The horizon is not so far as we can see, but as far as we can imagine

The Politics You’ve Got

MANDOS POST

Take a look at Joe Biden: He appears to have, for now at least, considerable staying power in the Democratic primary opinion polls (although, of course, this may change as the actual primaries come through). If your model of political psychology can predict a strong core of popular support for Trump without also predicting a strong core of party grassroots support for Biden, you should really rethink it from the ground up. For a core of US voters, the presence of Trump in the White House is an unprecedented emergency and an enormous well of anxiety and real, day-to-day stress.

You can call it Trump Derangement Syndrome or whatever, but the feeling is there, and implicit in this feeling is that Trump is an anomaly, a hiatus in the proper march of American institutions, that should by rights have gone to Clinton, and if not, to one of Trump’s Republican primary competitors. And the advantage of Biden, from this perspective, is precisely that Biden presents an opportunity to force the recalcitrant portions of the Democratic party and, yes, the American left (insofar as it plays electoral politics), to once again choose explicitly whether it will acknowledge and ratify that feeling, or whether it will die on a hill of particular material policies to the neglect of vital institutional decorum.

But for many left-wingers, it seems that even to admit that this is the dynamic is too much to bear. It requires admitting that the Neera Tandens of the world do not merely represent a type of think tank class traitors in cahoots with the rich, but they are actually the genuine grassroots representatives of a large portion of American society, large enough to make a big difference as to who will win the primary and the presidency.

A similar dynamic is taking place in British politics. In its Corbynite incarnation, Labour sits now on the horns of dilemma, or worse: It is perceived as too “Brexity” by enough Remain voters to make a difference, and too “Remainy” for enough Leave voters to make a difference. (As of this writing, the votes for the EU parliament elections haven’t been counted yet, but it is likely that this dynamic will remain stable until any sort of general UK election.) No matter what it does, it is very likely now that the prospect of a truly left-wing prime minister of Britain is galloping off to the distance, when it once felt so close. Let us leave aside the issue of whether Brexit itself is or can be good policy with a good outcome for most people in the abstract; it’s rather fascinating how the Brexit issue is precisely designed to press on the most divisive and ambivalent internal left-wing wounds.

I get the impression from looking at Labour’s representatives online that there exists a core of them who really, desperately wish to change the channel, to austerity and the environment–but especially austerity–but however many “deaths of despair” there may be, that is not the issue. Brexit is. And future policy outcomes, even if not directly related to EU membership, have nevertheless (and for a long time) driven through the underlying cultural cleavage represented by Brexit. Only by choosing a side at the outset, rather than engage in constructive ambiguity (Brexit, but not too much, please), could Labour have avoided the current electoral dilemma and had a shot at dealing with austerity.

A Customs Union is not the issue. How soft or hard the “deal” is–is not the issue. Nationalization is not the issue. How the Eurozone treated Greece is not the issue. Not even Ireland is the issue. Rather, immigration, free movement, and Britain’s self-perception are the issues. That remains true even if austerity and economic breakdown may be one cause of the Brexit phenomenon. The issue is a deep cultural, social cleavage of worldviews.

But who knows? Perhaps information may come to light that disqualifies Joe Biden. Perhaps on a hard Brexit, Remain voters will quickly forget what they protested against, and rejoin the Labour austerity–reversal cause in a Britain hemmed in by closed borders. Perhaps they will do so even before Brexit, giving in to the referendum in the hopes of fighting for…rejoining the EU? Restoring free movement? These seem both risky assumptions at the moment. (Admittedly the former is less risky than the latter!)

So now, what my readers may tell me is that they want to deal with austerity and they want to fight the environmental crisis and save lives and so on. And I agree! But the road to those goals runs through co-operation with parts of society that may have a different listing of priorities. They are always going to exist in some form or another; true, full social unity of purpose will never exist. We’re going to have to find a modus vivendi with those for whom Trump represents a fundamentally-threatening aesthetic emergency (as well as a material one but that seems to be secondary here). And with those for whom Brexit is not a hurdle to be gotten over in pursuit of a more urgent domestic agenda, but rather both a pressing question of material well-being and an even more pressing question of cultural priorities. The alternative is to throw up one’s hands as say, “My way, or the highway to the apocalypse,” that the world is too emotionally decadent to be saved. That, too, is a choice. But not necessarily a good one.

You go with the politics you’ve got, not the politics you want. Some of you might complain that that is simply acquiescence. No, it isn’t–it’s about recognizing first where you are, before you figure out how you’re going to get where you want to be. And folks, you’ve taken too long to figure that out.

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89 Comments

  1. bruce wilder

    For a core of US voters, the presence of Trump in the White House is an unprecedented emergency and an enormous support of anxiety and real, day-to-day stress.

    And, in this emergency, a lonely nation turns its eyes to . . . Joe Biden?

    r u joking?

  2. Herman

    It took me a long time to realize that as much as I dislike identity and cultural politics, it is here to stay. I overestimated how much people vote based on “rational” criteria like economic self-interest, and in any event, people define that self-interest in many different ways. In fact, much of politics is tribalism, symbolism and low-information voting, not because people are stupid but because they are smart.

    Many people see learning about and participating in politics as a waste of their limited time. They would rather spend their limited free time with friends and family or watching TV or doing something more enjoyable than following politics. Those of us who follow politics are likely more biased and ideological than we like to think. Others who follow and participate in politics do so in a way that is more reminiscent of sports fandom than anything else, which is why you have partisan “hacks” on both sides of the aisle.

    If you are a left-wing person committed to reformism then I think there is a case for voting for the Democrats in 2020 even if somebody like Joe Biden is the candidate in the general election.
    For example, you are more likely to get more of what you want with a Democratic
    administration, even if it is very little. The judiciary alone is a legitimate reason for a leftist to hold their nose and vote Democratic. This does not mean that you have to be enthusiastic about the Democrats, or that you stop engaging in other forms of activism. Voting is only one form of political participation.

    Things will likely have to get worse for more Americans to support a truly radical agenda. Too many on the left don’t see this. They forget that while things are worsening for millions of Americans, others are doing well or doing well enough that they don’t seem to see that we are heading for disaster.

    The only reason that we are even talking about economic inequality now is because conditions have seriously worsened for more Americans and the misery is moving up the social ladder and is not just concentrated among minorities and poor whites. The upsurge in popularity of social democratic reformism is a result of the downward mobility of middle-class and upper middle-class elements. Without this change in material conditions there would be an even stronger systemic bias in favor of continued neoliberalism.

    I can respect an argument in favor of “the worse, the better” logic but remember that first, there is no guarantee that left-wing radicalism will win out in a future crisis as opposed to right-wing radicalism, and second, that many of our weakest citizens will be hurt in a crisis scenario. I think that is where we are today.

    We are stuck in a weird place where things are worsening but there is still enough “juice” left in the old system so that there is still a case to be made for reformism if only to help ameliorate conditions and prevent the right from taking full advantage of any future crisis.

  3. Tom

    As I said before reforms in the US will only come when the Heartland comes on board. They will not come on board unless 2 existential issues are resolved for them:

    1. An end to abortion
    2. The borders secured and illegals sent packing immediately

    Once those are met, then they’ll play ball on Universal Healthcare, Progressive Taxation, legalization of LGBTQs, and Education Reforms.

    If not, they won’t as their 2 demands not being met means they won’t shell out tax money to the other issues. From their perspective, if people are willing to kill babies in the wombs regardless of societal interest then it is hypocritical to ask for Universal Healthcare.

    Also why should they pay for illegals who already disregarded our laws? By coming illegally, fraudulently attaining services meant for law abiding citizens and residents, and likely trafficking children across a border, they have demonstrated contempt for law and order.

    If liberals don’t understand that, the Heartland will block all reforms till collapse comes and ensure they rise from the ashes and start over.

    Liberals have to decide if abortion and illegals are worth burning for, because they will burn if they hold onto them. Or they can let them go and bring the Heartland on board against the Elites and ram through reforms while there is still time.

  4. And, in this emergency, a lonely nation turns its eyes to . . . Joe Biden?

    r u joking?

    I don’t see how this isn’t completely obvious, considering what is being perceived as the emergency. To a large extent, Sanders and Warren etc are if anything a continuation of that emergency. Joe Biden is a break with it and a restoration of cognitive normality.

  5. Tom: Mmhmm. Enslave women or burn the world. OK.

  6. someofparts

    “Tom: Mmhmm. Enslave women or burn the world. OK.”

    Well Mandos, if people want a return to “cognitive normality”, this is what that looks like in these here parts. Only women born with lots of advantages get exempted, and they are too busy being awesome to concern themselves with what their shining leaders do to the smallfolk and their women.

    Welfare reform. Snipers on the wall. Grannies in tent cities. Iran in flames. I mean darn if that isn’t some reassuring cognitive continuity I just don’t know what you people expect.

    And oddly enough, I agree with you that Biden will win here and anybody other than Labor will win in the UK. And the majority of people in both countries will not get a break until something happens to persuade all of the lovely people who have profited from these arrangements to give a happy damn about the rest of us.

    Or, to put it in terms Ian has used, it DOES have to be this way.

  7. Mike Barry

    As I said before reforms in the US will only come when the Heartland comes on board. They will not come on board unless 2 existential issues are resolved for them:

    1. An end to abortion

    2. The borders secured and illegals sent packing immediately

    Hey Tom, check out this dailykos link and get back to us:
    https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2019/5/23/1859446/-Women-Are-Angry?utm_campaign=trending

    \”An end to abortion\” ain\’t happening. Not without Civil War II.

  8. Joe “you’ll hold your nose and vote for the candidate we tell you to vote for” Biden?

    I foresee another write-in None of the Above vote in my future.

    The first time is always the hardest.

  9. Hugh

    We got Trump however dubiously and illegitimately (via an archaic, anti-democratic electoral college) because a lot of Americans had had it with the Establishment, and a vote for Trump himself a creature of that Establishment was still seen as a vote against it. Trump is a narcissist with onset of dementia. He is a stupid, ignorant man with the emotional maturity of a 6 year old. He is a serially failed businessman and been a crook and liar all his life. He could only “win” in a system as degenerate as ours. But he did win. He won because he was irrelevant to his own success, loathsome human being that he is. Trump and Trumpism are an expression of discontent with an arrogant Establishment that has not so much failed as fundamentally behaved most Americans. So what did the Establishment learn from this rebuke to it. Well, like the Bourbons, absolutely nothing. Address the concerns of those they have betrayed? No way. They contemplate their triumphant return to power in an anti-Trump backlash in the form of a stand for nothing empty suit named Joe Biden.

    Uncle Joe is electable. Just look at the polls. Look at all the slavish coverage of the MSM. But at some point, Biden is going to have to move past the generalities and non-statements or drown in them. And that’s where his demographics come in. Most of his strength comes from older voters. Maybe he can draft off the good old days, don’t look at my record, BS with them, but his support among younger voters is poor. He needs them to win the general election, and he offers them nothing. If 2016 is any indication, many of these voters will simply not vote come election day, some will go third party, and a few will go Trump.

    Biden? r u joking pretty much nails it.

  10. Hugh

    Sorry, “fundamentally behaved most Americans” should read “fundamentally betrayed most Americans.”

  11. so

    Why would I vote for a system that works against me 24/7. For those who have theirs congrats keep on voting. For those who don’t why keep supporting a system that undermines you and your loved ones lives consistently.
    Wouldn’t it make more sense to try to make changes that affect your life for the better.
    Only you know what they are. For me its consuming less. I refuse to do the same thing over and over and expecting a different result. Death is coming for us all. Why not make a stand now.
    Sooner or later we all have to do the work. If not now when? No one will save us.

  12. Jeff Martin

    And the advantage of Biden, from this perspective, is precisely that Biden presents an opportunity to force the recalcitrant portions of the Democratic party and, yes, the American left insofar as it plays electoral politics, to choose explicitly once again whether it will acknowledge and ratify that feeling, or whether it will die on a hill of particular material policies to the neglect of vital institutional decorum.

    I live about ten minutes away from our county seat, a fabulous little town that is one of the best small towns in the country. It is populated by a supermajority of folks whose precious feelings are aggrieved by the sordid spectacle of the Trump administration, and who cannot abide the trampling of their precious norms. Their feelings are not widely shared outside of the town in question, and certainly weren’t in 2016, when only in this town could one find a clearly dominant majority of Clinton yard signs. It is a town dominated by PMCs – doctors, lawyers, and financial asset managers. It’s quite lovely, and we would live there, if only we could afford the housing costs and property taxes.

    But their feelings are no more valid than those of everyone else, and the turnabout, lo, in these past 15 years or so, is rich fuel for schadenfreude. During the Cheney Regency, we were told endlessly that the citizens of Flyover Country voted against their material interests, and for various culture war issues that could be summarized as matters of feelings and norms. And now, all of those PMCs are issuing a diktat to the rest of the country, both the Right and the Left: vote against your material interests, and in favour of our precious feels, because our precious feels are weightier, and altogether more precious, than your feels could ever be. Yes, there is the difference that their feelings rather neatly and conveniently align with their material interests, which were well served by the Reagan-Clinton-Bush-Obama (and hopefully for them, Biden, or whomever-but-Bernie) deconstruction of the American economy. However, since they are willing to so dogmatically and superciliously insist upon their feelings as a universal trump card (pun intended), they forfeit the right to insist upon the invalidity of the feelings of their political and cultural opponents, who regard their own feelings and norms similarly.

    No need to recite the Te Deum of the indictment of this class. Suffice it to say that some of us predicted this as far back as the early 90s. We told you so, and bore your insults, more or less until sometime in late 2015 and the emergence of the Sanders campaign. No more. We’ve been told that neither our material interests, nor our feelings and norms, nor we ourselves matter, for at least two generations. So, no, PMCs and other neoliberals: f*ck your feelings and damn your norms. I, and I suspect others, will either stay home, or write in our dogs.

  13. peon

    Incremental change and “modus vivendi” do not appeal to people in crisis. This is the position capitalism takes to the climate crisis. The scientific world believes we need radical immediate change. This is how many on the left and right believe about the comfortable world the center has cut out for themselves. Uncle Joe represents what we got with Obama. I don’t think anyone who wanted “hope and change” felt like they got that after 8 years with Obama.

  14. Mallam

    “Voting against the establishment” is a euphemistic phrase for “old racist white people who wanted immigrants out, women put in their place, and black people to stop protesting against police.” Why are people surprised that the generational cohort that cut their political teeth on Reagan and Thatcher also happen to be the current day “old people”, and old people have high rates of voter participation and therefore control the political debate — because they have power. To counter this you either let them win — that’s Tom’s answer, a “peace” where immigrants are murdered and women enslaved, but hopefully you have health care (someone should check in on Viktor Orban’s “slave law” to see if pivoting to “other issues” is working, or the Australian election that has these same miserable old racists embracing climate death and coal) — or you figure out how to best mobilize the opposition and hold the breaches back until all of these old boomers fucking die. It doesn’t help that climate crisis in the background is like a ticking time bomb and we don’t have much time left, but that’s the politics we have.

    Biden will be a disaster of a president. But one would hope that people stop clinging to “heighten the contradictions” to get their achieved political results. Clinton would be much better than Joe Biden, but throwing the election resulted in a more conservative direction. Most people are not revolutionaries, and they just want the beatings to stop. Also notice that Trump is destroying material conditions in rural areas, and they’re voting for Republicans in even higher numbers. “The cruelty is the point”, and they love him for it.

  15. Mike Barry

    If you’ve been around awhile, you’ve seen, felt, and heard the steady devolution. It’s even reflected in our pop music. Back in 1962, before JFK’s assassination, Peter, Paul, and Mary’s version of folk song If I Had a Hammer hit the charts and our TV screens:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XxWTDcP9Y5E

    Lyric sample:

    Well, I’ve got a hammer, and I’ve got a bell
    And I’ve got a song to sing all over this land
    It’s the hammer of justice. it’s the bell of freedom
    It’s a song about love between my brothers and my sisters, all over this land

  16. Mike Barry

    Fast forward to the mid ’80s, and Bruce Cockburn’s song about our Central/South American doings, If I Had a Rocket Launcher:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O9HFjErMMlA

    Lyric sample:

    I want to raise every voice, at least I’ve got to try
    Every time I think about it, water rises to my eyes.
    Situation desperate, echoes of the victims’ cry
    If I had a rocket launcher, if I had a rocket launcher
    If I had a rocket launcher, some son of a bitch would die

    And we’ve slid even further downhill since.

  17. Yes, we are talking about economic inequality. But we are insisting that we can persuade the elected legislators who created this economic inequality as a means of keeping themselves in power to destroy the wealthy who put them in power and are keeping them there. We think we can end economic inequality without risk ourselves and what we do have, and without causing economic pain in the process, because as much as we complain about the status quo, we do not want to risk losing the status quo by reaching for something better.

  18. someofparts

    The fuss at Daily Kos over abortion is a good example of how the sellout wing of the Democratic party works.

    With any luck, the furor over abortion will herd the Republican soccer moms back to the Democrats. The party will use that support to get Biden elected, who will then make a deal with those nice Republicans to keep the Hyde Amendment in place. Then rich women will still have birth control and the rest of the women in the country will not.

    The media outlets for the Biden Democrats will make sure the truth gets buried. So all those stories about the horrors being inflicted on poor women will never appear on The View, or MSNBC or Daily Kos.

    Since it looks like a lot of us will be writing in our dogs, let me say now that my dog is a really good boy and would make a great President.

  19. Bill Hicks

    If a gun were held to my head and I were forced to choose between Biden and Trump, I would vote Trump 100 times out of 100. He’s the president all Americans deserve, including liberals. In fact, to me this horrid post is proof of the latter. Biden has done far more to destroy America than Trump, and only the most mind-addled partisan would fail to recognize that fact.

  20. Mallam

    People like Bill Hicks like to think they’re different than your average Trump supporter, but his clearly stated preferences align very much with what Trumpism is about: cruelty and sadism. Hicks wants people hurt, he loves it, he revels in it, because “they” deserve it. He likes the increased drone strikes under Trump, the higher civilian casualties, the higher numbers of children in detention and concentration camps (remember, Ian insisted for Trump to be fascist that there had to be camps, a ridiculous assertion that nonetheless is happening anyway). Just like Trump and the rest of his supporters love it. Comes from the same authoritarian impulse; the ones cheering Brexit “from the left”. And you wonder why the liberals hate you.

  21. StewartM

    And the advantage of Biden, from this perspective, is precisely that Biden presents an opportunity to force the recalcitrant portions of the Democratic party and, yes, the American left insofar as it plays electoral politics, to choose explicitly once again whether it will acknowledge and ratify that feeling, or whether it will die on a hill of particular material policies to the neglect of vital institutional decorum.

    Let’s summarize this right–either “the Left” must betray every principle to elect Senator Joe Lieberman prez (because that is exactly what Biden is) or it is ‘recalcitrant’? Even though it was the neoliberal and rightwing Clinton/Obama policies and betrayals, not “recalcitrance by the left’ that sullied the Democratic brand and not only gave us Trump but Gingrich and Mitch McConnell and the Tea Party and the crime bill and welfare reform and NAFTA and repealing Glass-Steagall, and …

    THAT is the choice?

    Electorally, it was the brilliance of the Clintonistas and Obamcrats who took what was the majority party in Congress for the greater part of 40 years and drove it into the ditch, reducing it a minority in Congress and the statehouses largely in the past 25 years. Ahh, but they’re the “sensible”, realistic, people in the room. The fact is, if the current dynamics stay in place and recent history is a predictor of future performance, Biden is either going to lose in 2020 or he’ll win but will be eventually succeeded by even a more right-ring, racist, and authoritarian Republican. Dubya outdid Reagan and Trump is outdoing Dubya. Unless you want to live in a future where in 25 years Dem-friendly commentators will complain about the horrible things being done by a future Republican prez and hearken back nostalgically about the ‘days of the great President Trump’, just like they do with Reagan and are starting to do with Dubya, then what really needs to be done is Biden must at all costs not become President. Besides, the Dems have had in the past greater success in playing defense against the awful things proposed by righwing Republican presidents than they do against similar awful things put forward by neoliberal DLC Democratic presidents, so tangibly we’re probably no worse off.

    I’d also think you need to read this by Ian:

    https://www.ianwelsh.net/the-american-death-wish-2/

    “Sometimes the world doesn’t grade us on a curve. You need to jump a fence, and you can’t. You need to climb a rock face, and you aren’t good enough. You’re running away from a bear, and you don’t run fast enough. And now you’re dead. You wanted to get into a good grad school, but you don’t have the grades or test scores. You’re in a fight, and the other guy wins, and you wind up on the ground, and he puts the boots to you, and you’re crippled for life. You tried “your best,” but you lost and you’re going to pay the price for losing for the rest of your life. Maybe you lost because he fought dirty, and you’d rather take the chance of being crippled for life than kick someone in the balls. Maybe you lost because he trained harder than you, while you were out drinking with your friends.Or maybe you needed to pay for health care, and you didn’t have the money, and someone you loved died. And they died because you didn’t have the money–because your country didn’t have universal health care. And maybe you always worked as hard as you could, and you campaigned for health care with all your heart. It doesn’t matter, your child, your wife, your husband—they’re still dead. Your best wasn’t good enough.

    Now this is where America is. This is the real world. The United States in aggregate has been living beyond its means for over 30 years now. You have been shipping the real economy overseas. Ordinary families have been going in debt. The government has been going in debt. You’ve been voting yourself lower taxes and not paying for infrastructure reinvestment, or education, or anything else that matters, really. You’ve been spending too much money on guns, not enough on butter. You’ve been pushing the bill off into the future.

    And whenever I write about what needs to be done to fix this, about simple things like universal healthcare, which we know for a fact reduces health care costs by 1/3, because it has worked for every single other country that’s ever done it, people come out of the woodwork and they tell me that’s not “politically feasible.” Or perhaps I suggest a 55 mile an hour speed limit, “That’s not feasible.” Or I might suggest spending significantly less on the military, as half the world’s military spending is a bit overboard. “That’s not politically feasible.” Or raising taxes, “That’s not feasible.” Or…but why go on, the list is endless.”

    ———-

    What “the recalcitrant Left” wants *IS* realism…its wants to actually DO the things to fix things. An analogy would be to be on a sinking ship, and one party wants to knock more holes in the hull (sinking it faster) whereas the opposing party wants to rearrange the deck chairs (which may not accelerate the sinking, but won’t delay it either). Then there’s a group of ‘recalcitrant leftists” who say we should be busy manning the pumps, but they’re decried as ‘not sensible’ about the whole thing.

    Speaking for myself, I can make compromises and settle for less-than-ideal (and for Prez in 2020, none of the candidates are ideal) but I will NEVER vote for Joe Biden or any other similar candidate. I will never vote for Biden because I am convinced there is no surer way to fascism than to continue electing “Democrats” (note the sneer quotes) like Senator Credit Card. I will never vote for Trump, either, I will vote third-party.

    As for Brexit, it’s a shiny. What the pissed-off people in the UK really want is an end to austerity. Brexit per se could be part of that end, or could be part of its continuation, depending on who manages it and how it is managed. A fair analogy with Brexit are Trump’s tariffs.

  22. StewartM

    Tom and Someofparts

    As someone who lives in Appalachia and in the Bible Belt, I don’t think that abortion rights are the big monster and obstacle you make it out to be. The anti-abortion vote is only 28 % nationally (67 % for abortion rights). Even when you break it down by state:

    https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/abortion-views-in-all-50-states-map

    There are only like seven of 50 states where you could say anti-abortion views are strong (say 10 % more than the pro-abortion rights total). There are lots of flyover country states where it is either about 50/50 or pro-abortion rights. As long as the Democratic party or whatever party you propose is pro-Civil rights and pro-gay rights, you’ll lose many of those same voters anyway plus you’ll lose massively in your current voters.

    It is true, however, that following a truly progressive economic policy would win back many of the voters in those states who are motivated by job loss and outsourcing and not motivated by being against voting rights, gay rights, or abortion. In my experience, anyway many of the people against all these social issues are economically more upscale and comfortable; middle-class at least if not upper-middle class or above. The local chapter of our Eagle Forum years ago, was a rich asshole living in the ritzy part of town; I’m sure she was never worried about someone outsourcing her job.

  23. nihil obstet

    “We’ll give them this issue in a grand bargain, which will take it off the table, and then we can get good things that we both agree on.” The post would be a lot stronger if Mandos could cite one time that this purported strategy has worked.

  24. JoeyJoeJoe

    @nihil obstet He can\’t because like his neoliberal brethren Mandos engages entirely in magical thinking.

  25. Greg T

    Mandos-
    I appreciate your views, but I struggle with your theory of change. In the end, that’s what this boils down to.
    Supporting elements of the Democratic Party that are hostile to leftist policies does nothing except enable continued hostility. (I’ll stick to the US, since it is more familiar territory). Establishment Democrats don’t want the left to make policy at all. They’re wanted for votes and electoral support, then are discarded once the electoral goal has been met. Moreover, once in power, a president like Joe Biden can use bipartisan cover to advance policies that are detrimental to the very voters whose support he relied on to attain power. A President Biden , for example can make changes to Social Security & Medicare that Republicans could not.
    I can’t see how the left gains from continued support of the institutional Democratic Party.

  26. different clue

    @Tom,

    If those “heartlanders” you reference who wish to burn the world rather than submit to legal abortion and illegal immigration succeed in burning the world, they won’t recover from the ashes. They will be part of the ashes just like the rest of us.

    I will offer to split the difference with the “Tom’s heartlanders”. Yes to legal abortion, no to illegal immigration. Deal? Good. We can put out the fire together. No Deal? Okay then. We can just watch the world burn together. Too bad, so sad.

    Biden? Nice try, guy. No sale.

    Since Biden is not necessarily “worse” than Trump ( although Biden does support genuine real Bandera Nazis in Ukraine so that the company his son is involved with in Ukraine can frack for gas and oil all over the super-fertile black-earth bread-basket belt of Eastern Ukraine . . . which is one of the things the East Ukrainians are rebelling against) . . . I won’t vote for Trashy Trump if Catfood Joe gets the nomination. But I won’t vote for Catfood Joe either. I will vote for some futile gesture vanity third party wannabes.

    Catfood Joe wants to take away my Social Security. And I won’t vote for that. If that means that Trashy Trump wins, then let Trashy Trump win. And if the Social Justice GenderRacial Warrior snowflakes want to cry, let them cry. The more they cry, the less I care.

  27. Willy

    I follow politics because I learned how fucked up people can be, yet, how good those very same people can also be, and that the level of fucked-upness can be manipulated by a single individual who possesses the ability to do so.

    Unfortunately, intelligent socialized sociopaths are the best at this, being able to accept reality for what it is without all the normal emotional cares. Sadly, their thing is fucked up evil. I seek anti-sociopathic antidotes.

    What’s wrong with selecting the lesser of two evils, the more corrigible of the two, then pressuring the hell out of them towards your desired result? Makes more sense than selecting the more evil one, or allowing selection (unless I guess, you think the whole group needs to hit bottom first to attain that socially responsible awakening).

  28. Hugh

    “the Neera Tandens of the world do not merely represent a type of think tank class traitors in cahoots with the rich, but they are actually the genuine grassroots representatives of a large portion of American society”

    Neera Tanden hasn’t been near a grassroot since her ass hit the ground when she was learning to walk.

    From wikipedia, “Grassroots movements and organizations use collective action from the local level to effect change at the local, regional, national, or international level. Grassroots movements are associated with bottom-up, rather than top-down decision making, and are sometimes considered more natural or spontaneous than more traditional power structures. Grassroots movements, using self-organization, encourage community members to contribute by taking responsibility and action for their community.”

    Mandos is bedrock Establishment, and in defense of that Establishment, we get these flip inversions. Neera Tanden is a poster child for top-down, elitist Establishment politics. That is she is as anti-grassroots roots as it gets, but wave a wand and the Establishment becomes the new grassroots. Taa-da. You get the same thing from Establishment politicians like Nancy Pelosi who have hated and shot down every progressive idea they have ever come across blithely self-describe themselves as “progressive” whenever it is politically expedient for them to do so. But just because they say it doesn’t make it so.

  29. nihil obstet:

    “We’ll give them this issue in a grand bargain, which will take it off the table, and then we can get good things that we both agree on.” The post would be a lot stronger if Mandos could cite one time that this purported strategy has worked.

    I don’t see where you can deduce a “Grand Bargain” strategy from what I wrote, or any kind of quid pro quo, really. It’s not “giving an issue”—instead, it’s recognizing what the “issue under discussion” even is. You want the decline of real wages to be the issue under discussion (in terms of broad political conflict), but it’s not, and if you want it to become the issue under discussion, you first have to dislodge the current issue under discussion. That requires understanding what that is and engaging directly with it, rather than attempting to work around it or ignore it.

    That’s what I see going on, for example, in the Corbyn-Labour approach to Brexit. The issue under discussion is the cultural conflict underlying Leave sentiment. Attempts at making it about or linking it to austerity have not so far worked. That’s because they seem like transparent dodges from facing the actual salient conflict head-on. The question is not whether to make a “Grand Bargain” with it—if anything, the Labour “half a loaf” Customs Union solution is the Grand Bargain. The challenge for Labour was to accept the emotional motivation for Brexit as a thing in itself and either accept it or actively reject it.

  30. Herman

    I think most of the commenters here overestimate how popular the Left is. There are plenty of people who prefer centrist Democrats over Bernie-style liberal populists. I personally know a good number of them. They consider themselves to be good liberals but they are not fans of Bernie, AOC and others like them. A big part of it has to do with their relative affluence but I know others who are less affluent but just don’t like anything associated with socialism. I know these are anecdotes but there are millions of people who are Democrats but who are not on the Left in any meaningful way.

    The Left is not strong enough to just completely dismiss “lesser of the two evils” voting because our system basically guarantees two major parties. We are in a situation where you have to choose one or the other or waste your vote on an anemic third party or not vote at all. So why the aversion to damage control? Just to take one example, if Clinton was president you would almost certainly be getting less conservative judicial appointments. That has to mean something. If you don’t care about abortion or other social issues, you have to admit that Clinton judicial appointees would be at least somewhat more pro-labor than Trump appointees.

    We need to get it through our heads that many, perhaps most Americans do not want radical change right now. Even if there is a socialist or social democratic “silent majority” they are outweighed by the politically more active and influential partisans who care more about culture war issues, race, symbolism and partisan affiliation. These are the activists who dominate politics and especially primary voting. This situation will not change until the underlying conditions of the country change to become more amenable to radical politics.

  31. Hugh:

    Neera Tanden hasn’t been near a grassroot since her ass hit the ground when she was learning to walk.

    From wikipedia, “Grassroots movements and organizations use collective action from the local level to effect change at the local, regional, national, or international level. Grassroots movements are associated with bottom-up, rather than top-down decision making, and are sometimes considered more natural or spontaneous than more traditional power structures. Grassroots movements, using self-organization, encourage community members to contribute by taking responsibility and action for their community.”

    Mandos is bedrock Establishment, and in defense of that Establishment, we get these flip inversions. Neera Tanden is a poster child for top-down, elitist Establishment politics. That is she is as anti-grassroots roots as it gets, but wave a wand and the Establishment becomes the new grassroots. Taa-da. You get the same thing from Establishment politicians like Nancy Pelosi who have hated and shot down every progressive idea they have ever come across blithely self-describe themselves as “progressive” whenever it is politically expedient for them to do so. But just because they say it doesn’t make it so.

    Personal…description aside, and arguments from dictionary definitions of political terms also aside, Neera Tanden appears to represent and give voice to a huge portion of the Dem primary voter base, along with, for the time being, Joe Biden. However, Tanden got there, she is indeed the voice of a certain sort of mass politics. Just like Trump is. Again, I really am surprised at the extent folks are willing to see Trump as the expression of mass politics of a sort, but deny the same to centrist politicians shown to hold at least some genuine/enthusiastic support from large sub-populations.

  32. Herman:

    This situation will not change until the underlying conditions of the country change to become more amenable to radical politics.

    And while I am constantly called a neoliberal for disagreeing with the groupthink that sometimes takes place in Ian’s comments (that Ian himself doesn’t really subscribe to or has even actively promoted, I must say), the entire point of this post is not to wait “until the underlying conditions of the country change to become more amenable to radical politics.” Quite the contrary, at least not waiting passively! The first step in making the USA or UK or anywhere else “more amenable to radical politics” is to recognize where these countries “are”, politically, and grappling with that head-on. Instead, I see attempts at side-stepping and workaround. But there are issues under discussion that are going to take primacy.

  33. Herman:

    I think most of the commenters here overestimate how popular the Left is. There are plenty of people who prefer centrist Democrats over Bernie-style liberal populists. I personally know a good number of them. They consider themselves to be good liberals but they are not fans of Bernie, AOC and others like them. A big part of it has to do with their relative affluence but I know others who are less affluent but just don’t like anything associated with socialism. I know these are anecdotes but there are millions of people who are Democrats but who are not on the Left in any meaningful way.

    I actually don’t think that this is the issue here. It’s not that “commenters here overestimate how popular the Left is.” Most people are generally aware that the left is not popular. Rather, Ian’s commenters think that there are “matters of true concern,” and regardless of what side of the political spectrum they come from, the main voting motivation of the public is based around those “True Concerns.” But it turns out, that they are not.

  34. Herman

    @Mandos,

    On the subject of workarounds, I think some people are so fed up with the neoliberal consensus and the way politics works in the USA (and perhaps the UK too, I am not as familiar with British politics) that they are becoming less willing to accept playing the game of politics and want something more radical hence the rise of figures like Bernie, AOC and Trump. They represent a kind of “outsider” politics that promises to shake up the rotten Establishment. That is where a lot of the impatience with “lesser evil” voting comes from.

    Dissatisfaction is also related to the decay of American political institutions. The result is that people increasingly hate politics and look to populist figures to change the system.

    Here are two articles that influenced my thinking on this issue:

    “How American Politics Went Insane” by Jonathan Rauch
    https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2016/07/how-american-politics-went-insane/485570/

    “Insider Nation vs. Outsider Nation” by Michael Lind
    https://thesmartset.com/insider-nation-v-outsider-nation/

  35. nihil obstet

    @Mandos

    I don’t see where you can deduce a “Grand Bargain” strategy from what I wrote, or any kind of quid pro quo, really. It’s not “giving an issue”—instead, it’s recognizing what the “issue under discussion” even is. You want the decline of real wages to be the issue under discussion (in terms of broad political conflict), but it’s not, and if you want it to become the issue under discussion, you first have to dislodge the current issue under discussion. That requires understanding what that is and engaging directly with it, rather than attempting to work around it or ignore it.

    “Grand Bargain” is the phrase centrists have used to label their efforts to “dislodge the current issue under discussion.” You’re using different words but saying the same thing. Again, it would be more persuasive if you could give a significant example of where that strategy has worked.

  36. Hugh

    The only wasted vote is a vote for someone or something you don’t believe in. I am not responsible for making up for or overlooking the crap awful deficiencies of Democratic candidates.

    I suppose you could rationalize voting for the lesser evil as a one off. But over the last 20-30 years this has turned into the permanent rationale for why progressives should vote for anti-progressive Establishment Democrats. It has gotten beyond decrepit for many progressives, and most millennials never bought into it.

    Mandos always espouses the Establishment line and approach. I don’t get what he thinks he gains or is hiding by pretending otherwise. As for the “issue under discussion,” this too is a con. Who gets to say what that issue is? It’s usually Establishment politicians and media. So shut up, progressives, and only talk about what the Establishment wants you talk about and how they want you to talk about it. A great example of this was back in 2009 and early 2010 during the great healthcare debate. The only allowed discussion was Obamacare, the Establishment issue. Universal single payer/Medicare for All was taken off the table, and progressives who insisted on raising it were stifled or banned.

    As for Mandos’ false association of Neera Tanden with the grassroots, I note that he did not retract it but simply equivocated on it.

    Finally, I would add that we all should know by now that Trump has not only failed to discharge his office of President but is supremely incapable of doing so. It is a damning realization. But we should also recognize that in the face of this, Nancy Pelosi as Speaker of the House has equally failed to discharge her office by not just not opening an impeachment inquiry into this most unfit of Presidents and indeed torpedoing all efforts to do so. The argument in defense of Pelosi is something along the lines of Trump would never be convicted in the Republican controlled Senate. But this misses the point. I have duties as a citizen. You have duties as a citizen. Nancy Pelosi has duties as a citizen. Even the Donald has duties as a citizen. Outcomes are not guaranteed, but that is no excuse for any of us not to do our damn duties.

  37. Hugh

    Sorry again, “by not just not opening” should read “by not opening”

  38. Eric Anderson

    “Take a look at Joe Biden—he appears to have, for now at least, considerable staying power in the Democratic primary opinion polls … .”

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d36QXSnSRgM

    Meh.

  39. MojaveWolf

    It is very, very difficult to comment on this post, and IMPOSSIBLE to accurately comment on this post, without breaking the spirit and letter of Ian’s “don’t make direct personal insults against people” rule which I assume is still in effect.

    That said, I shall try.

    Assuming this is NOT a deeply dishonest piece of propaganda on a level with, well, most of what Neera Tanden says, for the express purpose of promoting a pro-war profiteer agenda with lots more of Libya and Honduras in our future, and pro-oligarch agenda for the express purpose of continuing to destroy the working class, and a pro-ignore the environmental crisis as something serious and commit to taking only useless baby steps that will be as bad for the environment in the long run as doing nothing, then . . . .

    this is the most unbelievably CLUELESS thing Mandos has probably ever written, which if less infuriating would be somewhat amusing given that it’s written for the purpose of supposedly correcting the cluelessness of others.

    implicit in this feeling is that Trump is an anomaly, a hiatus in the proper march of American institutions, that should by rights have gone to Clinton, and if not, to one of Trump’s Republican primary competitors.

    Yes, this feeling has been drummed into people by a non-stop, 24/7 diet of propaganda the likes of which the US has probably never seen, certainly the most committed propaganda campaign I’ve seen in my lifetime as far as electoral politics goes, for years, though I’ll grant you the anti-Bernie and anti-Tulsi stuff would be even worse if they were elected, and as far as the actual level and types of smears is already far worse, if less non-stop.

    Trump sucks. He’s a horrible person. I think even most of his supporters acknowledge this. The idea that he is uniquely evil and Bush/Clinton/Pence etc were/are better is just plain and obviously wrong, unless you were itching for us to start more wars faster, or unless you think decorum is more important than overall policy outcomes. Bush did far more damage than Trump, whether reluctantly or not the Obama adminstration (with the not at all reluctant encouragement of the Clinton/Biden types) did far worse abroad than Trump, Bush was also far worse domestically and Obama was at best mildly better domestically , at a time when he could have done anything he wanted.

    the advantage of Biden, from this perspective, is precisely that Biden presents an opportunity to force the recalcitrant portions of the Democratic party and, yes, the American left insofar as it plays electoral politics, to choose explicitly once again whether it will acknowledge and ratify that feeling, or whether it will die on a hill of blah blah meaningless blather

    I’m not even THAT left, by lefty standards, and I view Biden as having all of HRC’s problems while lacking several of her virtues. He is worse than she was.

    As I told all my annoying HRC-voting friends during 2016 who were upset that I planned to vote Green or write in Bernie/Tulsi in the general, you really shouldn’t push too hard for me to make a “meaningful” vote between establishment dem or Trump, because you might not like which way I’d break. (to repeat my reasons: 1. don’t ratify cheating or they will do it again forever and nothing will ever get better and things will continue to go to Hell; 2. don’t ratify business as usual while the world dies or the world will, finally, actually die; 3. HRC–or Biden!–or any establishment GOP at this point–seems desperate to start a shooting war with Russia and invade lots of people for the hell of it. Despite his bluster, Trump has thus far managed not to do this. To the extent he appears on the verge of doing this, at least it’s two years later than his opponents would have done so, and worst case scenario, if he eventually becomes the same as them, well, it’s a wash, not a win to the DNC side. 4. Any dem establishment candidate would sign away our national sovereignty to the oligarchs w/something like the TPP so fast it would make all our heads spin. They would have done it long ago. Trump hasn’t yet, and may never. 5. Yes, he’s worse on the environment, but they’re not so much better it’s going to give us even the tiniest of extra chance of avoiding biosphere death, so I don’t really find this a meaningful argument in their favor.

    On a few things like actually having borders and whether men can declare they are women for purposes of competing in women’s sports or getting in women’s shelters or women’s prisons, I’m actually on Trump’s side rather than that of most Dems.

    So yeah, he’s awful and I’m not going to vote for him, but if it was Trump or Biden as the only choice and someone could somehow actually force me to make a choice, I’d vote Trump. It’s not just that it’s worth a temporary slight extra awful to get the Neera Tanden contingent out of power, it’s that on balance, I’m not at all sure Trump is more awful.

    If you think that makes me a horrible person, so be it. I much prefer open enemies to fake friends.

    admitting that the Neera Tandens of the world do not merely represent a type of think tank class traitors in cahoots with the rich, but they are actually the genuine grassroots representatives of a large portion of American society

    This is on the level of the people accusing Tulsi of being a war-monger when she’s the only candidate who makes not invading or bombing the hell out of people the centerpiece of her campaign, or asking Bernie to apologize for opposing Iraq. It’s so fundamentally messed up that without calling you names implying deliberate dishonesty on a Neera Tanden/Dick Cheney level, I’m not sure how to address the substance of it. Other than to repeat that if a bunch of people believe something due to a non-stop media propaganda onslaught, that’s NOT grassroots.

    Further, you are supposedly trying to persuade a bunch of lefties, right? You realize you are talking to an audience of people who consider Neera Tanden’s sudden gushing over Elizabeth Warren to be more or less the final death knell of any possibility that Warren is one of the good guys? I mean, her candidacy was already really bad, that . . .

    And you’re asking all of us to embrace a bunch of corporate media narratives, when we clearly regard said corporate media as the enemy every bit as much as Trump or the GOP are the enemy, and this is supposed to be persuasive how?

    Even if you are just writing a fundamentally dishonest piece of propaganda and know that most of what you said is garbage, this is STILL the most clueless thing you’ve ever written.

    & something might be found to disqualify Biden? More than enough has already been found, except for the continuing propaganda efforts on his behalf. The dude failed twice before, because he’s an obvious snake oil salesman, he’s pro-war on an HRC/Pence level, he’s the most drug-warrior-y dem I’ve ever seen, he was pro the Hyde amendment, he chaired the Anita Hill hearings, he openly lies as blatantly as Trump (“I’m the most progressive candidate”?), the list goes on and on . . .

  40. Eric Anderson

    Oh, and Mandos.
    If you give a politician enough rope, they don’t use it to hang themselves. They use it to hang you.

    This democratic socialist will abstain from voting in the general if a neoliberal democrat wins the primary.

    I’ll suffer the noose rather than compromise my values.

  41. MojaveWolf

    Out of curiosity, totally unrelated to anything else, what the hell possessed you to choose that screen name?

    For those who never read The Silmarillion, “Mandos” was, outside of the out and and out villains, probably the most unlikable character Tolkien ever created, and not unlikable in an interesting way or an anti-hero way, but in a horribly dreary and annoying and sanctimonious way, which makes me wonder if Mandos is trolling us all with his posts; the Valar equivalent of Hades, lord of the Halls of the Dead, at least for some dead, or maybe just the gateway to wherever the dead went, except unlike Hades he kept busy telling people never to do anything to address injustice–oh, wait, I’m seeing a why on the name choice–and never acted himself unless it was going along with a course of action in concert with every single one of his fellows who were going to do it whether he did or not, and who was very big on telling people that if you took on the powers that be you were going to lose and the big guys knew better and you should just wait your turn — okay, I think on one level I’ve answered my own question, but since I can’t imagine ANYONE actually choosing to describe themselves this way or aspiring to be this sort of person . . . ummm, really, what’s up with that? And are you trolling all of us just to watch people get angry, or as some sort of science experiment to observe how people deal with arguments that are wrong-headed on multiple levels while also being offensive?

    I’m actually curious on this.

  42. S Brennan

    MojaveWolf, Although I have never read The Silmarillion, you speak for me with the other points of your post…again. Thank you!

  43. Mike Barry

    “The politics you’ve got” — Mandos.

    “There is no alternative.” — Margaret Thatcher.

    “When you’re slapped, you’ll take it and like it.” – Humphrey Bogart in The Maltese Falcon.

    “If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stamping on a human face — forever.” — O’brien in Orwell’s 1984.

  44. cripes

    I’m startled to see repeated here that “the left is not popular” in the US.

    Aside from the unprecedented turnout in 2016 primaries for Sanders, in a country that has long marginalized any political persuasion other than the duopoly, the truth is american of every persuasion agree on leftist POLICY–healthcare, minimum wage, education, against foreign wars, debt peonage and spiraling housing costs.

    Americans voted for fake populist Trump because he promised much of what Sandernistas want to enact. And to give a big FU to both shite parties.

    No, no, no the job is to find a way their vote will actually count towards the policies they already know are needed. A half dozen DSA’s in Congress and six more in the Chicago City Council is a start.

    Biden ain’t it.

  45. peon

    Nearly 400 Congress members from both chambers — roughly 75 percent of all federal US lawmakers — have signed an open letter calling on President Trump to escalate the war in Syria, in the name of countering Iran, Russia, and Lebanese Hezbollah.

    Top Democratic Party leaders have joined hawkish Republicans in a bipartisan demand that the far-right president “address threats in Syria” and “demonstrate American leadership in resolving the prolonged conflict.”

    https://foreignaffairs.house.gov/_cache/files/7/e/7ebd2b61-aa29-49ac-9991-53a53da6a57f/3163D991E047042C0F52C929A2F60231.israel-syria-letter-5-21.pdf

    This is what a “pragmatic vote” for the “politics you got” looks like.

  46. StewartM

    Mandos

    The first step in making the USA or UK or anywhere else “more amenable to radical politics” is to recognize where these countries “are”, politically, and grappling with that head-on. Instead, I see attempts at side-stepping and workaround. But there are issues under discussion that are going to take primacy.

    No, I think you misunderstand mechanisms.

    The road you are seemingly advocating (or accommodating) is the continuation of 40 years of Democratic “realism”, of moving to the right. Its result is:

    1) The Republican party moved further to the right and became the party of ideologues, fruitcakes, and bigots;

    2) Saner heads that found the increasingly hateful and nutty politics of the Republicans distasteful became Democrats. However, this had the effect of continuing to pull the Democratic party further to the right, economically, at least.

    3) As the Democrats moved right, they lost the “real”, FDR- and leftward, Democrats, who became independents This is why Sanders does better among independents instead of Democrats; the independents are not the mythical ‘centrists’ occupying the space between the Democratic and Republican poles but the economically leftward (and often socially too) people who the Democrats betrayed and abandoned.

    This is the real reason why Clinton and Biden do better among “Democrats” than Sanders, because “Democrats” today are the moderate Republicans of yesteryear. As the US electoral system severely punishes attempts to form alternative parties, this means the left was disenfranchised.

    The solution can be found in movement conservatism. You see, movement conservatives *did not* meekly take shit sandwiches “as the best that could be had” and smile and vote for the lesser of two evils by their reckoning. Many of them were perfectly willing to see the Republican candidate go down in flames in the general if they felt he was a RINO. The Reagan Republicans had money and institutional advantages that the left lacks, true, but their not-play-nice strategy won.

    The Left should follow likewise. There can be no triumph of what the Left wants as long as left-leaning voters accept people who will sell them out as “realists”, like the Clintons, like Biden, like Obama. Changing the increasingly banana-republic politics of the US (where you have a ‘left’ party but it’s as bought out as the right) means you have to transform the Democrats (or replace them) with a true left party. Succeeding in that so will lose the Clintonistas, the Obamacrats, and the followers of Senator Credit Card, and drive these to the Republicans–but that’s a good thing too, as it will improve the Republicans as well; if people like Bernie become more the center of the Democratic party instead of its left fringe, then the Republicans will become more like Eisenhower Republicans.

  47. rangoon78

    Mandos in the run-up to the November bloodletting
    April 1, 2010
    “Obama sucks, but you have to vote for him.”
    https://www.ianwelsh.net/a-republican-couldnt-do-this/

    Ian Welsh after the blood coagulated: “Barack Obama took pains to let down or gratuitously harm virtually every major Democratic constituency.The left must be seen to repudiate Obama, and they must be seen to take him down.”
    https://www.ianwelsh.net/the-primary-obama-movement-begins-today/

  48. rangoon78

    Mandos’ go along to get along argument works equally well with people and policies. Better to pass a bad bill than no bill? | Ian Welsh- Mandos says yes, at his place.
    “A bad bill has a chance of defeating at least one pernicious meme: that no Congress or administration can alter US health care delivery systems, which are wholly broken.”
    https://www.ianwelsh.net/better-to-pass-a-bad-bill-than-no-bill/

  49. rangoon78

    Dear Ian Welsh,

    I find your blog to be an oasis. Your contributions to political an moral discourse have sustained me during the disastrous times. Why do you give a forum to Mandos, whose views always seem antithetical to what I thought your site was about?

  50. bruce wilder

    Yesterday morning, riding the bus, I used my phone to write a “meta” comment on the Mandos post that I thought was quite good with the intention of using the bus’s wifi (yes, transit buses in LA have free wifi on the bus) to post it — analytical and dispassionate as well as insightful — and of course all my brilliance was lost when I changed buses. Sigh. In the meantime, the comment thread was burning like a forest fire with far greater eloquence than I could ever manage. Sitting now at my ‘puter, I am going to write a different “meta” comment, recalling some of what I was thinking yesterday, but it will be a poor, dull light at best, in comparison with what has been posted since.

    Really some outstanding comments (including Mandos, who kept his cool and reiterated his points clearly). Hugh and MohaveWolf were among the commenters whose efforts I most appreciated.

  51. Ptb

    I disagree with this completely. Accepting the \”politics we have\” is a guaranteed loss. Rejecting the as-currently-existing middle is precisely how Republicans forced the erstwhile Dem centrists to shift toward them. Such rejections are the way politics of coalitions are supposed to be played. It\’s not a stress free game, but plausible threat of withholding support is the only card available to minority coalition partners.

  52. Ian Welsh

    Mandos writes here because he and I do disagree on some things. I know it can be uncomfortable, but reading an opposing view occasionally is something I think is good.

    And Mandos’s posts always have a MANDOS right at the top, so you can always skip them!

  53. bruce wilder

    Taking a detached stance on the argument, for the sake of clarity of analysis.

    The key move in Mandos’ original post, reiterated in his subsequent comments, is to focus on the horizontal in the common electorate’s spectrum of sentiments, affiliation and allegiance, and ignore or slight the vertical.

    As previous comments have highlighted, by ignoring or slighting the vertical — the relation of elites to the mass of the voting and non-voting body politic — Mandos is able to overlook the mechanism of manipulation by mass media propaganda and the exclusive responsiveness of officials to the interests of large business and the mega-wealthy.

    Identifying Neera Tanden as the Voice of the People — at least some large number of people — is, of course, ridiculous.

    That’s not to say that the ability of Neera Tanden and other operatives in the elite political classes, who broker the funds of global business interests and the mega-wealthy into the manufacture of “issues” and agendas thru mass and social media is not important and challenging to the left — of course, it is. But, it is to say that Neera Tanden’s well-financed ability to feed the media a focus-grouped narrative line and have it dominate the most public face of the public discourse does not have to be accepted as reflecting the foundational sentiments and interests of the public or the voting constituencies of the Democratic Party. Even if we acknowledge that CNN and MSNBC and NPR and the NY Times (or Breitbart and Fox News) have their own agency and incentive structures and indeed find a responsive audience that welcomes its own “participation” in the circus, it does not follow that the Left has to play along, has to enter into the shared delusion that’s been cooked up in the gaslit pressure cooker cum echo chamber of mainstream corporate political media.

    Mandos gives Brexit as an example and I think it is an excellent example. Being myself 8,750 km from the center of controversy and having no interest of my own, Brexit is pure political spectacle for me. I can scarcely be said to have even a sportsman’s rooting interest.

    As Mandos correctly observes the liberal stance on Brexit is that it is an issue of cultural conflict and Leave sentiment is founded solely on racism and resentment of “the other” meaning that Leave is composed of bad people who have to be defeated. I exaggerate a bit, but this is basically the line pursued endlessly in the Guardian. The economics of why a debtor country like Britain — even one with its own currency — might be better off outside the neoliberal EU and its complex institutional structures with their well-known “democratic deficit” is ignored, in favor of focusing on how the Tories want to escape the EU’s socially-conscious liberal norms, such as they are. (I am not in the EU, but I still get the special treat of having to click on an acknowledgement that every damn website uses cookies so I, too, can appreciate the earnestness of Brussels to protect me and improve my life.)

    The Brexit referendum served the cause of a protest if not a rebellion from below in British politics, and the Left (as embodied in the Labour Party particularly) has been stymied by the aftermath. A “customs union” hardly threads the needle for Labour — I agree with Mandos there.

    Respect for the vertical dimension of politics, though, sheds a different light.

    Liberalism, as opposed generically to the Left, is a political philosophy of opposed poles amongst the political elite: Whigs and Tories in the historic foundation of English politics, two factions in elite politics, both going out-of-doors to mobilize mass support from the top-down. Liberalism may or may not be nicer than most varieties of Conservatism (paternalistic conservatism may be more practically kind than high-principled liberalism), but both honor top-down authority as the organizing force of political society. The Left in this conception is a bottom-up politics representing and composed of the working classes. The small-l left in most countries with a binary partisan politics has evolved in modern times into a coalition of the working-class Left with the professional-class and highly-educated wealthy Liberals. In British politics, they still have a vestigial Liberal Party that sometimes surges back into a shadowy prominence and provides a haven of political innocence for virtue-signalling middle-class professionals in the southern counties. And, the Labour Party evolved more out of working class mass-membership drawn from trade unions and cooperative societies.

    It is telling in a way, that the Liberal Democrats have had no particular difficulty with Brexit. If anything, Brexit has been a boon to the Liberal Democrats as the two major Parties have been riven, both into factions in Parliament and outside, in trying to hold together their electoral constituencies. Brexit is making people forget the Coalition and all it revealed.

    Historically, to win and hold power, Labour has had to extend itself to absorb a liberal element in its leadership and electorate. And, at base, that creates a line of schism. It is not the issue of Brexit, per se. The problem is that the larger part of the Parliamentary Labour Party is composed of Blairite careerists, many of them representing constituencies where the votes of educated professionals, not the working class, make the difference and many of them dependent on favor of business interests for their career prospects. Theirs is the politics of calculated betrayal. The viciousness of their attacks on Corbyn as leader demonstrates something of their potential for sociopathy. An issue that has been raised in that internal Labour Party contest is the accusation of anti-semitism. I think it has been pressed in surprisingly effective ways, but is being pressed from cynical motives.

    The politics of representing, organizing and furthering the interests of the lower classes in what is fundamentally a hierarchical political society is an inherently difficult task. Of course, the contending upper-class factions are going to try to co-opt all genuine efforts from below into some variety of fascism or liberal betrayal that ends in elite predation on the larger society. It does not mean there is any percentage for the bottom-up Left in allowing itself to be fooled or in rationalizing pre-emptory surrender.

  54. different clue

    @ bruce wilder,

    Several years ago, I read an entry somewhere about a “peasants movement” based in Balkan Europe ( and most of all in Bulgaria) lead by fully literate thinker-leaders of genuine peasant background. This was for a couple of years after the end of World War One. In the color-coded shorthand world of European Politics, they even called it the Green Party, to distinguish it from the various Reds and Browns and Blacks of that time and place. I have never even been able to find another reference to that Peasant Movement/ Peasant Party . . . ANYwhere. It seems to have been very effectively memory-holed. Perhaps someone schooled in the deepest arcana of Bulgarian political-intellectual history between the wars might know about this.

    The Reds, Browns, and Blacks all agreed that the Greens had to be destroyed and their supporters banished back into invisible obscurity deep behind the Haystack Curtain.

    About Neera Tanden and whose grass is rootier . . . she and her thinker-tanky Spin Mill remind me of a lawn service that used to be called ChemLawn. Now it is called TruGreen because TruGreen sounds better than ChemLawn. But it is still the good old ChemLawn that some people knew and loved. They would use all the high-powered chemicals needed to get your suburban lawn green green green and impress the neighborhood. They put the “manicured” in Manicured Lawn. Here is their website.
    https://landing.trugreen.com/ppc/b?aitrk=us-lawn-brand&MarketingPartner=Bing&AdType=CPC&mkwid=SEzhgHLC_dc|pkw|chemlawn|matchtype|be|slid||ptaid|kwd-80058346393528:loc-71170|pgrid|1280931275480851|pcrid|80058265709173&keyword=chemlawn&pmt=be&group=Chemlawn&campaign=b2_North_New_NonGeo_Brand_Chemlawn_Core_Exact&detailedtheme=&currentnew=new&adcopy=&utm_campaign=b2_North_New_NonGeo_Brand_Chemlawn_Core_Exact&utm_medium=cpc&utm_source=bing&utm_term=chemlawn&ptaid=kwd-80058346393528:loc-71170&pgrid=1280931275480851&msclkid=959695d00694167e16c3c939b639d484

    Neera Tanden speaks for the millions of well-off suburbanites who support Clinton and still long for some way to take the throne away from the Usurper Trump and restore it unto the Rightful Queen Hillary.
    These millions of Jonestown Clinties are a real force and presence in the Democratic Party. They help put the “Catfood” in Catfood Democrat. In honor of the real demographic force of their rootiness, I think we should call them the Manicured ChemLawn roots of the Catfood Democrat Party.

  55. Unfortunately, this comment thread has galloped ahead of me (which is great, even if most of it, not unexpectedly, disagrees with me), and because of real-life time constraints, I essentially have to choose between writing main blog posts and participating fully in the comment thread, and nowadays prefer to opt for the former.

    Consequently, I will respond to a selection of items in the comments that reflect what I think, in good faith, were the most salient points, and sometimes merely where I found the question/response interesting. You will simply have to believe me that I do not deliberately intend to cherry-pick or take anyone out of context.

  56. rangoon78

    Bruce Wilder your reply is a great read. It serves as a cautionary tale for leftists. And a wonderful antidote to the musings of Mandos.

  57. As for why Ian lets me post here. Well, he himself answered the question, but in addition: on matters of actual “substance” (i.e., the policy desiderata, and the consequences of not achieving them), I mostly agree with Ian. I don’t tend to write about those matters here, because Ian is much better at it than I am, and well, I generally agree. What I do tend to write about are the things about which I don’t agree with Ian. Those things tend to be about how people “work” socially and emotionally and what implications that has for the political situation and how to achieve the policy desiderata considering those implications.

    For some reason, that question of how people “work” touches a huge nerve in a large portion of Ian’s comments section. rangoon78 finds Ian’s blog to be an “oasis” and my contributions to be a disruption of that oasis. But my contributions differ from Ian on the “people and institutions” aspect of US/UK/etc. politics. In other words, I take it that for many people, it’s not enough to have particular positions on environmental crisis, inequality, austerity, war, and so on, but rather, it is important to them that the social theory and analysis must also align with a very specific view of human motivation, perhaps represented by Bruce’s conceptual division into “horizontal” political interaction and “vertical” political interaction. An alternate analysis is viewed as a form of pollution in the moral pond—if there were any truth to it, perhaps humans would not even be worth salvaging.

    Contrary to nihil obstet, I contend that the burden of proof actually lies on the very viewpoint that holds that sidestepping the issue under discussion in order to “change the channel” to matters of True Concern. The progressive left has attempted to do this repeatedly for decades since the neoliberal revolution, and has gotten more or less nowhere with it, at least in the electoral battlefield. My blog post above is yet another attempt to appeal for a re-examination of this strategy. But for some participants, that requires an admission that is evidently too much to bear.

  58. peon

    I enjoy that Ian has Mandos post here. I have many friends/ family who repeat the liberal Democratic line that they hear on NPR , read in NYTimes, watch on CNN, etc. So it is nice to have someone bravely spell out that position on a lefty blog and let me mull over what Mandos has to say. It helps me hone my disagreement.
    Secondly I often feel a little lonely in my political leanings and so feel a sense of community when I read all the intelligent rebuttals to the liberal dem line.
    I know that the polling data reflects that being against eternal war/regime change, mistrusting the intelligence services, wanting national healthcare, rolling back ridiculous interest rates, holding corporate criminals to account for their crimes, stopping student loan debtors indentureship, keeping government out of decisions about what you do with your body(recreational drugs, sex preferences, reproductive health decisions) all poll well as majority positions, not out-liers. These are all left positions. but you do not hear these positions taken seriously in the political class.
    I always look forward to a Mandos post. Of course I always vehemently disagree.
    Where else would you get brilliant bulletpoints like StewertM’s ?

    “1) The Republican party moved further to the right and became the party of ideologues, fruitcakes, and bigots;

    2) Saner heads that found the increasingly hateful and nutty politics of the Republicans distasteful became Democrats. However, this had the effect of continuing to pull the Democratic party further to the right, economically, at least.

    3) As the Democrats moved right, they lost the “real”, FDR- and leftward, Democrats, who became independents This is why Sanders does better among independents instead of Democrats; the independents are not the mythical ‘centrists’ occupying the space between the Democratic and Republican poles but the economically leftward (and often socially too) people who the Democrats betrayed and abandoned.

    This is the real reason why Clinton and Biden do better among “Democrats” than Sanders, because “Democrats” today are the moderate Republicans of yesteryear. As the US electoral system severely punishes attempts to form alternative parties, this means the left was disenfranchised.”

    Perfect!

  59. MojaveWolf:

    Out of curiosity, totally unrelated to anything else, what the hell possessed you to choose that screen name?

    Oh, it’s really quite mundane. ~30 years ago, I dialed into a BBS (you know, with a dial-up landline modem) and attempted to choose the Silmarillion name “Manwe” (no hope of getting the proper “Manwë”), of course. The composition of the online world back then having had a much higher concentration of Tolkien/Silmarillion fans, naturally the name was already taken. I decided on the most similar Vala on the spot, and Mandos it was.

    But I have a much higher opinion of Mandos’ role than you do. He pronounces the exile curse on the Sons of Fëanor and their followers for the crime of what would be in the sight of Valinor, the crime of mass fratricide. Fratricide for what? To steal the ships of the elves of Eressea, so that they could make the passage to Middle-Earth, to hunt down Morgoth and take back the Silmarils that had already been the source of disaster. They refused to accept, in their righteous rage at what befell their father, that they would do more harm than good in the path they took. And so they did, until the voyage of Eärendil…

  60. different clue:

    Neera Tanden speaks for the millions of well-off suburbanites who support Clinton and still long for some way to take the throne away from the Usurper Trump and restore it unto the Rightful Queen Hillary.
    These millions of Jonestown Clinties are a real force and presence in the Democratic Party. They help put the “Catfood” in Catfood Democrat. In honor of the real demographic force of their rootiness, I think we should call them the Manicured ChemLawn roots of the Catfood Democrat Party.

    Believe it or not, I consider this to be one of the more constructive responses to my post. It acknowledges the obvious: that, whatever you may think of millions of members in the Democratic Party, Neera Tanden is actually one major voice of a real (small-d) democratically significant popular constituency. (Naturally, I used Tanden’s name as a placeholder/representative, she herself may or may not be that significant.)

    That large constituency is evaluating candidates first and foremost by the criterion of “who will restore order to the republic” and views progress on other issues as impossible until a certain kind of procedural order has been restored. I don’t expect Ian’s commenters to like or agree with this group, and calling them a chemically manicured grassroots is fine and dandy, since it still acknowledges the reality of this situation. Because I get the picture that the thought that these people are real is enraging and frustrating to some people. But they are, and as I keep saying, any political theory that is able to predict the existence of Trump supporters without also predicting the existence of the “manicured chemical grassroots” is deeply flawed and should be chucked out.

  61. nihil obstet:

    “Grand Bargain” is the phrase centrists have used to label their efforts to “dislodge the current issue under discussion.” You’re using different words but saying the same thing.

    Uh, no? I mean, to me the “Grand Bargain” reference is a specific reference to the Simpson-Bowles proposal whereby Congress and the Presidency would exercise “bipartisanship” and slash at what remains of the US social welfare state in return for a few tax loophole closures and “saving Social Security.” That’s a dumb insider “bargain”, has nothing to do with “dislodging the current issue under discussion” (ie, the matter of popular concern, for what appears to be a significant constituency) and I would never have counseled in favour of it in any way at all, which is why I find it very strange that you consider my position to have anything to do with a “Grand Bargain”.

    Again, it would be more persuasive if you could give a significant example of where that strategy has worked.

    For one thing: it is part of the strategy that the right has employed over and over, engaging publicly and head-on with themes and conflicts that resonate deeply with large parts of the population, while their opponents futilely attempt to “change the channel” to the “real issues”, accomplishing very little for the past 40 years.

  62. Mallam

    The fundamental problem with the people who disagree with Mandos — the ones who have something positive to contribute and aren’t just people with warped views and conspiracies (the ones who are Putin, Assad, Gaddafi apologists, for example, have fundamentally warped views) — is the refusal to learn from the right wing, that “laying out policy proposals and anyone who disagrees with those proposals is a shit-lib” doesn’t win anyone to your cause. The real issue is refusing to understand what motivates people, to ascribe bad faith motives to people who have fundamental disagreements and mistrust. And why shouldn’t they mistrust you? You just told them you’d rather throw them to Trump and his mob if you don’t get your way.

    For example, why not run people like AOC in safe districts? Ayanna Pressley? Ilhan Omar? In order to do that, you need to talk to communities who have power! The vast majority of “the professional left” has no connection with the places and people they want to win over. You can’t do it by telling them what they must do. “Just run on my platform and you win” isn’t very convincing when you can’t even show proof of concept. And 75% of the comments come from the same place of “my way or the highway”. Politics doesn’t work that way, especially in a place as diverse as the US.

  63. nihil obstet

    @Mandos

    “Grand Bargain” became a popular phrase during the Simpson-Bowles phase of the effort to cut social programs, but again, that’s a semantic issue. The same technique has been used with reference to race (the “Sister Soulja” moment so beloved of centrists and the creation of incarceration nation, charter schools which are basically segregation academies), or abortion (we’ll agree to the Hyde Amendment and fund abstinence sex ed) or ending welfare as we know it or access to medical care. In each case centrists announced that the issue had been addressed, so the right-wing no longer had an issue. Now we could talk about other things.

    By saying I need an example, I mean something more specific than a statement that it’s what the right has employed over and over. What’s the difference between what you’re talking about and what you dismiss as a “dumb insider ‘bargain'”?

  64. Herman

    @Mallam,

    I agree with running left-wing candidates in safe districts but there are people on the left who don’t even understand why sometimes you need to support somebody like Joe Manchin, just to take one example. There is simply no way a “democratic socialist” can win in West Virginia right now. Manchin did in fact have a progressive challenger, Paula Jean Swearengin, and he beat her fair and square in the primary.

    As bad as Manchin is from a left-wing perspective, he is still better than any of his Republican alternatives especially on many economic/labor issues. Manchin is a good fit for West Virginia. You aren’t winning West Virginia and many other places with an AOC or Ilhan Omar type of candidate so you should take the best you can get. Getting 50 percent or even 25 percent of what you want is better than nothing.

    Despite all of the talk about the progressive wave in the midterms, at least as many moderate Democrats were elected.

    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-house-will-have-just-as-many-moderate-democrats-as-progressives-next-year/

    Right now we have to work with the country that we have and if you are on the left and support a broadly left-wing worldview, it is better to hold your nose and sometimes vote “lesser of the two evils” while working to move the country in different direction.

  65. bruce wilder

    Mandos:In other words, I take it that for many people, it’s not enough to have particular positions on environmental crisis, inequality, austerity, war, and so on, but rather, it is important to them that the social theory and analysis must also align with a very specific view of human motivation, perhaps represented by Bruce’s conceptual division into “horizontal” political interaction and “vertical” political interaction. An alternate analysis is viewed as a form of pollution in the moral pond—if there were any truth to it, perhaps humans would not even be worth salvaging.

    I am not sure, but I think I may have been insulted. And, imagine! Pollution in moral pond of politics! Heaven forfend!

    I was not intending to propose anything like “a very specific view of human motivation” when I pointed out that the political processes that generate political opinion and division have a vertical dimension: there are leaders and there are followers, influencers and the influenced with influence flowing between. If anything, I was keeping my views on human motivation in politics very unspecific.

    There is no consumer sovereignty operating spontaneously let alone prevailing in politics, anymore than there is in so-called market economies. It requires a lot of organization to get people to coordinate even as trivial a behavior as is voting, a lot of organizing goes on before “particular positions on environmental crisis, inequality, austerity, war, and so on” begin to take shape in the social mindspace of political discourse.

    With no political entrepreneur intervening, no leader rallying the troops, there are no troops — just people milling about aimlessly, feeling everything they can feel across the vast spectrum of human emotions. Politics at the most basic level expresses human ambivalence: everyone is a conservative, everyone is a progressive. If you view politics as having only a horizontal dimension, then that ambivalence is what politics expresses: people take on roles and points of view that resolve that ambivalence and opposed interests arising from a division of labor and resources take care of the rest.

    No veil of ignorance but I suppose that describes a kind of original position. There is spontaneous opposition of interests and maybe some catalyzing of polls (sic) as you say potato and I say potahto or people choose different color jerseys.

    Actual politics is a lot more dynamic and complicated, because there is a vertical dimension and some people specialize in political organizing and leadership. A lot of actual politics consists of contested attempts at persuasion and manipulation. “Pollution in the moral pond”?? Well, yes, politics has a lot of that going on.

    My objection to characterizing Neera Tanden as the spokesperson of a mass constituency and then attributing coherent agency not to Tanden, but to the constituency she mobilizes after a fashion on the basis of issues and narratives she chose and framed to purpose, is that no consideration is given her purpose or the effects. If Neera’s interventions serve to block the pursuit of progressive policies that further the material interests of working class people, maybe that is by design. Not because her target audience wants that particular result, but because Neera’s funders want it.

    If she were an editor of a popular magazine, hired by a publisher to deliver a readership to advertisers, I think we would understand that she was studying the interests of potential readers and trying to interest and hook readers in the right demographic. We would also understand that she was not responding to or serving her readership as a primary purpose; she was serving her advertisers. She will not produce a magazine that serves her readers, so much as a magazine that serves advertisers and hooks readers in ways that serve advertisers. Seventeen or Motor Trend would be quite different from what they are if they were simply writing in service to their readers, instead of selling things.

    The problem of journalism is that readers generally prefer a second-rate magazine cheap to a first-rate magazine they have to pay the full costs of. And, the problem of politics is similar. The beneficiaries of bad policy and bad politics are able and willing to pay plenty while the beneficiaries of good government expect it for free.

    Neera Tanden has not only funding, but the wonderful freedom of action born of complete and feckless irresponsibility. The symphony Neera Tanden orchestrates satisfies the needs of her funders, but is only a clever kludge of manipulation with regard to the tastes of an electoral demographic she has no interest in servicing or representing.

  66. Hugh

    ” Neera Tanden is actually one major voice of a real (small-d) democratically significant popular constituency”

    In Mandos land, if a carnie like Neera Tanden razzle-dazzles a bunch of rubes and lines up enough marks for the fleecing, she becomes a “major voice of a real (small-d) democratically significant popular constituency.” No. Tanden is running one kind of a con. Mandos is running another. Tanden is using Democratic tribalism to corral a bunch of voters into voting against their own interests. Mandos’ con is to legitimize this operation. To this end, instead of a cynical, hackneyed political operative, Mandos transforms Tanden into a “major voice” as if she is expressing the true interests of this group she has managed to manufacture, and not what she is actually doing which is overwrite the interests of her financial backers on to this group. Of course, Mandos has to wrap this crass manipulation into higher, more noble sounding verbiage. According to him, the goal of these marks is to find candidates “’who will restore order to the republic’ and views progress on other issues as impossible until a certain kind of procedural order has been restored.” In other words, they need to vote for the return to full power of the Establishment which has betrayed them and accept that they can’t have nice things because that “certain kind of procedural order” will make damn sure they never get them.

  67. rangoon78

    And I know you’re right I should skip right by anything Mandos. As to that edification one receives by engaging those with disparate views, this is also valuable. It’s just that, for me his arguments are exactly the same ones that he’s used for a decade that I know of, to push against substantive change- the ones used by decision-makers in the Democratic Party to shift the party rightward: the same arguments that brought us Obama and the affordable care act. So, like I tell my dog when we pass the junkyard -just to ignore the snarling cur behind the razor wire:- easier said than done.

  68. Willy

    Like today’s pop music, the politics we’ve got was carefully designed and manufactured to satisfy our baser, and worser, instincts and desires, so that a few can max-profit. A lot of things are now that way. Less risk for them, less quality of life for us. Welcome to the idiocracy machine.

    Under this system progressives will need a pop star who’s secretly, a competent progressive. Yeah that’s it. Lets trojan horse the system. Lets give Mandos a new do, slap on some makeup, and have him sing on one of the TV talent shows. From these humble beginnings…

  69. different clue

    The millions of marks, dummies and feebs that Neera Tanden pitches to and helps to keep corralled on the Catfood Democrat Plantation may be distasteful people, but they are still people, and they number in the millions. They are indeed the ChemLawn roots base of the DLC/Third Way Catfood Democrat Party. And if Sanders or Warren or Gabbard or Gravel were the DemPrez Nominee, these millions of Catfood Democrat voters who make up the ChemLawn roots base will all vote against Sanders or Warren or Gabbard or Gravel, in order to get Trump re-elected. Why would they do that?
    To get revenge on the New Deal Revivalists for the imagined “sin” of not having helped enough to get the Catfood Candidate elected in 2016.

    Don’t believe me? Here’s an experiment that anyone can try. Go to one of the key Jonestown Clintonite blogs . . . like Riverdaughter’s The Confluence . . . and ask the commenters if they would vote FOR Sanders or Warren or Gabbard or Gravel if one of those 4 were to get the DemPrez nomination. See what the answers are.

    I see upthread that the concept of ” Putin/Assad/Qaddafi apologists” has been referenced. If the meaning of “Putin/Assad/Qaddafi apologists” could be explained and defined, and examples given; then the meaning of that concept might be made in-some-small measure clear to the rest of us.

  70. MojaveWolf

    To steal an idea from Bruce Wilder and comment w/out vitriol on the substance, and simultaneously explain WHY the substance induces vitriol:

    In The Gospel according to Mandos, leftwingers should be willing to follow the lead and throw our support behind the Biden/Tanden/Corporatist wing of the Democratic Party, because this the key to long term improvement and achieving left-wing goals and avoiding worse global warming and more/worse wars, even though, over the past 30 years to the present, said wing has consistently

    (1) worked to destroy the working class while displaying utter contempt for said workers whenever the workers fail to appreciate and show proper gratitude for their ever increasing misery;
    (2) worked to increase the surveillance state;
    (3) increasingly devoted themselves to a war-profiteering and a culture of permanent war with an ever higher body count and ever worse destabilization of different parts of the world;
    (4) worked to undermine/undercut actual efforts to help the environment and fight global warming while pretending that they are the champions of fighting these things;
    (5) worked as hard as possible to demonize and smear any actual leftwingers who wish any actual non-corporatist, pro-worker, truly pro-environment policies enacted;
    (6) chose to attack Trump on an obviously made up bullshit conspiracy theory rather push policy alternatives;
    (7) cheer Trump when he makes warmongery sounds;
    (8) occasionally condemn Trump for not being warmongery enough;
    (9) consistently demonized and seek to discredit anyone who failed to fully back any of these things
    (10) gotten vastly worse about all of these things over the last 30 years, including the bulk of that time, pre-2015, when there was no meaningful leftist voter block saying “screw you assholes”,

    Because, if we decide to support the people who are doing all these things, they are suddenly going to do something worthwhile, when they’ve been in power at least half the last three decades and failed to do any such things, and increasingly devote themselves to attacking the very idea of doing anything worthwhile, and smearing those who try to do something worthwhile?

    This is why people are furious.

    Also, according to Mandos, if a top-down diet of propaganda is fed to people non-stop with a media saturation not even possible in previous times, with techniques honed to a degree they haven’t been in previous times, those people who buy that propaganda are grassroots, and one of the main people pushing the propaganda is the voice of the grassroots.

    This is why I think you are trolling.

    Yes, it’s a constituency, but most of it is nothing resembling grassroots, and those who actually do hate everyone but the technocrats and their woker-than-thou mouthpieces are not anyone to be worked with; they are deadly enemies to be defeated, and who, very importantly, view US as THEIR primary enemies to be defeated. These are not people who, at the present moment in time, can be worked with or given any quarter, from a political point of view; it’s like saying “work with Mitch McConnell”.

    These fine people Mandos wishes us to submit ourselves to and work with and turn our backs on and view as allies are the same people saying “Bush was really a pretty good president and it would be so much better to be back to the days of sending our economy into a near depression-level tailspin and screwing up the entire world for possibly forever by invading Iraq under false pretenses and ignoring a host of warnings to let people hijack planes and fly them into our cities and ignorning a host of warnings to do nothing to stop New Orleans from drowning, and it would be so much better to have him back instead of Trump.”

    They are the same people who lied non-stop about Bernie in 2016 and now, and do things like ask him to apologize for opposing Nicaraguan death squads and the Iraq war, they think the Iraq war and the destruction of Libya were good things; they tell one lie about Tulsi after another while smearing her for things said as a home-schooled 17 year old raised in an ultra-conservative family, rather than giving her credit for getting beyond that,

    And now they (and Mandos!) think we should support a guy who kept saying GOP administrations weren’t drug-warriory enough, who supported and I believe co-sponsored the Hyde amendment (and we’re supposed to do this to help protect women’s bodily integrity and reproductive freedom!) and who chaired the Anita Hill hearings and ….

    Seriously, this has to be trolling.

  71. different clue

    @mojave wolf,

    It doesn’t have to be trolling. I can think of a purer motive. It could be pure emotion-based Social Justice Snowflake Identity-Guiltmongering and Wokeness hustling.

    There are two lefts ( well actually three lefts if we include the various sects of the Western Orthodox Church of Marxianity). And those two lefts are the PE left ( PE for Political Economy) and the COW left ( COW for Coalition Of Wokeness).

    Clinton and all the other Catfood Democrats appeal to the COW left. They oppose the PE left. Sanders represents a relict survival of the PE left. The COW leftists are afraid that Sanders and the movement he gets started may grow the PE left big again.

    Mandos supports the COW left against the PE left, which is why he wants us to vote for the COW leftist Catfood Democrat Joe Biden, or whatever other COW leftist Catfood Democrat nominee the Catfood Democrat party cares to hwork up and vomit out onto Center Stage at the Democratic Party convention.

    But since I am not a COW leftist snowflake, I don’t care what the COW leftist snowflakes think of me. And I won’t be voting for their filthy little COW leftist Catfood Democrat nominee in the general election.

  72. Mandos

    Feanor was one of the Tolkien characters I was thinking of when I said Mandos was unlikable in a dreary way, not an interesting or anti-hero way; Feanor definitely fell into the latter camp, iirc.

    I\’ll grant you it\’s been over 30 years since I\’ve read The Silmarillion, but background for those who haven\’t read it (and should this entire line of conversation get moved to the open thread?)(this shall be lacking in subtlety, cause shorthand version):

    The Valar, including Mandos, were in Tolkien\’s world sort of a combination of Greek and Norse and possibly other pantheons re-invsioned as sort of bunch of Archangels / Gods rolled into one (all under Illuvatar, mostly absent, who pretty much resembled the new testament creator god of love talked about by Jesus).

    The most powerful of the Valar was Melkor, who more or less corresponded to Lucifer/Satan. The whole continent on which all of these and the Elves resided was lit up by beautiful trees, which basically gave a prettier and nicer version of sunlight. Feanor, creative genius of the elves, captured some of this light (without harming the trees) in beautiful jewels called the Silmarils.

    Melkor turned evil and started whispering in Feanor\’s ear, gradually turning him paranoid and convincing him that everyone else was out to get him (given the extent to which Melkor/Morgoth was able to warp people\’s perceptions and deceive even his deity brethren and sisters, one can argue how much there\’s freewill and how much Feanor should be given a pass/opportunity for rehab, but that never came up). Then Melkor killed the trees, essentially putting out the sun. Feanor had gone full dickmode by this point and refused to turn over his jewels to the other Valar to restore life to said trees (also, if you\’ve read Tolkien, treekiller=very bad person; killing special trees especially bad, failing to help restore the trees, and for that matter light to the world, also obviously bad, so Feanor has gone full dark at this point). Whilst Feanor and the other Valar were arguing, Melkor killed Feanor\’s father, stole the Silmarils, and ran off.

    Feanor renamed Melkor \”Morgoth\”, which stuck and sounds suficiently nasty, and he and his kin wanted to go after Morgoth, kill him, and retake the Silmarils.

    The remaining Valar had two people, Tulkas (sort of a vastly nicer and vastly more powerful version of Thor/Hercules with a bit of Herne the Hunter thrown in) and Ulmo (sort of a vastly nicer and somewhat more powerful Poseidon) who also wanted to go after Morgoth. The rest, with Mandos (the character) cheering on this viewpoint, chose to do absolutely nothing and let Morgoth go into our world where he did lots of bad things and would have done more but for what comes next.

    Feanor gets to where all the ships are and the elves there refuse to let him have them. He kills a bunch of them and takes their ships and goes sailing.

    IIRC, there was zero effort on the part of the very upset Mandos (or other Valar) to prevent this situation or outcome or aid the elves whose side he was presumably on.

    I seem to recall Mandos was almost as upset that Feanor and the elves would challenge one of the Valar as that Feanor killed other elves for their ships (forgive the lack of discussion around the exact whys and wherefors of motives/discussions/negotiations/conversations prior to the bloodshed here, I don\’t remember it), and made comments about how \”none of you have any chance against any of us including Melkor who you named Morgoth (which name stuck)\” with an implication that \”even though he is much worse than you in every way and responsible to some degree for your bad acts, we are going to enjoy watching you get killed by him, and not just you, but all your descendants/followers/allies too! Here\’s my curse, to help make sure Morgoth wins in your struggle that all your descendants and followers and allies get punished for what you did! Even for thousands of years, even when they are trying to do good with nothing but hte best of intentions! Because I\’m all about the justice and fairness!\”

    Morgoth then went to our world, where caused all manner of evil and corruption and warped entire civilizations. Like Feanor and his followers or not, they were the only ones opposing him, and when left alone tended to live in peace and harmony, and without them (and the non-Mandos type supernatural beings who occasionally helped them) things in our world would have gone much worse, to all appearances.

    (I can\’t think of how to say more without being excessively spoilery to major story points)

  73. MojaveWolf

    Feanor was one of the Tolkien characters I was thinking of when I said Mandos was unlikable in a dreary way, not an interesting or anti-hero way; Feanor definitely fell into the latter camp, iirc.

    I’ll grant you it’s been over 30 years since I’ve read The Silmarillion, but background for those who haven’t read it (and should this entire line of conversation get moved to the open thread?)(this shall be lacking in subtlety, cause shorthand version):

    The Valar, including Mandos, were in Tolkien’s world sort of a combination of Greek and Norse and possibly other pantheons re-invsioned as sort of bunch of Archangels / Gods rolled into one (all under Illuvatar, mostly absent, who pretty much resembled the new testament creator god of love talked about by Jesus).

    The most powerful of the Valar was Melkor, who more or less corresponded to Lucifer/Satan. The whole continent on which all of these and the Elves resided was lit up by beautiful trees, which basically gave a prettier and nicer version of sunlight. Feanor, creative genius of the elves, captured some of this light (without harming the trees) in beautiful jewels called the Silmarils.

    Melkor turned evil and started whispering in Feanor’s ear, gradually turning him paranoid and convincing him that everyone else was out to get him (given the extent to which Melkor/Morgoth was able to warp people’s perceptions and deceive even his deity brethren and sisters, one can argue how much there’s freewill and how much Feanor should be given a pass/opportunity for rehab, but that never came up). Then Melkor killed the trees, essentially putting out the sun. Feanor had gone full dickmode by this point and refused to turn over his jewels to the other Valar to restore life to said trees (also, if you’ve read Tolkien, treekiller=very bad person; killing special trees especially bad, failing to help restore the trees, and for that matter light to the world, also obviously bad, so Feanor has gone full dark at this point). Whilst Feanor and the other Valar were arguing, Melkor killed Feanor’s father, stole the Silmarils, and ran off.

    Feanor renamed Melkor “Morgoth”, which stuck and sounds suficiently nasty, and he and his kin wanted to go after Morgoth, kill him, and retake the Silmarils.

    The remaining Valar had two people, Tulkas (sort of a vastly nicer and vastly more powerful version of Thor/Hercules with a bit of Herne the Hunter thrown in) and Ulmo (sort of a vastly nicer and somewhat more powerful Poseidon) who also wanted to go after Morgoth. The rest, with Mandos (the character) cheering on this viewpoint, chose to do absolutely nothing and let Morgoth go into our world where he did lots of bad things and would have done more but for what comes next.

    Feanor gets to where all the ships are and the elves there refuse to let him have them. He kills a bunch of them and takes their ships and goes sailing.

    IIRC, there was zero effort on the part of the very upset Mandos (or other Valar) to prevent this situation or outcome or aid the elves whose side he was presumably on.

    I seem to recall Mandos was almost as upset that Feanor and the elves would challenge one of the Valar as that Feanor killed other elves for their ships (forgive the lack of discussion around the exact whys and wherefors of motives/discussions/negotiations/conversations prior to the bloodshed here, I don’t remember it), and made comments about how “none of you have any chance against any of us including Melkor who you named Morgoth (which name stuck)” with an implication that “even though he is much worse than you in every way and responsible to some degree for your bad acts, we are going to enjoy watching you get killed by him, and not just you, but all your descendants/followers/allies too! Here’s my curse, to help make sure Morgoth wins in your struggle that all your descendants and followers and allies get punished for what you did! Even for thousands of years, even when they are trying to do good with nothing but hte best of intentions! Because I’m all about the justice and fairness!”

    Morgoth then went to our world, where caused all manner of evil and corruption and warped entire civilizations. Like Feanor and his followers or not, they were the only ones opposing him, and when left alone tended to live in peace and harmony, and without them (and the non-Mandos type supernatural beings who occasionally helped them) things in our world would have gone much worse, to all appearances.

    (I can’t think of how to say more without being excessively spoilery to major story points)

  74. MojaveWolf

    @DifferentClue — I agree with all your points here and in your comments upthread and you are probably right about Mandos not trolling; I’m just being an incurable optimist about human nature here and trying to give him the benefit of the doubt.

    @ S Brennan and some others upthread who liked one of my prior comments! I apologize for almost never having the time to do this anymore.

    @DC Hugh & all the others who’ve made comments– thank you!

    @Mandos– the first time I tried to post my 2d Silmarillion comment; it said I was a spambot and I couldn’t figure out why, then realized your name had somehow gotten in the field where it should have said “MojaveWolf”; if this ever shows up I promise I wasn’t pretending to be you and I don’t know how that happened (and if I was going to try & pretend such, I’d at least try to sound like you, as opposed to myself–we have very different writing styles and I don’t think anyone would have believed you wrote that anyway)

    fwiw I agree w/Ian about exposing people to different points of view, and even if I didn’t it’s his blog and he can do what he wants; he can let Neera Tanden post here if he wants to; my problem is more, as said above, that I perceive Mandos’ posts to be propaganda efforts, not actual statements of his real beliefs, in part due to things like “Neera Tanden=grassroots”. Maybe I’m wrong. Or, hopefully, he’s just trolling. 🙂

  75. Mike Barry

    The big DNC push to ram Joe Biden down our collective throats is a hard slap in the face to the political-economy left. The response needs to be just as hard – a massive voter boycott.

  76. different clue

    @Mike Barry,

    As long as voting-boycotters remember to come out and vote about things of particular interest at their own mini-regional and micro-local level, a voter boycott against the Catfood Democrat DemPrez candidate could be an okay approach. It would at least be a passive-default withholding of numbers from the Catfood Candidate.

    Now, if those vote-boycott comtemplators were to instead vote for the vanity third or fourth or fifth party of their dreamland unicorn pony heart’s desire, would their actual vote for an actual non-approved candidate or party be more “counted” and “noticed” than if they had left the Presidential line blank? What if all the ” Can the Catfood!” voters actually voted for some on-the-ballot alterna-miniparty? Those votes actually would be counted and added up. What if their numbers were bigger than the number that Candidate Catfood ends up losing the election by? If that actually happened, and were undeniably seen to have happened, then the NO CATFOOD! voters could take actual reality-based heart in the undeniable-in-the-event fact that the Catfood Democrats will NEVER elect a President without the NO CATFOOD! vote in addition to the ChemLawn roots vote.

    At which point the NO CATFOOD! weed roots could resolve to vote NO CATFOOD! over and over again, until the Catfood Democrat Party could be exterminated from political existence and wiped off the face of the political map. Then the NO CATFOOD! New Dealocrats could focus on trying to win elections with the Cat Foodists rigidly excluded from any contaminative presence whatsoever on the New Dealocrat Party.

    Let the ChemLawn rootists and the Cat Foodists all move to whichever two or three states they can take over totally. Let them have their own kitty litter politics where they can’t keep preventing the rest of us from getting nice things.

  77. different clue

    By the way, I tried starting to read the Silmarillion once. I found the beginning recitation of names and geneologies and stuff to be so borritating ( that’s boring + irritating) that I had to stop reading.

    So thanks to all who have explained what the Silmarillion was about. If there is a Cliff Notes version, maybe I will read that someday.

  78. bruce wilder

    yeah, Neera Tanden as Voice of (at least some large number of) the People was practically designed to provoke a strong reaction, a reaction that was right-on as far as I am concerned and made important points about the top-down, manipulative nature of partisan and ideological politics. That the reactionary “feeling” concerning “vital institutional decorum” that Mandos wants to ratify expresses stupidity, ignorance and irresponsibility and is promoted with arch-cynicism by the tools of the worst of the billionaire class to block urgent and necessary economic reform is something that really ought to be acknowledged.

    Pretending that Russia,Russia,Russia or other memes of Trump Derangement Syndrome is a narrative bubbling up spontaneously from popular concern and the well-functioning organs of a free press is to deliberately overlook the structural nature of political dysfunction and its origins in the very plutocratic domination that the Left, practically by definition, struggles against.

    That said, Neera Tanden’s tactics have worked. The effectiveness of her tactics in the present environment and state of politics have made her reprehensible strategy effective. It may be the degenerate state of politics and political media — the structural problems of living under a plutocratic oligarchy — that enable a Neera Tanden to thrive and so Neera is just an example, not an individually important person. I tend to think about it that way.

    The question remains, what can be done?

    I am not worried about Joe Biden. Mandos wants to surrender 500+ days out to a 76 year old politician who has proven his rank incapacity as a presidential candidate in previous outings and who presents as being on the wrong side of all the “particular material policies” that form the focus of the Left, from bankruptcy to trade policy to mass incarceration. Biden is the ripe target the Left should be grateful for, not an occasion for despair or joining nonsensical talk about what is “normal”.

    Still, considerable damage has been done to Left political discourse by Trump Derangement Syndrome, Russia,Russia,Russia and similar memes. I can think of a lot of examples of opinion leaders and even opinion platforms that have lost their bearings. Many went south trying to justify Hillary Clinton’s candidacy to themselves and others and have never come back.

    The ability of journalists and pundits to reason effectively in distinguishing facts from narrative — never high — seems to be reaching new lows as whole media platforms like CNN specialize in provoking emotion with speculation with very little reference to facts or considered judgment. Rachel Maddow rules someone’s world.

    I think politics really does need radical, structural reform driven by material concerns from and about those below as well as from and about the catastrophe enveloping the natural world. And, those agendas are being stymied by the induced stupidity and complacency of the liberal, professional classes.

    Telling people who are being amazingly stupid that they are being stupid lacks persuasive power. But, what else can be done? Seriously.

    I hope we can return to these issues, maybe without the trollish provocations. There is plenty to get upset about without those.

  79. nihil obstet

    Telling people who are being amazingly stupid that they are being stupid lacks persuasive power. But, what else can be done? Seriously.

    On a one-to-one basis, keep talking about the policy that they will agree with: “I’m not concerned with [person’s name]. I want to get health care when I’m sick, without having to check networks in advance and maybe getting it wrong and without surprise bills or months of arguing with the insurance company.”

    It’s hard to stay focused because the amazingly stupid people will verbally abuse you, glorify their chosen leader, and demonize everybody else. But over time, you can move some people closer t rationality.

    The hardest topic I’ve found on this is the military. I haven’t figured out how to speak to the deference to our “heroes”.

  80. MojaveWolf

    @BruceWilder — great post.

    My major concern about Biden is that the Dems seem as invested in cheating as the GOP — notice not only their failure to back any of the bills insisting on paper ballots, and indeed their general resistance to the idea, and whatever you may think about 2016, but look at the 2018 election in Cali —

    I didn’t vote for Antonio Villaragosa (sp?) or particularly want him to win, but somehow over 100,000 people got thrown off the rolls by accident in LA, where Antonio used to be the mayor? (the establishment Dems wanted and got Gavin Newsom from SF).

    You could say “these votes would not have been enough”, and that’s true, but how do we know this is the only cheating going on? Especially since Gayle McLaughlin, running for Lt Gov as independent (and who was one of the only candidates I actually cared about in this mid terms), somehow got FEWER votes in Richmond, where she had been elected and RELECTED MAYOR, than in a previous long ago run for statewide office before she had ever been elected anything.

    (& especially since, I say as someone who lived here, there is no chance on Earth, Heaven or Hell that those primary results were right; anti-social as I am, I do interact in a friendly fashion w/the general public and that last time I saw as much support for one candidate over another as Bernie over Hillary was when I grew up in small town Alabama, for Reagan over Mondale. Sure, HRC had her primary support in the Coastal cities, but she supposedly won in the Inland Empire where I live also, by a significant margin. Yeah, I know, it’s cause all her supporters were either unable to walk and so not getting out much, or living in terror and not expressing there views while the Bernie people shouting in the streets so as to make them appear more numerous than they were, and all the exit polls all across the country were wrong even tho they were right for the R side of the same races, etc etc)

    These kinds of things are why I think paper ballots are a MUST before anyone should ever again trust any American election, even aside from propaganda, which keeps getting weirder (aside from the general war is peace crap going on these days, has any candidate polling as low as Tulsi supposedly is EVER been hit with such a non-stop onslaught of propaganda? it’s worse than what they’re doing to Bernie and he’s one of the front-runners, however you look at it)(possibly in part because she is pushing for paper ballots, as much as the anti-stupid-wars stance)

    @nihil — point out to whoever these people are that the military is not a monolith, nor the ex-military, and there are LOTS of left-wing, and lots of anti-war-profiteering sentiment regardless-of-wing. Tons of “Veterans for Bernie” groups out there; I think probably half of Tulsi’s support comes from veterans, and except for Gravel who wants either Bernie or Tulsi to win, these are the two most left-wing, anti-war candidates running.

    I never enlisted (I’m not much a joiner, I don’t take well to getting yelled at, and the idea of living in a barracks unable to get away from other people for an extended period of time actually distresses me far more than the idea of getting shot at, or even shot and killed, so even in my youthful conservatism I always passed on the idea), but I spent many years (not doing anything interesting, alas) working primarily w/military and ex-military, so I know enough to know that most people’s idea of what military types are like is some combination of simplistic and wrong (I mean, yes, there are plenty of people who fit every stereotype you want to think of, but there are plenty of people like that in every walk of life; and most military are very good people even if you don’t like the causes they fought for; some of them don’t approve of those causes either)

    Disclaimer–my observation tends to indicate that the higher you go up the ranks, the more the trend toward conservatism, it is true. But the counterpoint to that is that most of the people getting shot at, who I confess get a little extra deference from me as well, are not the higher ups.

    @DifferentClue — I can see bouncing off this one, and I think there are CliffNotes for it. I think the beginning of the Silmarillion was sort of like a more poetic Genesis about the creation of the world or somesuch? It was written more as a history, from creation to end-of-first-age on Middle Earth, so if you weren’t already a Lord of the Rings fan, I totally see not having the patience to get into it. Also, some people just don’t like Tolkien’s writing style that much (I’m obviously not one of them). I used to read Greek & Norse mythology for fun as a little kid, so I was just the right kind of person to appreciate this particular book. To be fair, Tolkien was fairly pro-rightful-authority, so he probably had more sympathy for the bulk of the Valar than I did, even while still clearly having a lot of sympathy for the elves.

    On a totally different note, pushing this just because I like it even tho it has very little to do with this discussion–try watching Killing Eve. It is awesome and compulsively watchable and not at all boring, and the two leads are amazing. The title character is interesting, but the stone cold psycho Villanelle that she is chasing is one of my favorite characters ever, stone-cold psycho status notwithstanding. Bad guy in a totally fun way. Also, one ep has a great piece of dialog that is totally relevant to this blog: “I think if you go high enough you’ll probably find we work for the same people.”

    Killing Eve is pure fun. (Tolkien would not approve of Villanelle, I’m pretty certain, nor *should* anyone approve of Villanelle, nonetheless I’m usually pulling for her & wish her to live happily ever after once the series is all over)

  81. Again this thread has run away from me. I will try to answer major points hopefully before this post runs off the front page and the comments box expires, etc etc.

    A couple of quick things:

    * I don’t get how nihil obstet sees any of those things in my original post. I don’t propose trading anything, I am merely suggesting fighting the battle on the terrain as given. Yes, I am aware that the terrain/game board was constructed by the opposition. It does not mean you can run off to another battlefield that you like, because the prize is not there.

    * Nerding out is easy for me on short notice, so: MojaveWolf’s interpretation of the Silmarillion is problematic. The Sons of Fëanor were quite malign, for elves who were not directly instruments of Morgoth. The Oath of Fëanor compelled them to kill anyone who kept them from the Silmarils, and they ended up with a large tally of direct and indirect victims. And for what?

  82. different clue

    @ mojave wolf,

    There is much Tolkien writing that I did like. I enjoyed reading The Hobbit and Lord Of The Rings.

    The dash through Mirkwood reminded me of the local neighborhood woods I used to run around in back in East Tennessee.

  83. Bruce:

    I am not sure, but I think I may have been insulted. And, imagine! Pollution in moral pond of politics! Heaven forfend!

    I did not intend to insult, but rather, identify your horizontal/vertical dichotomy as the core of a worldview surrounding mass political change. In some sense, the disagreement is precisely about the way in which that dichotomy is to be applied.

    I was not intending to propose anything like “a very specific view of human motivation” when I pointed out that the political processes that generate political opinion and division have a vertical dimension: there are leaders and there are followers, influencers and the influenced with influence flowing between. If anything, I was keeping my views on human motivation in politics very unspecific.

    There is no consumer sovereignty operating spontaneously let alone prevailing in politics, anymore than there is in so-called market economies. It requires a lot of organization to get people to coordinate even as trivial a behavior as is voting, a lot of organizing goes on before “particular positions on environmental crisis, inequality, austerity, war, and so on” begin to take shape in the social mindspace of political discourse.

    With no political entrepreneur intervening, no leader rallying the troops, there are no troops — just people milling about aimlessly, feeling everything they can feel across the vast spectrum of human emotions. Politics at the most basic level expresses human ambivalence: everyone is a conservative, everyone is a progressive. If you view politics as having only a horizontal dimension, then that ambivalence is what politics expresses: people take on roles and points of view that resolve that ambivalence and opposed interests arising from a division of labor and resources take care of the rest.

    No veil of ignorance but I suppose that describes a kind of original position. There is spontaneous opposition of interests and maybe some catalyzing of polls (sic) as you say potato and I say potahto or people choose different color jerseys.

    Actual politics is a lot more dynamic and complicated, because there is a vertical dimension and some people specialize in political organizing and leadership. A lot of actual politics consists of contested attempts at persuasion and manipulation. “Pollution in the moral pond”?? Well, yes, politics has a lot of that going on.

    I actually agree with elements of this. Of course what I would call the “terrain” of political opinion has not arranged itself from scratch to be the way it is, but has been “landscaped” by what you call “political entrepreneurs.” In fact, I would object to the very simplification you are accusing me of engaging in. The weird part is, my objection is exactly the reverse: a massive overemphasis on the vertical (by the perspective most often represented in Ian’s comment section), to the near neglect of the horizontal.

    To me, the truth is that the horizontal and the vertical are not really separable, and they shape each other.

    My objection to characterizing Neera Tanden as the spokesperson of a mass constituency and then attributing coherent agency not to Tanden, but to the constituency she mobilizes after a fashion on the basis of issues and narratives she chose and framed to purpose, is that no consideration is given her purpose or the effects. If Neera’s interventions serve to block the pursuit of progressive policies that further the material interests of working class people, maybe that is by design. Not because her target audience wants that particular result, but because Neera’s funders want it.

    If she were an editor of a popular magazine, hired by a publisher to deliver a readership to advertisers, I think we would understand that she was studying the interests of potential readers and trying to interest and hook readers in the right demographic. We would also understand that she was not responding to or serving her readership as a primary purpose; she was serving her advertisers. She will not produce a magazine that serves her readers, so much as a magazine that serves advertisers and hooks readers in ways that serve advertisers. Seventeen or Motor Trend would be quite different from what they are if they were simply writing in service to their readers, instead of selling things.

    The problem of journalism is that readers generally prefer a second-rate magazine cheap to a first-rate magazine they have to pay the full costs of. And, the problem of politics is similar. The beneficiaries of bad policy and bad politics are able and willing to pay plenty while the beneficiaries of good government expect it for free.

    Neera Tanden has not only funding, but the wonderful freedom of action born of complete and feckless irresponsibility. The symphony Neera Tanden orchestrates satisfies the needs of her funders, but is only a clever kludge of manipulation with regard to the tastes of an electoral demographic she has no interest in servicing or representing.

    Neera Tanden (as a stand-in for any number of mainstream Democratic leadership figures) indeed has agency to shape the views of the mainstream Democratic public, but she is not unconstrained: the approach that the Tandens of the world take is also shaped by the existing terrain, the existing cognitive biases of her supporters. This is true of anyone who wants to mobilize/organize the masses in one direction or another. (People should not misconstrue me as saying that Neera Tanden is good, I am merely arguing that she needs to be seen as expressing a feeling that existed “before” her, in a large section of the public.)

    In that sense, she is indeed as much an expression of the grassroots as Sanders is or Trump is. All of these people both shape the terrain and are constrained by it. Neera Tanden gives voice to a feeling, and in doing so, she channels and shapes it in the direction that her funders want. The only difference is that Neera Tanden, or the forces she represents, are much better, even better than you’d expect from their advantage in resources, in responding to the terrain, in their attempts at shaping it toward their goals.

    When I say that Neera Tanden is an expression of the grassroots, this is what I am trying to do: I see that most people here believe that she is merely a top-down attempt at propaganda, designed to thwart the public good for narrow interests. This aspect of her role is so well-emphasized, that the fact that she is also offering something that a good chunk of the Democratic base values is completely neglected. And that neglect makes it in turn impossible to discuss rationally what that offer is, without a kind of moral sneer. That is fatal.

  84. I am not worried about Joe Biden. Mandos wants to surrender 500+ days out to a 76 year old politician who has proven his rank incapacity as a presidential candidate in previous outings and who presents as being on the wrong side of all the “particular material policies” that form the focus of the Left, from bankruptcy to trade policy to mass incarceration. Biden is the ripe target the Left should be grateful for, not an occasion for despair or joining nonsensical talk about what is “normal”.

    It is not at all clear how what I wrote could be construed as an endorsement of Biden. I have no particular desire for a Biden presidency, nor would I counsel anyone to vote for him. What instead I am saying is that Biden, Tanden, Beto, etc etc cater to a constituency who have a real existence beyond being in foolish thrall to Rachel Maddow, have conscious and subconscious concerns and psychological biases that lead them to be particularly susceptible to the “Russia Russia Russia” thing, and yes, also have real conscious concerns that do not easily lend themselves to the type of materialism popular on this blog.

    I think politics really does need radical, structural reform driven by material concerns from and about those below as well as from and about the catastrophe enveloping the natural world. And, those agendas are being stymied by the induced stupidity and complacency of the liberal, professional classes.

    Again, this is the “changing the channel” talk that I think has served what I’ve called the “guns-and-butter” materalist left so ill. You want the agenda to be driven by “material concerns”, which is fine as a desideratum, but when confronted with evidence that even in (increasing) extremis it is *not*, there is an immediate turn towards a language of condemnation that is not really any different from the condescension applied by the “liberal, professional classes” to the Trump-voting population.

    Telling people who are being amazingly stupid that they are being stupid lacks persuasive power. But, what else can be done? Seriously.

    You must

    1. identify their matter of concern.
    2. understand it from their perspective, in an instrumentally non-judgemental way. (ie, you may have a negative opinion about it, but you should still try to put yourself in their shoes).
    3. find a way to engage with them directly on that issue, either in opposition to it or in accommodation of it (the latter is what nihil obstet might consider to be a “Grand Bargain”, but I don’t think such is necessary in all cases).
    4. chart a rhetorical path from that issue of concern to your own issue of concern, whether in agreement or opposition.

    That requires, as Mallam notes, serious involvement with the communities in question, rather than a demand to change the channel to the concerns that you think are important, to the neglect of the concerns that they think are important (but you, perhaps, don’t).

  85. Mallam

    Herman:

    You’ll get no argument from me on that front. I’ve always argued that here, but somehow commenters here think there’s just a popular Dem socialist movement waiting for the right candidate and then you win. Yet Manchin himself barely won! Coal plants continue to close, but Donald Trump is more popular in West Virginia than any other state in the country. One would think smart political observers would look at this evidence and know there isn’t a budding socialist movement in waiting because they’re too busy feeding at the trough of anti-immigrant hatred. Fascism has no logical explanation.

    Republicans would look at that and say “fuck Joe Manchin, but give me a ballot” and proceed to vote for Manchin. And the rich republicans who hate Trump but are loyal to the party looked at Donald Trump and said “fuck DT, but give me the ballot” and voted for him. I’ve no interest in the “take my ball and go home” attitude that has shown no results while the “Republican til day I die” frame of mind has a stranglehold on power despite being unpopular with 55% of the country.

    Speaking of, look at the Westminster voting intention in latest YouGov (we told some of you Brexit was bad and to stop supporting it because “the will of the people!” If Corbyn did a heel turn and said “greater EU integration!” he might not be getting crushed):

    Westminster voting intention:

    LDem: 24% (+6)
    Brex: 22% (+4)
    Con: 19% (-5)
    Lab: 19% (-5)
    Grn: 8% (+2)

    via @YouGov
    Chgs. w/ 17 May

  86. bruce wilder

    thank you, Mandos, for your response

    she is also offering something that a good chunk of the Democratic base values is completely neglected. And that neglect makes it in turn impossible to discuss rationally what that offer is, without a kind of moral sneer. That is fatal.

    First of all, I do not think the nature of the offering is “completely neglected” at all. It was, for example, the subject of extended and clear-eyed observation in Thomas Frank’s Listen, Liberal: Or, What Ever Happened to the Party of the People? which is a work that I see echoed often enough in comments here. Adolph Reed has been sometimes brilliant delineating the way antiracist intent filters thru identity politics in ways that subvert concern with class and economics. I could name other salient voices on the Left — many of which are severely marginalized from the mainstream media, but that is another issue of resources and institutions — who have been looking at this for a long while past.

    What the base itself “values” — its appetite to do good and be seen doing good, or to be part of something larger — is not itself the issue for me in any case.

    I could have said a lot more about what Neera is offering and why it appeals and why I am mostly OK with the political appetites involved among the Democratic base, but for my purpose the important point — the sharp end of the stick — is that Neera Tanden is offering bait, not a meal — bait sweetened with the saccharine of symbolic gestures and a narrative drama of false Manicheism that is offered in a scheme of psychological entrapment.

    Your prescription is to join the patient in his delusion, as a psychologist might in treating a neurotic lost in elaborate fantasies or paranoia. Reducing politics to the clinical psychology of the self (cf Adam Curtis The Century of the Self) is itself the political disease afflicting us. And you seem to be saying we should stop worrying and join the zombie apocalypse, because feeding them our brains will turn the situation around?

    Mallam “you either let them win — a ‘peace’ where immigrants are murdered and women enslaved or you figure out how to best mobilize the opposition and hold the breaches back until all of these old boomers fucking die” did not seem to me all that interested in “serious involvement with the communities in question” at least if the question is about the sensibilities of the sort of suburban (formerly?) Republican women that the Democratic Establishment hopes will win the day.

    Whatever Neera Tanden is feeding some large part of the Democratic base, it is not political power for that base. The political system is not responding to the concerns of that part of the Democratic base watching Seth Meyers make jokes about Trump or Rachel Maddow breathlessly anticipate the next “development” in the Mueller / Impeachment saga.

    Getting a large number of people thinking that Russia nefariously tipped the election in Trump’s favor with hacking and Facebook ads — Neera Tanden’s Center for American Progress played a significant part in creating and promoting the Russia,Russia,Russia narrative thru the political news Media — was an achievement in political propaganda. It was an exercise of political power for political power. I do not think political power ever touched ground with the audience; the audience — aka the Democratic base — was simply the mark. Whatever political power they might have, potentially, evaporated or was hijacked by players and purposes off-stage.

    Their credulity has contaminated their values and their reason. You can read that view as condescension, pity, despair or a simple assessment of clinical fact. I see it as a failure to organize politically. Politics is a team sport and a participation sport. Organizing from the top-down is easier than organizing from the bottom-up and there is a lot of pre-existing top-down organization all ready. I am not even sure that true or pure bottom-up organizing is even possible — sooner or later, leaders emerge and manage. Still, political organizations can be membership societies, driven by the needs of their members; or the members can be a mailing list, manipulated by professionals for someone else’s purposes.

    Some political organization may be dedicated to a public purpose, more or less. When a political media seeks to arbitrate debate and regulate the political discourse, by verifying facts and assessing the quality of judgment, that might serve. Or, something else might be happening. Access journalism and PR for the powerful, while bringing in ratings points.

    The process of organizing politically changes people’s views, refines and improves them in the best case. (or, not) I do think we ought to question in any significant act of political organizing or institution building whether the values of the base are being served or merely manipulated for someone else’s purpose.

    Neera Tanden is engaged in top-down on behalf of interests I find reprehensible. Ignoring the interests in the driver seat for a moment, I also think Tanden in cooperation with corporate Media is engaged in a kind of political organizing that’s actively destructive of people’s political values and judgment. Once you think a $100,000 of amateur Facebook ads, half of them appearing after the election, swung the result or that the “pee tape” is a remotely plausible scenario, you are pretty much ruined as a citizen participating in the political discourse. The sheer volume of speculation and innuendo can wear out the intellect of anyone paying any attention at all.

    It is not just that it involves top-down organizing. (Like I said, to some large extent it is all at least partially top-down; at best, when I say, “bottom-up”, I am nodding in the direction of any political organization where the leadership serves the membership, and not as dinner to some lord.) I think the participation in the prevailing mode of top-down organizing by manipulative narrative transmitted thru mass and social media is a kind of ersatz political participation. It is not real. You are not asked to show up. Or, to think critically. Or discuss in an exchange with others, even as some few may be doing here. Quite the contrary: you are asked to suspend disbelief to enter into a speculative fantasyland by MSNBC or some social media threading. What you get is a personal, emotional experience — emotionally stimulated perhaps but less informed after than before. Perhaps you get a vague sense of being aligned with a nebulous band of righteous misfits fighting for the forces of light against the Night King. What you don’t get is a concrete, material benefit (go Lambert!). Nor do you develop a realistic view of political issues in controversy (which mostly do involve material benefits)

    I do not think it is some idle “changing the channel” to suggest to people who are caught up in a web of professionally crafted political narratives not of their own making that, perhaps, they ought to also want material benefits from their political soldiering.

    When I am confronting someone deep into Trump Derangement Syndrome, longing for the “normal” of Obama, I sometimes offer that Obama made a great mistake when he gave the banksters immunity from prosecution. I have never, ever had someone come back at me saying, no, they really wanted the old “normal” of rampant, unpunished corruption and predation continued, that they are grateful to Obama and Kamala Harris for giving Steve Mnuchin a pass so he could serve the country under Trump. It has never happened. Go figure. I guess values are elastic that way.

  87. bruce wilder

    @ Mallam

    Quoting an Associated Press report:

    “The poll found that Americans initially support “Medicare-for-all,” 56 percent to 42 percent. . . .

    “Support increased when people were told “Medicare-for-all” would guarantee health insurance as a right (71 percent) and eliminate premiums and reduce out-of-pocket costs (67 percent).

    “But if they were told that a government-run system could lead to delays in getting care or higher taxes, support plunged to 26 percent and 37 percent, respectively. Support fell to 32 percent if it would threaten the current Medicare program.”

    This is why political organizing is necessary. And, is tough in contested environments, such as all real politics, where vast resources are available to interests with reprehensible motives to manipulate.

  88. MojaveWolf

    @Bruce Wilder — Thank you! Your patience is amazing! This entire comment is spot on!

    To illustrate which comment I’ll just quote this bit: for my purpose the important point — the sharp end of the stick — is that Neera Tanden is offering bait, not a meal — bait sweetened with the saccharine of symbolic gestures and a narrative drama of false Manicheism that is offered in a scheme of psychological entrapment.

    Your prescription is to join the patient in his delusion, as a psychologist might in treating a neurotic lost in elaborate fantasies or paranoia… And you seem to be saying we should stop worrying and join the zombie apocalypse, because feeding them our brains will turn the situation around?

  89. MojaveWolf

    Fannish distraction from real world stuff:

    @Mandos — Happy to discuss the Silmarillion (I haven’t read in decades but remember a bit and read The Children of Hurin much more recently, which covers later developments than what we’re talking about), but we seem to talk past each other here as well as in politics.

    I barely remember Feanor’s kids; iirc you are essentially correct about them– they were a mixed bag of whom even the best were undone by various curses that led them into self-defeat in particularly tragic ways, though they probably would have lost even without that, and I think one or more may have been jerks from the get-go w/out need of any divine malice twisting their purpose.

    But I’m mostly not talking about Feanor’s kids! The “Doom of Mandos” hit all the elves who followed Feanor against Melkor/Morgoth, some of whom never knowingly did anything wrong at all (unless “failure to submit to the Valar when told to ‘wait until we eventually get around to doing something which we probably will one day’ counts as doing something wrong, which to be fair it clearly DID count as wrong-doing to Tolkien, as well at to you and your namesake (I only remember three of the Valar +M by name, so your original intended namesake I can’t comment on). I had rather more sympathy for the rebellion of the elves, and will point out that it was both the Elves who already resided in Middle Earth (led by the Thingol/Melian contigent) and the rebels who came from the west who held the line against the depredations of Morgoth and kept him from turning all of Middle Earth into a Mordor-like hellscape, and w/out the elves from the West Thingol/Melian would have probably gotten steamrolled, or been a lone oasis whilst the legions of doom rolled over the rest of the continent.

    Meanwhile the Valar did nothing for, I think, OVER A THOUSAND YEARS. Certainly getting close to it. That’s rather a long wait.

    And if they’re so petty they did nothing for THAT LONG to better punish the elves who didn’t listen to their betters,because it was VERY VERY IMPORTANT that all the forces for good be thoroughly defeated by the most powerful & evil of the Valar to show them who’s boss before the other Valar stepped in, then all the more ammo for the argument that the elves lighting out on their own had a point.

    (for anyone reading this w/out having read the original source material, Tolkien’s view was not mine; I don’t think it was quite Mandos’ either, but at least consciously, JRR seemed closer to that viewpoint than mine, tho unconsciously, he was writing the elves as heroes and (most of) the Valar as . . . somewhat unsympathetic.)

    Even Feanor, intensely problematic as he was, at least went down fighting against forces inarguably much worse than he, I believe surrounded by Balrogs (one of which alone gave Gandalf all he could handle), of whom he killed quite a few before falling, and his actions ultimately probably did a lot of good (albeit by accident) in the long run.

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