. Simple, Effective, Just, American.
Jeebus!
Aisha 180
Given the extreme Left fails to hold a majority over centralist of both the Left and Right plus the extreme Right, I fail to understand why they feel they alone should control the direction the Country takes on any matter. Unless of course majority rule has no meaning in their dream of a new America.
tjfxh
Headline: “Democrats blow healthcare reform and blame base.”
Greg
Aisha, no one is saying the left should get its way. On the other hand, they should not be required to cheer for a plan they disagree with.
Mandos
You realize what is being set up, right? It is a meme. The idea is that there is a correct lesson that Washington officials must learn from this. That lesson is that it is not possible to attract a reliable left-wing base for anything that will play in Washington. Even when the Democrats were in power and proposed the left-most thing that the People Who Matter would allow, the left-wing base did not appear in its favour. Consequently, this is a pretext for a *further* shift to the right…
selise
Aisha 180 – got any evidence that single payer universal healthcare is not favored by the majority? or do you think that corporations which make money by killing people (murder by spreadsheet as nyceve calls it) should define the centrist position?
http://www.wpasinglepayer.org/PollResults.html
Linden
The Democrats have been saying forever that most people are Democrats, if they would just get politically engaged (youth, the poor, women, minorities). The Democrats have been questing for that Holy Grail coalition forever, and I think Obama and his team thought they’d finally put it together in the last election. From then one, the Democrats would not only be free of the Republicans, but also free of the old-school left, a shrill, outdated minority whose voices would be overwhelmed by this new unstoppable electoral force.
Surprise!
selise
tjfxh – not so far off the mark:
http://seminal.firedoglake.com/diary/6145
http://seminal.firedoglake.com/diary/7264
Valley Girl
Ian- thanks!
Sorry this is just a quick note- I gotta run. I’ll check back.
riverdaughter (and anyone else!)- I’ve been a Massa supporter since the get go. I’m on the email list, even tho I don’t live any where near.
I posted a youtube of him at Corrente, and hipparchia picked it up. Thread is worth a read- imho! *g* Informative. imho.
http://www.correntewire.com/eric_massa_member_congress_should_read_legislation_should_understand_what_problems_are
Jeff W
You’re unquestionably right, Ian. AHIP, Big Pharma and the entire medical-industrial complex could not have more effectively fractionated and demoralized those who would have most supported real health care reform than Obama and the Democrats have.
With the offer of Potemkin health care reform, we have those who argue that “half a loaf is better than none” against those who say we’re getting crumbs while Pharma and the insurance companies make off with the cake (in policy terms), and that passing some reform would be a “big win” against those who view the same thing as collusion and capitulation (in political terms). And, to top it all off, there’s the stunning inversion of FDR’s dictum as Don’t even try to make me do it!—or, as Bill Moyers put it, “Sit down and shut up.”
Way to go, Dems!
One might hope that, as Glenn Greenwald says, that the Democratic Party’s “total devotion to the health care and drug industries” becomes so glaring that the flaws of the party can no longer be ignored.
Then again, that meme expressed by Mandos is so colossally wrong and idiotic that it could easily be the lesson learned in Washington.
Aisha 180
Selisa>> While if you dig enough you can find a poll somewhere that will support just about any view, the Gallup Poll shows that 75% of tax payers like their current coverage, and the Rasmussen Poll shows 53% oppose the bill as it now stands. This given the drop in the Presidents poll numbers suggest a majority do not like or trust the current bill. Now I understand the system must be fixed, but given the performance of those within the Beltway do not want more bureaucrats involved in my heath care.
Ian Welsh
Huh? A majority of people want single payer, in lots of polls. It’s not an outlier result. That has nothing to do with the current bill, which is not single payer, which is why the “extreme left” (so extreme that over half the population agrees with them) wants, instead, single payer.
People have no idea what they’re talking about when they talk about the extreme left. Real liberal, real left wing positions on many issues often have plurality or majority support, yet somehow that’s extreme?
selise
Aisha 180 – the link i provided above has a list of about 16 (i’m tired and maybe miscounted) polls taken since 2003. ian is right. the “extreme” is the majority position: national health insurance, private health care. everybody in, nobody out. no deductibles, no copays and no coinsurance. for about the same amount of total national expenditures. and since everyone is in the same plan (including congress and us), we have the best chance of our interests being aligned — congress effs up our health insurance and they eff up their own (and their family’s).
some info on financing, etc.:
http://www.pnhp.org/news/2009/august/fiscal_responsibilit.php
http://www.pnhp.org/facts/single_payer_resources.php
Mandos
Was nobody there in 2000 when everyone was yelling at the Naderites? Of course it will be the lesson learned in Washington. It is assumed—commanded, really—that the Overton window shall not be moved left.
Mandos
See, people think that by threatening to deny support to the Democrats, the Democrats will move left on core issues, for fear of losing the base. But that’s not what’s happened in recent history, for the most part, and there’s no reason to think that it will happen this time around.
Since Gore didn’t win enough votes to take the presidency (or prevent the chicanery that took it from him, take your pick of wordings), has the Democratic party moved left? If not, why not (hint: it cannot be attributed merely to the 2008 campaign)?
No, what happened was that the Democrats set up the meme of the moderate American, the sane adult people who were not Bushie crazies but still supported Mom and Apple Pie and standard economic orthodoxy. And anyone supporting “socialized medicine” was not of these moderates, but the loony left.
It doesn’t matter that it doesn’t reflect the views of the *actual* US public. It merely matters that it reflects the views of what some call The Village. This Village creates its own reality. The public will vote as they are told, or they’ll stay home and the crazies will take the country…
Ian Welsh
Well, holding your nose and voting for the lesser evil hasn’t worked either, has it Mandos?
Witholding support doesn’t work, according to you, and clearly giving support doesn’t work, and trying to support Congressional candidates who are actually progressive instead of presidential candidates who clearly aren’t doesn’t work either.
People say I’m a downer. I have nothing on you.
You, my friend, are explaining very clearly to me what the answer to your question of whether you should stay in the US and build a career is.
But here’s a truth for you. According to at least one person I know who works in the house, there are enough votes in the House of Reps to pass single payer straight up. My personal guess is that with a lot of arm bending, such a bill might get from 48 to 50 votes in the Senate. (Maybe 51 is Mass gets a new liberal Senator soon enough, and Byrd doesn’t die.)
This is a high point year, mind you. 2010 and 2012 the numbers will get worse. But liberalism is the most dangerous force in America today, it is taking everything Versailles can do to keep liberals down.
Withdraw support from conservadems. Let the conservadems get taken out (because they’re the ones in swing districts, not progressives, as a rule). Work for progressive candidates. Suck it up and play with an eye on the ball, and winning the game over time. Right now, we aren’t going to win. But we can at least withdraw support so we don’t own-goal ourselves, which is what is happening.
Mandos
Well, I mean, you’re the one insisting that a dollar devaluation is not the way out of this mess either. (I think so too, but if anything our conversation on that matter has made me less convinced of this.)
Look, for me the problem is that the timescale and electoral focus is wrong. Nothing is going to happen until more than 50%-60% of the population thinks (knows) it is going to be left without heart surgery for want of cash. Until that is the case, it’s going to be easy for AHIP et al to buy off the politicians.
I live with this system and for most people (in demographics that vote), there just is no sense of urgency about it. I read about it on the internet for sure, but I also talk to people about it—consciousness-raise, as it were—and the reaction I get is both some annoyance at the US system, but a bit of boredom at the sanctimonious Canadian lecturing a country that isn’t his. (That’s not including the glib “Penn and Teller” young libertarians.)
Consequently, from a short-term electoral standpoint, it’s a either matter of holding the door open for as long as possible, or hastening the collapse. I consider the latter to be inhumane at the very least. In the long term, if the Village doesn’t smarten up, other doors may open.
At considerable cost.
Oh, no, you have the wrong impression. I thought I told you about the biz I’m in the last time we met in la Ville-Reine? If so, the next time I’ll explain it to you.
I read this, and I hope you are right. If it is the case that a majority in both houses can be mustered and a bill sent to Obama’s desk that he must then veto to please the People Who Matter, I will still eat my words. If such a circumstance were to come to pass, I think you would be wrong that this is a high-water mark for Real American Liberals.
Once the health care dam is broken, real discussion of structural changes in US society can be contemplated. Talk of dollar-devaluation before reform would be moot. If this is even remotely possible then short-term electoral prognostication would be worth it, as you say.
But you’ll forgive me for being a bit doubtful, no?
Mandos
Also, I recommend you read Parable of the Sower by Octavia Butler. It’s a depressingly prophetic read. I know for a fact you can find it at your local public library.
Jeff W
Those numbers are good to hear, Ian. If that’s the case, what’s with all the talk about single payer “not being politically feasible”? (I’m taking “feasible” to mean “within the realm of possibility,” not as meaning “likely” or even “probable.”) Is the question incredibly naive?
Is that Washington insider “savviness“? Or a lagging perception? Or a form of disinformation?
Seems like it’s actually become more feasible, with current legislative alternatives being what they are, the national consensus being that the health care/insurance system is seriously broken, and the polling for single payer being what it is.
selise
holy cow. hr 676 ? (or alternatively, i suppose hr 1500?)
are you sure you’ve got the story straight? i don’t mean the question as a slight, it’s just that this is truly explosive news and i want to make sure we’re talking about the same thing before i go off quoting you in inconvenient places.
whatever your response, i realize now i am an idiot for not pushing back more on the “there aren’t the votes” claims.
there’s a ton more questions, but will wait for replies before i go off half-cocked (Jeff W asked some good ones).
Ian Welsh
Selise and Jeff,
I should say that’s only in the House. Senate numbers are my own guess and I’d be hard pressed to justify it, though I think it’s true.. And my contact (only one, not multiple) did not say anything about the Senate and certainly doesn’t want to be quoted by name. I’m going to change that comment to reflect those things.
Ian Welsh
Mandos,
the votes may be there in the House, but it will not pass if the House leadership is defacto opposed, which they are. If they got behind it, however, they could pass it. To pass it in the Senate would require both the leadership and Obama whipping it. That’s not going to happen.
My arguments with the people pushing the public option (especially those whose job it is) have convinced me, pace Sibelius, that they are even more against single payer than they are against passing no bill whatsoever.
I believe you on the population not really being there. They’ll accept single payer if they’re given it (that’s all the majority polls mean), but they aren’t behind it in any meaningful fashion. Activists would be, which is a subgroup of the population.
When disaster is inevitable, pulling the rug out from under so that it’s less of a disaster than than it would be if you didn’t keep putting it off is not necessarily immoral, in my opinion. “This is going to hurt. It’ll hurt more if we wait.”
But that isn’t going to happen, the current elites are very dedicated to keeping the system going as long as possible. It will crash out when it is impossible for it do anything else because they will sell everything, and everybody, including the future of their children and grandchildren, to keep their lifestyle today, rather than taking a hit so that Americans of the not that distant future aren’t impoverished so that a smaller and smaller group of Americans today can live better than they can afford to.
I don’t consider that moral. Nor do I consider it moral to impoverish young people for the benefit of insurance and pharma companies so that a few old people can live a little longer, which is what the current bill does. Perhaps old folks agree, but then they’re the ones who might win the death bet, their children and grandchildren (already living, these aren’t theoretical kids), won’t. If the bill was going to be paid for with a progressive tax, that would be a different matter, but as usual, it’s going to be paid on the backs of people who can’t afford to pay. Who can’t even afford to use the insurance they’re going to be forced to buy.
selise
ian – i understood, from your original comment, that your source was commenting on the house and that the senate numbers were your guess. this is, imo anyway, in stark contradiction to the cw that everyone knows single payer is so impossible that there’s not point in even discussing it.
will wait for your new and improved / clarified comment… would still like, if appropriate, to quote you that not everyone with an insider’s pov thinks it’s impossible for single payer to pass in the house.
Ian Welsh
Selise,
comment updated. Quote if you like. I’m not an insider though, and I couldn’t justify the Senate numbers if pushed. (At best, I’m an outsider who knows a few insiders.)
Single payer being passed by the House would be a huge embarrassment to Obama. House leadership, and for that matter, White House armbreakers, would never allow it to happen. Obama said single payer was not going to be considered, and he is dead serious about it, far more than any theoretical support he has for a public option. Indications based on the behaviour of his administration is that a bill with no public option is more acceptable to the WH than a bill with single payer is.
selise
but why? why are they against single payer?
i have been sensing a ton of hostility — stuff like calling people “single payer or die”, not even acknowledging (let alone addressing) the critiques from really expert sources if they are associated with pnhp (for crying out loud even elizabeth warren’s coauthors!) — and i’ve been wondering where the heck the hostility is coming from. i mean, even the batsh*t crazy right’s critique (such as it is) gets addressed. my working hypothesis has been that there was some kind of an insider’s whisper campaign, but that’s really more of a wild guess because i just don’t know.
selise
thanks, ian.
i had an argument last summer about the hcan strategy of targeting the blue dogs because i thought the leadership were the bigger problem. i’m wrong about a ton of stuff, but i watched the fisa fight in the house as carefully as i could (complete outsider with no insider sources) and that was the lesson i learned: the problem is the leadership and the blue dogs are the excuse they give us.
Ian Welsh
I don’t know.
Guesses are:
Part of it is that many of the originators are being paid, in effect, to oppose single payer. Part of it is that, if pushed, they admit that single payer is better than what they’re being tasked to sell.
Mostly it’s a version of the reason “pragmatic centrists” have loathed left-wingers for almost thirty years now “you people aren’t realistic. If you would get behind us we could pass these incremental changes which are better than nothing. What’s wrong with you?”
You’re a murderer Selise. If you oppose the current bill, which might save a few lives, you have killed those people as surely as if you held a gun and pulled the trigger. That’s the core of their argument and of their hatred.
Never mind that if we all pushed single payer, while we might or might not get it, we’d stand a much better chance of compromising to at least a robust public option, which would save a lot more lives. And never mind that the price of saving a (probably very few) lives with the current crappy bill is forcing a large number of people to buy insurance they can’t afford to use. People who are already economically on the edge. To save the system’s costs, those costs will be pushed onto the population as a whole via forced purchases of insurance, and will hurt many of the people whom real universal health care should help the most.
Ian Welsh
If the White House is behind her, Nancy can pass most of what she wants. It’s when the WH empowers the Blue Dogs that they become a problem.
For what it’s worth, my sense is that if the WH didn’t oppose it, Nancy would love to pass single payer. She isn’t a liberal or progressive, but she would like to be one. (This is not true of all the House leadership, by the way.)
selise
yeah, i’ve gotten some of that (or at least similar). but here’s the thing: i supported the MA 2006 reform (not a lot, but made phone calls to reps and did a bit of phone banking). i bought the incrementalist argument (and to be fair, for MA i probably still do because it’s an experiment the rest of the country could learn from if we were so inclined).
but i also didn’t think it through. although there are people who have been helped (and i’m probably one of them because my insurance, while very expensive, now covers prescription drugs) there are also people who have been seriously harmed by the reform — people who used to be able to get free care and now have copays and deductibles. how many of them go without healthcare now? how many unnecessary deaths have there been?
the answer is, i don’t know. but if we’re going to be honest, that’s the real analysis. with any of the reform measures now being considered, some lives will be saved and some will be lost. i don’t know how many, but using their logic as you’ve described it, supporting or opposing any of the bills makes us all murders.
doesn’t take away our responsibility to make wise choices. but that’s the reality of the choices we all, po and sp advocates alike, face.
selise
pre-compromise was imo idiotic. without a rational explanation for that decision, no way does anyone who made that choice get to claim to be a sharp political strategist.
Jeff W
Miss Manners says the proper reason for not doing something that doesn’t fit in with your goals and priorities is “Because I’m afraid it’s just impossible.”
selise, I really appreciate your persistence in asking what the strong pushback is about.
My impression is that the strong hostility arises from single-payer so being obviously better on the policy rationales that there’s no reasonable policy argument to be made for the current alternatives. If there’s no reasonable argument, other considerations (= money) must be examined, which causes the entire house of cards to collapse. Therefore, single payer must be removed from consideration, as it has been, from the outset—”I’m afraid it’s just impossible.” (There are some other considerations—such as being able to “claim victory,” for one—but those are the primary ones.)
kelley b.
The argument that not supporting failed Democrat policies before they’re out the door is like not supporting Al Gore in 2000 sets up a straw man.
If the Obama policies are substantially like Bu$hie’s but with a velvet glove what is the difference if the result is the same?
Oh, that’s right. We don’t have to upset the children when we’re United as the Oborg. We can just pull those 150,000 Americans in Iraq out of the cities and let ’em guard the oilfields. Forget the cities. We can just pack Afghanistan with mercenaries- they won’t tell the folks at home about the narcotics either.
We can give all the money to the banksters, just like Bu$hie did, and people will just Trust and Believe as the next bubble is blown. We can convince them to reform health care, and make a killing for the banksters who run the insurance corps, too. The Market will love it.
I knew a Shining Path Maoist once who voted for Republicans whenever he could, because he was convinced that the Republicans would down their own Empire the quickest. I’m beginning to think he was wrong- because the same Aristocrats end up screwing each other and everyone else no matter who’s installed as the figurehead.
papau
he left is about to totally give up on this character. We said he was corporate – they (DU left) said Hillary had met/joined the DLC – we said he was on the right and a 3rd Bush Term – we said he would protect coal – they said he meant what he said and a cap and trade global warming bill would be passed in the first year – we said Hillary represented the civil rights break through – they said how can a (half white) “black” man not represent more of a break through – we said Hillary was real about her support for gay rights – they said “Don’t ask/Don’t tell” would be repealed in the first year – we said Hillary would end the unconstitutional snooping/prisons/rendition to other countries for torture – they said he was a constitutional lawyer College Professor (actually title was instructor) and obviously would do the same as Hillary – we said Hillary would reform health CARE rather than a few insurance contract provisions – they said he was not in the pocket of the insurance companies and would again do the same as Hillary.
Seems they were wrong on every point – I can’t think of a thing that he has accomplished. Heck – we even continue to have unconstitutional presidential “signing statements” veto’s and Justice in court defending Bush practices.
And now being open to dropping the public plan option is the last straw.
Myra Masson
I never predict anything! But, my strong feeling suggests that our Prez.(whom I helped put in office) takes a stand FOR Medicare-For-All and rams it through this Democratic congress or he will drop like rock with his past supporters. That means one term for him! He will have broken his word.
Linda Sutton
This is not a time to stand down and become couch pototoes. This is the time to get out and do FORUMS that explain single payer healthcare, or MEDICARE FOR ALL, which would be a better way to get the idea across. Progressive Democrats of Los Angeles has been doing a series or forums with California One Care, Physicians for National Healthcare program, and Dr. Jo Olson, former head of the CA Progressive Caucus. We’ve had overflow crowds at each of five locations. People are REALLY HUNGRY to get the real facts on healthcare, and as we all know, there really IS only one set of FACTS in spite of the propaganda mongers bought by the for-profit insurance monopolies and their minions.
Gail F. Gurman
This might seem like a simplistic idea, but I believe that we should continue to fight for a single payor universal health plan. Call it something simple like “Medicare for Everyone” ! Then perhaps the neysayers will be stopped. Most people would never give up their medicare. Many do not recognize that it is a single payor universal healthcare plan for those 65 +. Even right wing “nut jobs” would not give up their SOCIALIZED Medicare.
Hope that Obama does NOT give up on the Public Option, if that is the best that we can get passed. In my opinion, a bill without a Public Option would simply serve to line the pockets of private insurance companies and the drug manufacturers. The CEOs would benefit, not the American people. Let’s fight on in memory of Sen. Edward Kennedy!